Bøg, Martin (2006): Whom to Observe?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_8773.pdf Download (235kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper considers the problem of a decision maker who is faced with a dynamic decision problem with several alternatives, and additionally can engage in prior consultation on one of the alternatives. Information received from others is coarse. When consulting on an alternative that the decision maker is pre-disposed to, she either consults someone that shares precisely her convictions, or she consults someone who is more ”picky” than herself. Optimality depends on the attractiveness of alternatives; when another alternative becomes sufficiently attractive the decision maker prefers a picky contact. When the decisionmaker consults on a lower ranked alternative, optimal consulting depends non-monotonically on the value of the alternative she is pre-disposed to. For high and low values of the pre-disposed alternative she prefers to consult someone with her own convictions, but for medium values she prefers to consult a picky contact. Finally a decision maker may prefer to consult on a lower ranked alternative.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Whom to Observe? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | bandit problem; observational learning; heterogeneity |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D83 - Search ; Learning ; Information and Knowledge ; Communication ; Belief ; Unawareness C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C7 - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory |
Item ID: | 8773 |
Depositing User: | Martin Bøg |
Date Deposited: | 16 May 2008 13:52 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 13:29 |
References: | Arndt, J. (1967): “Role of Product-Related Conversations in the Diffusion of a New Product,” Journal of Marketing Research, 4(3), 291–295. Bala, V., and S. Goyal (1998): “Learning from Neighbours,” Review of Economic Studies, 65(3), 595–621. Bandiera, O., and I. Rasul (2006): “Social Networks, and Technology Adoption in Northern Mozambique,” Economic Journal, 116(514), 869–902. Banerjee, A., and D. Fudenberg (2004): “Word-of-mouth learning,” Games and Economic Behavior, 46(1), 1–22. Bolton, P., and C. Harris (1999): “Strategic Experimentation,” Econometrica, 67(2), 349–374. Brown, J. J., and P. H. Reingen (1987): “Social Ties and Word-of-Mouth Referral Behavior,” Journal of Consumer Research, 14, 350–362. Calvert, R. L. (1985): “The Value of Biased Information: A Rational Choice Model of Political Advice,” The Journal of Politics, 47(2), 530–555. Crawford, V. P., and J. Sobel (1982): “Strategic Information Transmission,” Econometrica, 50(6), 1431–1451. Cripps, M., G. Keller, and S. Rady (2002): “Strategic Experimentation: The Case of Poisson Bandits,” CESifo Working Paper No. 737. Currarini, S., M. O. Jackson, and P. Pin (2007): “An Eco- nomic Model of Friendship: Homophily, Minorities and Segregation,” http://ssrn.com/abstract=1021650. Ellison, G., and D. Fudenberg (1993): “Rules of Thumb for Social Learning,” The Journal of Political Economy, 101(4), 612–643. Ellison, G., and D. Fudenberg (1995): “Word-of-Mouth Communication and Social Learning,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(1), 93–125. Foster, A. D., and M. R. Rosenzweig (1995): “Learning by Doing and Learning from Others: Human Capital and Technical Change in Agriculture,” Journal of Political Economy, 103(6), 1176–1209. Granovetter, M. (1995 [1975]): Getting a Job: A study of Contacts and Careers. The University of Chicago Press, 2nd edn. Lazarsfeld, P., and R. Merton (1954): “Friendship as a social process: a substantive and methodological analysis,” in Freedom and Control in Modern Society, ed. by M. Berger, pp. 18–66. Van Nostrand, New York. McPherson, M., L. Smith-Lovin, and J. M. Cook (2001): “BIRDS OF A FEATHER: Homophily in Social Networks,” Annual Review of Sociology, 27(1), 415–444. Meyer, M. A. (1991): “Learning from Coarse Information: Biased Contests and Career Profiles,” Review of Economic Studies, 58(1), 15–41. Rothschild, M. (1974): “A two-armed bandit theory of market pricing,” Jour- nal of Economic Theory, 9(2), 185–202. Suen, W. (2004): “The Self-Perpetuation of Biased Beliefs,” Economic Journal, 114(495), 377–396. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/8773 |