Benjasak, Chonlakan and Bhattarai, Keshab (2017): General Equilibrium Impacts VAT and Corporate Tax in Thailand.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_88816.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
We construct a CGE model of Thailand in order to assess economy wide impacts of reforms in the value added tax (VAT) and corporate income tax (CIT) on welfare and reallocation of resources across production sectors in the Thai economy. Our model was calibrated to the micro consistent benchmark data set contained in the Input-Output Table published in 2010 by the Office of National Economics and Social Development Board (NESD) with some restructuring into 18 sectors. The general algebraic modelling system (GAMS) was used to estimate the parameters of the model. The findings reveal that aggregate net changes in welfare of 10 percent VAT are better than zero percent VAT. Thus, increasing VAT from 7 to 10 percent becomes desirable policy action on the basis of economy wide welfare analysis because utility from the public services for the households more than compensates their loss of utility due to higher taxes. On the net welfare basis, the decreasing CIT rate from 30 to 20 percent is more preferable policy than 23 percent CIT. This model based analysis is a unique contribution to the current literature on impacts of VAT and corporate income tax in the Thai economy though further scope remains for full impact analysis of comprehensive reforms such as the GST with dynamic model and multi households.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Commentary on: | Eprints 0 not found. |
Original Title: | General Equilibrium Impacts VAT and Corporate Tax in Thailand |
English Title: | General Equilibrium Impacts VAT and Corporate Tax in Thailand |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Tax Policy, VAT, Thailand’s CGE model |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium > D58 - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models D - Microeconomics > D6 - Welfare Economics > D61 - Allocative Efficiency ; Cost-Benefit Analysis H - Public Economics > H2 - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue |
Item ID: | 88816 |
Depositing User: | Dr Keshab Bhattarai |
Date Deposited: | 12 Feb 2019 09:33 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 08:27 |
References: | Al-Amin, A.Q., Jaafar, A.H., and Siwar, C. (2008). "A Computable General Equilibrium Approach to Trade and Environmental Modelling in the Malaysian Economy." MPRA Paper 8772, University Library of Munich, Germany. Arnold, J.M., Brys, B., Heady, C., Johansson, A., Schwellnus, C., and Vartia, L. (2011). "Tax policy for economic recovery and growth." The Economic Journal, 121: F59-F80. Amir, H., Asafu-Adjaye, J., and Ducpham, T. (2013). "The Impact of the Indonesian Income Tax Reform: A CGE Analysis." Economic Modelling, 31: 492-501. AvalaraVatlive. (2016). "International VAT and GST rates 2016." Available online: http://www.vatlive.com/vat-rates/international-vat-and-gst-rates/ [Accessed 8/2/2017]. Chantanusornsiri, W. (2017). "VAT kept at 7% for another year." Bangkok Post, Internet edition. 15 August. Available online: http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/general/1306612/vat-kept-at-7-for-another-year/ [Accessed 18/8/2017]. Bank of Thailand. (2011). "Thailand's Economic Condition in 2010." Available online: https://www.bot.or.th/English/MonetaryPolicy/EconomicConditions/AnnualReport/A nnualReport/AnnualReport_2010.pdf / [Accessed 8/11/2017]. Barrell, R., and Weale, M. (2009). "The economics of a reduction in VAT." Fiscal Studies, 30(1): 17--30. Bergman, L. (1990). "Energy and Environmental Constraints on Growth: a CGE modelling approach." Journal of Policy Modeling, 12(4): 671-691. Bhattarai, K. (2007). "Input-Output and General Equilibrium Models for Hull and Humber Region in England." Atlantic Economic Journal 35(4): 473-490. Available online: http://lrweb.beds.ac.uk/guides/a-guide-to-referencing/journals/internet_journal/ [Accessed 25/3/2016]. Bhattarai, K. (2008). "Economic Theory and Models: Derivations, Computations and Applications for Policy Analyses." New Delhi: Serials Publications, pp.60-86. Bhattarai, K. (2011). "General Equilibrium Impacts of Energy and Pollution Taxes in UK. " Bhattarai, K. (2016). "Growth and Income Distributions in Four EU Economies." International Advances in Economic Research, 22:263-277 Bhattarai, K. (2017). "Welfare and Distributional Impacts of Financial Liberalization in an Open Economy: Lessons from a Multi-Sectoral Dynamic CGE Model for Nepal." International Business Research, 10, 1, 181-198. Blundell, R. (2009). "Assessing the temporary VAT cut policy in the UK. " Fiscal Studies, 30(1): 31--38. Dailynews. (2015). "Reduce corporate income tax to 20% permanently." Dailynews, Internet edition. 13 October. Available online: https://www.dailynews.co.th/economic/354191. [Accessed 8/8/2017]. Field, A., J., and Wongwatanasin, U. (2007). "Tax policies' impact on output, trade and income in Thailand." Journal of Policy Modeling, 29(3): 361-380. Fiscal Information. (2016). "Government Revenue Year 1992 to Year 2016." Available online: http://dwfoc.mof.go.th/Dataservices/GovernmentRevenue?language=EN/ [Accessed 21/9/2016]. GAMS Corporation. (2017). "GAMS/MPSGE Manual." www.gams.com. KPMG. (2017). "Corporate Tax Rates Table." Available online: https://home.kpmg.com/xx/en/home/services/tax/tax-tools-and-resources/tax-rates-online/corporate-tax-rates-table.html/ [Accessed 5/8/2017]. Lee, Y., and Gordon, R., H. (2005). "Tax structure and economic growth." Journal pf Public Economics, 89: 1027-1043. Leontief, W. (1949). "Structural Matrices of National Economy." Econometrica, 17: 273-282. McNabb, K., and LeMay-Boucher, P. (2014). "Tax structures, economic growth and development. " ICTD Working Paper, 22. Available online: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2496470/ [Accessed 10/8/2017]. Mok, C.Y. (2017). "GST Implementation in Malaysia." Available online: http://www.bdo.ae/getattachment/Services/Tax/VAT/VAT-Presentations/BDO-Mok-Chew-Yin-_-GST-Implementation-in-Malaysia-10-4-17-(Full).pdf.aspx?lang=en-GB/ [Accessed 15/112017]. National Economics and Social Development Board. (2016). "Input-Output Table 2010." Available online: http://www.nesdb.go.th/main.php?filename=io_page/ [Accessed 30/3/2016]. Onwuchekwa, J.C., and Aruwa, S.A. (2014). "Value added tax and economic growth in Nigeria." European Journal of Accounting Auditing and Finance Research, 2(8): 62-69. Puttanapong, N., Wachirarangsrikul, S., Phonpho, W., and Raksakulkarn, V. (2014). "A Monte-Carlo Dynamic CGE Model for the Impact Analysis of Thailand's Carbon Tax Policies. " Conference Paper. Ruamsuke, K., Dhakal, S., and Marpaung, C. (2015). " Energy and economic impacts of the global climate change policy on Southeast Asian countries: a general equilibrium analysis." Energy, 81:446-461. Semboji, H., H., H. (1994). "The effects of energy taxes on the Kenyan economy: a CGE analysis." Energy Economics, 16(3): 205-215. Sujjapongse, S. (2005). "Tax policy and reform in Asian countries: Thailand's perspective." Journal of Asian Economics 16(6): 1012-1028. Wianwiwat, S., and Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2013). "Is there a role for biofuels in promoting energy self sufficiency and security? A CGE analysis of biofuel policy in Thailand." Energy Policy, 55: 543-555. Winyuchakrit, P., Limmeechokchai, B., Matsuoka, Y., Gomi, K., Kainuma, M., Fujino, J., and Suda, M. (2011). "Thailand's low-carbon scenario 2030: Analyses of demand side CO 2 mitigation options." Energy for Sustainable Development 15(4):460-466. World Bank. (2016). "World Development Indicators. " Available online: http://data.worldbank.org/country/thailand/ [Accessed 20/2/2016]. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/88816 |