Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Inflation targeting and the pass-through effect: The case of Mongolia

Taguchi, Hiroyuki (2019): Inflation targeting and the pass-through effect: The case of Mongolia.

[img] PDF
MPRA_paper_92988.pdf

Download (345kB)

Abstract

This paper aims to provide empirical evidence on the relationship between inflation targeting and the pass-through effect from exchange rate to consumer prices, focusing on the case of Mongolia. The study estimates a vector-autoregressive model, and examines the impulse responses of consumer prices to the shock of exchange rate for the pre-inflation targeting period and the post-inflation targeting period. The empirical analysis identified the existence of the pass-through effect during the pre-inflation targeting period and the loss of the pass-through during the post-inflation targeting period. It was speculated that the loss of the pass-through comes from the “forward-looking” monetary policy rule in Mongolian inflation targeting, so that it can work on the expectations of domestic agents such that they are less inclined to change prices in response to a given exchange rate shock.

UB_LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.