Shen, Danqing (2018): Better Educated, Fewer Divorces: The Impact of College Education Quality on Marriage Outcomes.
PDF
MPRA_paper_94198.pdf Download (269kB) |
Abstract
I investigate the impact of post-secondary college education quality on marriage outcomes. Using NLSY79 data, an instrumental variable strategy is employed to identify the causal effect. Better college education is associated with stable marriage, lower probability of marriage, postponed marriage, and lower likelihood of remarriage. Among people who obtained a college degree before age 25, a one unit increase in college education- which corresponds to an increase in average SAT score of freshmen- decreases the likelihood of marriage by 21.1 percentage points, reduces the probability of ever-married before age 40 by 3.8 percentage points, and increases age at first marriage by 3 years. In addition, people with one unit higher quality of college education are 19.3 and 11.4 percentage points less likely to get divorced and divorce before 40, respectively, than those with lower quality of college education. Additionally, better-educated people have 16.4 percentage points lower probability of marital disruption in the first 10 years of first marriage and 17% fewer numbers of marriage than their counterparts. Given that numbers of college graduates have been growing up over the time, this article provides a new perspective to understand the recent trend of marriage and divorce.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Better Educated, Fewer Divorces: The Impact of College Education Quality on Marriage Outcomes |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | College education, marriage, family, divorce |
Subjects: | I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I23 - Higher Education ; Research Institutions J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J12 - Marriage ; Marital Dissolution ; Family Structure ; Domestic Abuse |
Item ID: | 94198 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Danqing Shen |
Date Deposited: | 30 May 2019 20:30 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 09:48 |
References: | Angrist, J. D. and Krueger, A. B. (1990). Does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings? Technical report, National Bureau of Economic Research. Bahr, S. J. and Galligan, R. J. (1984). Teenage marriage and marital stability. Youth and Society, 15(4):387{400. Becker, G. S., Landes, E. M., and Michael, R. T. (1977). An economic analysis of marital instability. The journal of political economy, pages 1141{1187. Black, D. A. and Smith, J. A. (2004). How robust is the evidence on the effects of college quality? evidence from matching. Journal of Econometrics, 121(1):99{124. Black, D. A. and Smith, J. A. (2006). Estimating the returns to college quality with multiple proxies for quality. Journal of labor Economics, 24(3):701{728. Bloom, D. E. and Bennett, N. G. (1990). Modeling American marriage patterns. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 85(412):1009{1017. Boertien, D. and Harkonen, J. (2014). Less education, more divorce: Explaining the inverse relationship between women's education and divorce. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, 11. Boertien, D., Scheve, C. v., and Park, M. (2012). Education, personality and separation: The distribution of relationship skills across society. Booth, A. and Edwards, J. N. (1985). Age at marriage and marital instability. Journal of Marriage and the Family, pages 67{75. Bracher, M., Santow, G., Morgan, S. P., and Trussell, J. (1993). Marriage dissolution in Australia: Models and explanations. Population Studies, 47(3):403{425. Brines, J. and Joyner, K. (1999). The ties that bind: Principles of cohesion in cohabitation and marriage. American Sociological Review, pages 333{355. Card, D. (1993). Using geographic variation in college proximity to estimate the return to schooling. Technical report, National Bureau of Economic Research. Coppola, L., Di Cesare, M., et al. (2008). How fertility and union stability interact in shaping new family patterns in italy and spain. Demographic Research, 18(4):117{144. De Graaf, P. M. and Kalmijn, M. (2006). Change and stability in the social determinants of divorce: A comparison of marriage cohorts in the Netherlands. European sociological review, 22(5):561{572. Eide, E., Brewer, D. J., and Ehrenberg, R. G. (1998). Does it pay to attend an elite private college? evidence on the effects of undergraduate college quality on graduate school attendance. Economics of Education Review, 17(4):371{376. Esping-Andersen, G. and Bonke, J. (2011). Family investments in children: Productivities, preferences, and parental child care. European Sociological Review, 27(25):43{55. Gary, S. et al. (1981). A treatise on the family. NBER Books. Goldin, C. (1992). The meaning of college in the lives of American women: the past 100 years. NBER Working Paper, 4099. Goldin, C. (1995). Career and family: College women look to the past. Technical report, National Bureau of Economic Research. Goldin, C. (2004). The long road to the fast track: Career and family. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 596(1):20{35. Goldin, C. and Katz, L. F. (2008). Transitions: Career and family life cycles of the educational elite. American Economic Review, 98(2):363{69. Goldstein, J. R. and Kenney, C. T. (2001). Marriage delayed or marriage forgone? new cohort forecasts of first marriage for us women. American Sociological Review, pages 506{519. Halliday Hardie, J. and Lucas, A. (2010). Economic factors and relationship quality among young couples: Comparing cohabitation and marriage. Journal of Marriage and Family, 72(5):1141{1154. Harkonen, J. and Dronkers, J. (2006). Stability and change in the educational gradient of divorce. a comparison of seventeen countries. European Sociological Review, 22(5):501{517. Isen, A. and Stevenson, B. (2010). Women's education and family behavior: trends in marriage, divorce and fertility. Technical report, National Bureau of Economic Research. James, E., Alsalam, N., Conaty, J. C., and To, D.-L. (1989). College quality and future earnings: Where should you send your child to college? The American Economic Review,79(2):247{252. Kalmijn, M., De Graaf, P. M., and Poortman, A.-R. (2004). Interactions between cultural and economic determinants of divorce in the Netherlands. Journal of Marriage and Family, 66(1):75{89. Kreager, D. A., Felson, R. B., Warner, C., and Wenger, M. R. (2013). Women's education, marital violence, and divorce: A social exchange perspective. Journal of marriage and family, 75(3):565{581. Lefgren, L. and McIntyre, F. (2006). The relationship between women's education and marriage outcomes. Journal of labor Economics, 24(4):787{830. Long, M. C. (2008). College quality and early adult outcomes. Economics of Education Review, 27(5):588{602. Loughran, D. S. (2002). The effect of male wage inequality on female age at first marriage. Review of Economics and Statistics, 84(2):237{250. Lyngstad, T. H. (2004). The impact of parents' and spouses' education on divorce rates in norway. Demographic research, 10(5):121{142. Martin, S. P. (2004). Growing evidence for a divorce divide"? education and marital dissolution rates in the us since the 1970s. Series on social dimensions of inequality. New York: Russel Sage Foundation Working Papers. Martin, S. P. (2006). Trends in marital dissolution by women's education in the united states. Demographic Research, 15(20):537{560. Moore, K. A. and Waite, L. J. (1981). Marital dissolution, early motherhood and early marriage. Social Forces, 60(1):20{40. Morgan, S. P. and Rindfuss, R. R. (1985). Marital disruption: Structual and temporal dimensions. American Journal of Sociology, pages 1055{1077. Mott, F. L. and Moore, S. F. (1979). The causes of marital disruption among young American women: An interdisciplinary perspective. Journal of Marriage and the Family, pages 355{365. Ono, H. (2009). Husbands' and wives' education and divorce in the united states and japan, 1946-2000. Journal of Family History, 34(3):292{322. Oreopoulos, P. (2006). Estimating average and local average treatment effects of education when compulsory schooling laws really matter. The American Economic Review, pages 152{175. Pencavel, J. (1999). Assortative mating by schooling and the timing of marriage. Technical report, Working paper, Department of Economics, Stanford University. Phillips, J. A. and Sweeney, M. M. (2006). Can differential exposure to risk factors explain recent racial and ethnic variation in marital disruption? Social Science Research, 35(2):409{434. Pischke, J.-S. and Von Wachter, T. (2008). Zero returns to compulsory schooling in Germany: Evidence and interpretation. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 90(3):592{598. Rotz, D. (2011). Why have divorce rates fallen? the role of women's age at marriage. The Role of Women's Age at Marriage (December 20, 2011). Schoen, R. (1975). California divorce rates by age at first marriage and duration of first marriage. Journal of Marriage and the Family, pages 548{555. South, S. J. and Spitze, G. (1986). Determinants of divorce over the marital life course. American sociological review, pages 583{590. Stevenson, B. and Wolfers, J. (2008). Marriage and the market. Cato Unbound. Sweeney, M. M. and Phillips, J. A. (2004). Understanding racial differences in marital disruption: Recent trends and explanations. Journal of Marriage and Family, 66(3):639{ 650. Weisbrod, B. A. and Karpoff, P. (1968). Monetary returns to college education, student ability, and college quality. The Review of Economics and Statistics, pages 491{497. Zhang, L. (2005). Do measures of college quality matter? the effect of college quality on graduates' earnings. The review of higher education, 28(4):571{596.37 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/94198 |