Guimarães, Luis and Gil, Pedro (2019): Looking ahead at the effects of automation in an economy with matching frictions.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_96238.pdf Download (405kB) | Preview |
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_96238.pdf Download (408kB) | Preview |
Abstract
We study the effects of an automation-augmenting shock in an economy with matching frictions and endogenous job destruction. In the model, tasks can be produced by workers or by machines, but workers have a comparative advantage in producing advanced tasks. Firms choose the input at the time of entry. And according to the evolution of the workers’ comparative advantage, some firms using labor prefer to fire the worker and automate the task. In our model, an automation-augmenting shock reduces the labor share, increases job creation, and increases job destruction. The effects on employment depend on how rapidly workers may lose their comparative advantage: an automation-augmenting shock increases employment in slow-changing environments but catastrophically reduces it in rapid-changing ones.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Looking ahead at the effects of automation in an economy with matching frictions |
English Title: | Looking ahead at the effects of automation in an economy with matching frictions |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Automation; Employment; Labor-Market Frictions; Technology Choice |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E24 - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational Income Distribution ; Aggregate Human Capital ; Aggregate Labor Productivity J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers > J64 - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search L - Industrial Organization > L1 - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance > L11 - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure ; Size Distribution of Firms O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O33 - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences ; Diffusion Processes |
Item ID: | 96238 |
Depositing User: | Prof. Pedro Gil |
Date Deposited: | 02 Oct 2019 12:01 |
Last Modified: | 19 Dec 2024 03:15 |
References: | Acemoglu, Daron. 2003. “Labor- and Capital-Augmenting Technical Change.” Journal of European Economic Association, 1: 1–37. Acemoglu, Daron, and Fabrizio Zilibotti. 2001. “Productivity Differences.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116 (2): 563–606. Acemoglu, Daron, and Pascual Restrepo. 2018. “The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment.” American Economic Review, 108(6): 1488–1542. Acemoglu, Daron, and Pascual Restrepo. 2019a. “Automation and New Tasks: How Technology Displaces and Reinstates Labor.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 33(2): 3–30. Acemoglu, Daron, and Pascual Restrepo. 2019b. “Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.” Journal of Political Economy, forthcoming. Alesina, A., M. Battisti, and J. Zeira. 2018. “Technology and Labor Regulations: Theory and Evidence.” Journal of Economic Growth, 23(1): 41–78. Autor, David, and Anna Salomons. 2018. “Is Automation Labor Share–Displacing? Productivity Growth, Employment, and the Labor Share.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1–63. Basso, H, and Juan F Jimeno. 2018. “From Secular Stagnation to Robocalypse? Implications of Demographic and Technological Changes.” mimeo. Benhabib, Jess, Jesse Perla, and Christopher Tonetti. 2017. “Reconciling Models of Diffusion and Innovation: A Theory of the Productivity Distribution and Technology Frontier.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 23095. Berg, Andrew, Edward F. Buffie, and Luis-Felipe Zanna. 2018. “Should we Fear the Robot Revolution? (The correct answer is yes).” Journal of Monetary Economics, 97: 117 – 148. Caballero, Ricardo J., and Mohamad L. Hammour. 1998. “Jobless Growth: Appropriability, Factor Substitution, and Unemployment.” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 48: 51 – 94. Caselli, Francesco, and Alan Manning. 2019. “Robot Arithmetic: New Technology and Wages.” American Economic Review: Insights, 1(1): 1–12. Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin S. Eichenbaum, and Mathias Trabandt. 2016. “Unemployment and Business Cycles.” Econometrica, 84(4): 1523–1569. Coles, Melvyn G., and Ali Moghaddasi Kelishomi. 2018. “Do Job Destruction Shocks Matter in the Theory of Unemployment?” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 10(3): 118–36. Cords, Dario, and Klaus Prettner. 2019. “Technological Unemployment Revisited: Automation in a Search and Matching Framework.” Davis, Steven J, and John Haltiwanger. 2014. “Labor Market Fluidity and Economic Performance.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 20479. Decker, Ryan, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin, and Javier Miranda. 2014. “The Secular Decline in Business Dynamism in the US.” Unpublished draft, University of Maryland. Engbom, Niklas. 2019. “Firm and Worker Dynamics in an Aging Labor Market.” Gregory, Terry, Anna Salomons, and Ulrich Zierahn. 2018. “Racing With or Against the Machine? Evidence from Europe.” Guimarães, Luís, and Pedro Gil. 2019. “Explaining the Labor Share: Automation vs Labor Market Institutions.” University Library of Munich, Germany MPRA Paper 92062. Hall, Robert E, and Marianna Kudlyak. 2019. “Job-Finding and Job-Losing: A Comprehensive Model of Heterogeneous Individual Labor-Market Dynamics.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 25625. Hall, Robert E., and Paul R. Milgrom. 2008. “The Limited Influence of Unemployment on the Wage Bargain.” American Economic Review, 98(4): 1653–1674. Hornstein, Andreas, Per Krusell, and Giovanni L. Violante. 2007. “TechnologyPolicy Interaction in Frictional Labour-Markets.” The Review of Economic Studies, 74(4): 1089–1124. Leduc, Sylvain, and Zheng Liu. 2019. “Robots or Workers? A Macro Analysis of Automation and Labor Markets.” Mortensen, Dale T., and Christopher Pissarides. 1994. “Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment.” Review of Economic Studies, 61(0): 397–415. OECD. 2017. Entrepreneurship at a Glance 2017. Petrongolo, Barbara, and Christopher A. Pissarides. 2001. “Looking into the Black Box: A Survey of the Matching Function.” Journal of Economic Literature, 39(2): 390– 431. Pissarides, Christopher. 2000. Equilibrium Unemployment Theory. Cambridge:MIT Press. Pissarides, Christopher A. 2009. “The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle: Is Wage Stickiness the Answer?” Econometrica. Prettner, Klaus, and Holger Strulik. 2017. “The Lost Race Against the Machine: Automation, Education, and Inequality in an R&D-based Growth Model.” Shimer, Robert. 2012. “Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment.” Review of Economic Dynamics, 15(2): 127–148. Syverson, Chad. 2011. “What determines Productivity?” Journal of Economic literature, 49(2): 326–365. Zeira, Joseph. 1998. “Workers, Machines and Economic Growth.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113: 1091–1113. Zeira, Joseph. 2010. “Machines as Engines of Growth.” mimeo. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/96238 |