Febrian, Erie and Herwany, Aldrin (2007): Co-integration and Causality Among Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. Forthcoming in: Co-integration and Causality Among Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange No. Management, Causality, Co-integration, Stock Markets : pp. 4-12.
This is the latest version of this item.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_9637.pdf Download (266kB) | Preview |
Abstract
For both risk management and portfolio selection purposes, modeling the linkage across financial markets is crucial, especially among neighboring stock markets. In investigating the dependence or co-movement of three or more stock markets in different countries, researchers frequently use co-integration and causality analysis. Nevertheless, they conducted the causality in mean tests but not the causality in variance tests. This paper examines the co-integration and causal relations among three major stock exchanges in Southeast Asia, i.e Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. It employs the recently developed techniques for investigating unit roots, co-integration, time-varying volatility, and causality in variance. For estimating market risk of portfolio, this paper employs Value-at-Risk with delta-normal approach.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Co-integration and Causality Among Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Risk Management, Causality, Co-integration, Stock Markets |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets D - Microeconomics > D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium > D53 - Financial Markets |
Item ID: | 9637 |
Depositing User: | Aldrin Herwany |
Date Deposited: | 21 Jul 2008 06:22 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 23:53 |
References: | Alexander, C, 1999, Optimal Hedging Using Coin¬tegration, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 357, 2039-2058. Alexander, C, 2000, Cointegration-based Trading Strategies: A New Approach to Enhanced Index Tracking and Statistical Arbitrage, manuscript, Banking, www.bankingmm.com, 1-6. Alexander, C, 2001, Market Models: A Guide to Financial Data Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, 347-388. Alexander, C, and A. Dimitriu, 2003, Equity Index¬ing, Cointegration and Stock Price Dispersion: A Regime Switching Approach to Market Efficien¬cy, ISMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, 2003-02, University of Reading, U.K. Alexander, C, and Thillainathan, 1995, The Asian Connection, Emerging Market Investor, 2, 42^6. Chan, K., B. Gup, and M. Pan, 1992, An Empirical Analysis of Stock Prices in Major Asian Markets and the United Stated, The Financial Review, 27, 289-307. Chan, K., B. Gup, and M. Pan, 1997, International Stock Market Efficiency and Integration: A Study of Eighteen Nations, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 24, 803-813. Corhay, A., A. Rad, and J. Urbain, 1993, Common Stochastic Trends in European Stock Markets, Economics Letters, 42, 385-390. Christensen, Ben J., Morten Ø. Nielsen, Asymptotic Normality of Narrow-Band Least Squares in the Stationary Fractional Cointegration Model and Volatility Forecasting, University of Aarhus, 2003. DiBartolomeo, D., 1999, Active Returns from Pas¬sive Management: Cointegration of Country Indices in EAFE, Northfield Information Ser¬vices (www.northinfo.com) manuscript, l-8.c Duan, J.C., and S. Pliska, 1998, Option Valuation with Cointegrated Prices, working paper, Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. Dwayer, G., and M. Wallace, 1992, Cointegration and Market Efficiency, Journal of International Money and Finance, 11, 318-327. Engle, R., and C. J. W. Granger, 1987, Cointegra¬tion and Error-Correction: Representation, Esti¬mation, and Testing, Econometrica, (March), pp. 251-276. French and Poterba (1991), Investor Diversification and International Equity Markets, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), 81, 222-226. Fraser, P., and O. Oyefeso, 2005, U.S., U.K., and European Market Integration, Journal of Busi¬ness Finance and Accounting, 32, 161-182. Gerristis, R., and A. Yuce, 1999, Short- and Long-term Links Among European and U.S. Stock Markets, Applied Financial Economics, 9, 1-9. Granger, C. W. J. (1981), ‘Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification’, Journal of Econometrics 16, 121—130. Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980), ‘An introduction to long memory time series models and fractional differencing’, Journal of Time Series Analysis 1, 15—39. Granger, C. W. J., and J. J. Hallman, 1991, Long Memory Series with Attractors, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 53, 11-26. Granger, C. W. J., and Morgenstern, D. (1970), Pre¬dictability of Stock Market Prices, Heath-Lex¬ington Books, Lexington, MA. Hilliard, J. E. (1979), Relationship Between Equity Indices on World Exchanges, Journal of Finance, 34, 103-114. Jarque, C, and A. Bera, 1987, Test for Normality of Observations and Regression Residuals, Interna¬tional Statistical Review, 55, 163-172. Johansen, S., 1988, Statistical Analysis of Cointe¬grated Vectors, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12,231-254. Johansen, S., and K. Juselius, 1990, Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointe¬gration with Application to the Demand for Money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Sta¬tistics, 52, 169-210. Kasa, K., 1992, Common Stochastic Trends in International Stock Markets, Journal of Mone¬tary Economics, 29, 95-124. Knif, J., and S. Pynnonen, 1999, Local and Global Price Memory of International Stock Markets, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 9, 129-147. Kwan, A. C. C, A. H. B. Sim, and J. A. Cotsomitis, 1995, The Causal Relationships Between Equity Indices on World Exchanges, Applied Econom¬ics, 27, 33-37. Lo, A., and C. MacKinlay, 1990, An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading, Journal of Econometrics 45, 181-211. Lucas, A., 1997, Strategic and Tactical Asset Allo¬cation and the Effect of Long-run Equilibrium Relations, Research Memorandum, 1997-42, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam. MacKinnon, J., 1991, "Critical Values for Cointe¬gration Tests," chapter 13 in Engle and C. W. J. Granger (eds.), Long-run Economic Relation¬ships: Readings in Cointegration, Oxford Uni¬versity Press. MacKinnon, J., 1996, Numerical Distribution Func¬tions for Unit Root and Cointegration Tests, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 601-618. MacKinnon, J., A. A. Haug, and L. Michelis, 1999, Numerical Distribution Functions of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 14, 563-577. Malliaris, A. G., and J. Urrita, 1992, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 27(3), 353-364. Osterwald-Lenum, M., 1992, A Note with Quan-tiles of Asymptotoc Distribution of the Maxi¬mum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statis¬tics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54, 461^72. Pan, M. S., Y. A. Liu, and H. J. Roth, 1999, Com¬mon Stochastic Trends and Volatility in Asian Pacific Equity Markets, Global Finance Journal, 10, 161-172. Roca, E., 1999, Short-term and Long-term Price Linkages Between the Equity Markets of Aus¬tralia and its Trading Partners, Applied Financial Economics, 9,501-511. Roca, E., E. Selvanathan, and W. Shepherd, 1998, Are the ASEAN Equity Markets Interdependent? ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 15, 109-121. Smith, K. L., J. Brocato, and J. E. Rogers (1993), Regularities in the Data between Major Markets: Evidence from Granger Causality Tests, Applied Economics, 3, 55-60. Syriopoulos, T., 2003, Prospects for Portfolio Investments in Emerging European Stock Markets, paper presented on November 8th at the Second Annual Conference of the Hellenic Finance and Accounting Association, Athens, Greece. Wang, Xuelian, Essays on Risk Management and Dependence Across Stock Markets, a PhD Dissertation submitted at the Albany State University of New York, 2005. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/9637 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
Co-integration and Causality Among Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. (deposited 21 Jul 2008 06:23)
- Co-integration and Causality Among Jakarta Stock Exchange, Singapore Stock Exchange, and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. (deposited 21 Jul 2008 06:22) [Currently Displayed]