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Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana

garcia, juan manuel and toma, hiroshi (2015): Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana.

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Abstract

This paper estimates the Keynesian multipliers of income (value added), employment, imports and net exports for 101 economic activities of the Peruvian economy based on information from the 2007 input-output table that takes into account domestic and external origin of the goods and services intended for intermediate demand and for final demand. The paper estimate and analyses indicators of productive linkages for each activity in the economy ("backward" and "forward"). Also, power and sensitivity Indicators of dispersion for each activity are constructed, allowing us to identify "key" activities based on the links of each one within the economy. The results obtained are useful to simulate possible economic effects of different sectorial policy interventions for the promotion of productive development implemented by the government.

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