Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana

garcia, juan manuel and toma, hiroshi (2015): Efectos multiplicadores y eslabonamientos productivos en la economía peruana.

Abstract

This paper estimates the Keynesian multipliers of income (value added), employment, imports and net exports for 101 economic activities of the Peruvian economy based on information from the 2007 input-output table that takes into account domestic and external origin of the goods and services intended for intermediate demand and for final demand. The paper estimate and analyses indicators of productive linkages for each activity in the economy ("backward" and "forward"). Also, power and sensitivity Indicators of dispersion for each activity are constructed, allowing us to identify "key" activities based on the links of each one within the economy. The results obtained are useful to simulate possible economic effects of different sectorial policy interventions for the promotion of productive development implemented by the government.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Multiplier effects and productive linkages in the peruvian economy
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: productive linkages multipliers peruvian economy
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E10 - General; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E12 - Keynes ; Keynesian ; Post-Keynesian; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E16 - Social Accounting Matrix; Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General; Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General > Z00 - General

References

Chenery, H. B., & T. Watanabe (1958). International comparisons of the structure of production. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, Vol. 20.

Hirschman, A. O. (1958). The strategy of economic development (Yale Studies in Economics: 10). New Haven: Yale University Press.

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (2001). Multiplicadores de la economía peruana. Lima.

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (2014). Perú: Cuentas Nacionales 2007. Año Base 2007. Lima.

Keynes, John Maynard (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest y Money. London.

Leontief, W. et al. (1953). Studies in the structure of the american economy. Oxford University Press.

Miller, R. E., & P.D. Blair (2009). Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. Cambridge University Press.

Ministerio de la Producción (2014). Plan Nacional de Diversificación Productiva. Lima: Ministerio de la Producción.

Pino, O., & W. Illanes. (2002). Análisis exploratorio de los coeficientes de Rasmussen para la economía regional, mediante la utilización de las tablas input-output para la economía chilena, base 1996.

Rasmussen, P. (1958). Studies in inter-sectorial relations. Amterdam, North- Holland P. C.

Soza, S. y C. Ramos (2005). Análisis estructural Input-Output Con Apoyo Multivariante Mimeo.

Torres Zorrilla, J. (1998). Eslabonamientos y multiplicadores de la economía peruana. Revista Apuntes, Vol. 42.