Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Growth Slowdowns and Middle-Income Trap: Evidence from New Unit Root Framework

Furuoka, Fumitaka and Pui, Kiew Ling and Ezeoke, Chinyere Mary Rose and Jacob, Ray Ikechukwu and Yaya, OlaOluwa S (2019): Growth Slowdowns and Middle-Income Trap: Evidence from New Unit Root Framework. Published in: The Singapore Economic Review No. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590820500083

[thumbnail of MPRA_paper_98672.pdf]

Download (339kB) | Preview


This paper suggests a new testing procedure to systematically examine the middle-income trap (MIT). To empirically demonstrate this procedure, one high income and 14 middle-income countries are examined using newly developed unit root tests - Fourier ADF with structural break (FADF-SB) and Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Fourier ADF (SUR-FADF). The FADF-SB test incorporates unknown nonlinearity and smooth break in the time-series, while the SUR-FADF test accounts for cross-sectional dependency. The empirical findings produced mixed results: 10 countries have a relatively high possibility of facing the MIT problem, while only one country has a relatively low possibility of facing the problem. For the remaining three countries, it is uncertain whether they will face the problem of MIT. These empirical findings have significant policy implications.

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact us: mpra@ub.uni-muenchen.de

This repository has been built using EPrints software.

MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by Logo of the University Library LMU Munich.