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How do countries choose their monetary policy frameworks?

Cobham, David and Song, Mengdi (2019): How do countries choose their monetary policy frameworks?

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Abstract

This paper investigates the determinants of countries' choices of monetary policy framework (MPF). It uses a brief narrative focused on groupings of countries making similar choices to motivate an econometric analysis which also draws on previous work on the determinants of exchange rate regimes. That analysis brings in other more standard factors, as well as the trade networks of potential anchor currency blocs and the financial markets depth that are emphasised in the narrative. The model turns out to be able to predict three quarters of countries' choices of MPF, and there is no obvious systematic pattern in the errors.

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