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Revising the Impact of Financial and Non-Financial Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks

Kang, Wensheng and Ratti, Ronald A. and Vespignani, Joaquin L. (2020): Revising the Impact of Financial and Non-Financial Global Stock Market Volatility Shocks.

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Abstract

We decompose global stock market volatility shocks into financial originated shocks and nonfinancial originated shocks. Global stock market volatility shocks arising from financial sources reduce substantially more global outputs and inflation than non-financial sources shocks. Financial stock market volatility shocks forecasts 16.85% and 16.88% of the variation in global growth and inflation, respectively. In contrast, the on-financial stock market volatility shocks forecasts only 8.0% and 2.19% of the variation in global growth and inflation. Beside this markable difference global interest/policy rate responds similarly to both shocks.

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