Mazur, Mieszko and Dang, Man and Vo, Thuy Anh Thi (2020): Dividend Policy and the COVID-19 Crisis.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_108765.pdf Download (332kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper examines dividend payment behavior of the S&P1500 firms during the COVID-19 crisis characterized by the stock market crash and a V-shaped stock price recovery propelled by technology stocks. We find that the great majority of firms either maintain or increase the level of dividend payment during the crisis period. Yet, the relationship between the dividend payout and bottom-line earnings available to common shareholders is significantly negative. This relationship holds even for dividend-increasing firms whose earnings streams should be relatively higher (or increasing) compared to other firms in the sample. We also find that forecast earnings of up to one year in the future are negatively associated with the current dividend level implying that the existing payout policies are unsustainable. Interestingly, we document similar patterns for stock repurchases.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Dividend Policy and the COVID-19 Crisis |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Dividend Policy; Dividend Yield; Share Repurchases; COVID-19 |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance |
Item ID: | 108765 |
Depositing User: | Mieszko Mazur |
Date Deposited: | 22 Jul 2021 06:51 |
Last Modified: | 22 Jul 2021 06:51 |
References: | Adams, R.B. and Ferreira, D., 2007. A theory of friendly boards. Journal of Finance, 62(1), pp.217-250. Abreu, J.F. and Gulamhussen, M.A., 2013. Dividend payouts: Evidence from US bank holding companies in the context of the financial crisis. Journal of Corporate Finance, 22, pp.54-65. Acharya, V.V., Le, H.T. and Shin, H.S., 2017. Bank capital and dividend externalities. Review of Financial Studies, 30(3), pp.988-1018. Agca, Senay and Birge, John R. and Wang, Zi’ang and Wu, Jing, 2020. The Impact of COVID-19 on Supply Chain Credit Risk. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3639735 Almeida, H., Fos, V. and Kronlund, M., 2016. The real effects of share repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics, 119(1), pp.168-185. Bali, R. and Hite, G.L., 1998. Ex dividend day stock price behavior: discreteness or tax- induced clienteles? Journal of Financial Economics, 47(2), pp.127-159. Benartzi, Shlomo, Roni Michaely, and Richard Thaler., 1997 ”Do changes in dividends signal the future or the past?.” Journal of Finance 52(3),pp.1007-1034. Brav, A., Graham, J.R., Harvey, C.R. and Michaely, R., 2005. Payout policy in the 21st century. Journal of Financial Economics, 77(3), pp.483-527. Cohen, L., G ́omez-Puig, M. and Sosvilla-Rivero, S., 2019. Has the ECB’s monetary policy prompted companies to invest, or pay dividends? Applied Economics, 51(45), pp.4920-4938. DeAngelo, H., DeAngelo, L. and Skinner, D.J., 2004. Are dividends disappearing? Dividend concentration and the consolidation of earnings. Journal of Financial Economics, 72(3), pp.425-456. DeAngelo, H., DeAngelo, L. and Skinner, D.J., 1992. Dividends and losses. Journal of Fi- nance, 47(5), pp.1837-1863. Fahlenbrach, Ru ̈diger and Rageth, Kevin and Stulz, Rene M., 2020. How Valuable is Fi- nancial Flexibility When Revenue Stops? Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3586540 Floyd, E., Li, N. and Skinner, D.J., 2015. Payout policy through the financial crisis: The growth of repurchases and the resilience of dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, 118(2), pp.299-316. Fudenberg, D. and Tirole, J., 1995. A theory of income and dividend smoothing based on 15 incumbency rents. Journal of Political Economy, 103(1), pp.75-93. Grennan, J., 2019. Dividend payments as a response to peer influence. Journal of Financial Economics, 131(3), pp.549-570. Grullon, G. and Michaely, R., 2002. Dividends, share repurchases, and the substitution hypothesis. Journal of Finance, 57(4), pp.1649-1684. Ham, C.G., Kaplan, Z.R. and Leary, M.T., 2020. Do dividends convey information about future earnings? Journal of Financial Economics, 136(2), pp.547-570. Hirtle, B., 2014. Bank holding company dividends and repurchases during the financial crisis. FRB of New York Staff Report 666. Johnson, S.A. and Tian, Y.S., 2000. The value and incentive effects of nontraditional executive stock option plans. Journal of Financial Economics, 57(1), pp.3-34. Lambrecht, B.M. and Myers, S.C., 2012. A Lintner model of payout and managerial rents. Journal of Finance, 67(5), pp.1761-1810. Larrain, B. and Yogo, M., 2008. Does firm value move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in cash flow? Journal of Financial Economics, 87(1), pp.200-226. Li, W. and Lie, E., 2006. Dividend changes and catering incentives. Journal of Financial Economics, 80(2), pp.293-308. Lintner, J., 1956. Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. American Economic Review, 46(2), pp.97-113. Ma, J., and Mark E. W., 2014. Expected returns and expected dividend growth: Time to rethink an established empirical literature. Applied Economics 46(21) 2462-2476. Massa, M., Rehman, Z. and Vermaelen, T., 2007. Mimicking repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics, 84(3), pp.624-666. Qiao, Z., Chen, K.Y. and Hung, S., 2018. Professionals inside the board room: accounting expertise of directors and dividend policy. Applied Economics, 50(56), pp.6100-6111. Skinner, D.J., 2008. The evolving relation between earnings, dividends, and stock repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics, 87(3), pp.582-609. Wu, Y., 2018. What’s behind smooth dividends? Evidence from structural estimation. Review of Financial Studies, 31(10), pp.3979-4016. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/108765 |