Haider, Khan and Szymanski-Burgos, Adam (2021): COVID-19 and Strategic Sectors in Brazil: A Socially-Embedded Intersectional Capabilities Approach.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_109022.pdf Download (841kB) | Preview |
Abstract
COVID-19 impacts have exacerbated socioeconomic inequalities and the threat of hunger and absolute poverty for vulnerable populations globally. Brazil, as a large Southern engine of growth, is a complex case. In responding to the public health impacts and economic challenges of the pandemic, the case of Brazil stands out for several reasons. First, what was distinctive about Brazilian public health policy and what have been the consequences so far? Second, what circumstances and economic policy measures have led to a V-shaped recovery? Finally, what is the further prognosis for Brazil over the next few years and what are the points of leverage to ensure a sustained recovery? Our analysis highlights the salience of considering development and the economic and social shocks of pandemics from a Socially Embedded Intersectional Approach (SEICA) perspective. Using an economy-wide modelling methodology, we identify ‘strategic’ sectors in the Brazilian economy defined as sectors critical for both pulling the wider economy out of a recession and for supporting widespread income growth, particularly for those in the bottom 40% of households. Additionally, we are able to draw some conclusions that may be relevant for the case of other economies in various stages of development, particularly those with sharply uneven development patterns and large rural populations.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | COVID-19 and Strategic Sectors in Brazil: A Socially-Embedded Intersectional Capabilities Approach |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Input-output; Key Sectors; Brazil; Development; Covid-19; Latin America |
Subjects: | A - General Economics and Teaching > A1 - General Economics O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O2 - Development Planning and Policy R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics > R15 - Econometric and Input-Output Models ; Other Models |
Item ID: | 109022 |
Depositing User: | Haider Khan |
Date Deposited: | 24 Aug 2021 05:51 |
Last Modified: | 24 Aug 2021 05:51 |
References: | Asahi, K., Undurraga, E. A., Valdes, R., & Wagner, R. (2020). The effect of COVID-19 on the economy: Evidence from an early adopter of localized lockdowns. Journal of Global Health, Vol. 11, No. 05002, 1-11 Benedetto, S., Israel, J., & Foppiano, N. (2021). "Chile takes decisive steps to mitigate the financial impact of COVID-19". International Tax Review Blog Post Castillo, M. & Martins, A. (2016). Premature deindustrialization in Latin America. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. LC/L.4183 29 p. Cerda-Diaz, V. (2021). "How Chile became an unlikely winner in the COVID-19 vaccine race". The Conversation [Online] Chenery, H.B., and Watanabe, T. (1958). International comparisons of the structure of production. Econometrica, Vol. 26, No. 4, 487-521 Cottani, J. (2020). The Effects of Covid-19 on Latin America’s Economy. Center for Strategic and International Studies Report Dietzenbacher, E. (1992). The measurement of interindustry linkages: Key sectors in the Netherlands. Economic Modeling, Vol. 9, No. 4, 419-437 ECLAC (2021). Pandemic Prompts Rise in Poverty to Levels Unprecedented in Recent Decades and Sharply Affects Inequality and Employment. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Press Release Firpo, S. & Pieri, R. (2018). The labor market in Brazil, 2001-2015: An ongoing crisis threatens Brazil’s recent increasing earnings and its decreased inequality and gender and ethnic gaps. IZA World of Labor 2018, 441 Fjeldstad, B. L. (1990). Regional Input-Output Multipliers: Calculation, Meaning, Use, and Misuse. Utah Economic and Business Review, Vol. 50, No. 10 Gozzi, N., Tizzoni, M, Chinazzi, M., Ferres, L., Vespignani, A., & Perra, N. (2021). Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile. Nature Communications, Vol. 12, No. 2429 Ritchie, H., Ortiz-Ospina, E., Beltekian, D., Mathieu, E., Hasell, J., Macdonald, B., Giattino, C., Appel C., Rodés-Guirao L., and Roser, M. (2020) - "Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)" [Accessed Online] Hughes, D. W. (2018). A Primer in Economic Multipliers and Impact Analysis Using Input-Output Models. UT Extension Institute of Agriculture, University of Tennessee Working Paper No. 644 Kecek, D., Briek, P., & Buntak, K. (2021). Economic effects of transport sectors on Croatian economy: an input–output approach, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Khan, H. A. (2012). Enhancing Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific through the Strengthening of National Innovation Systems – Challenges and Strategies. Asia-Pacific Technology Monitor, Working paper, JKSIS, University of Denver Khan, H. A. (2004). Innovation and Growth in East Asia: The Future of Miracles. (Houndsmills and Macmillan/Palgrave: New York). Khan, H. A. (1998). Technology, Development, and Democracy, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Khan, H. A, & Rahman, S. (2021). COVID-19 in South Africa: An Intersectional Perspective based on Socio-economic modeling and Indigenous Knowledge Base. Working paper, JKSIS, University of Denver Laumas, P. S. (1975). Key Sectors in Some Underdeveloped Countries. Kyklos International Review for Social Sciences. Vol. 28, No. 1, 62-79. Luo, J., 2013. Which industries to bail out first in economic recession? Ranking U.S. industrial sectors by the power of pull. Economic Systems Research, Vol. 25, No. 2, 157-169 Marson, F. L & Ortega, M. M. (2020). Covid-19 in Brazil. Journal of Pulmonology, Vol. 26, No. 4, 241–244 McGeever, J. (2021). "Brazil GDP drops 4.1% in 2020, COVID-19 surge erodes rebound". Reuters [Online] McIsaac, F. & Bastidas, D. (2017). An Input-Output Analysis: What Would a Low-Carbon Economy for Brazil Mean? Agence Francaise de Developpement Research Paper No. 62 Miller, D. & Blair, P. D. (2009) Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extension Cambridge University Press, 2nd Edition. Morrone, H. (2017). Which sectors to stimulate first in Brazil? Estimating the sectoral power to pull the economy out of the recession. Investigacion Economica, Vol. 76, No. 302, 55-75 Osterhuber, M. (2020). Chile and COVID-19: Copper Prices, Inequality, and an Uncertain Economic Outlook. John Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies Perspectives Paper Passoni, P. & Freitas, F. (2020). Structural Change in the Brazilian Economy: a structural decomposition analysis for 2000-2014. 26th IIOA Conference in Juiz de Fora, Brazil Pires, L. N., de Carvalho, L. B., & Rawet, E. L. (2020). Multi-Dimensional Inequality and COVID-19 in Brazil. Investigacion Economia, Vol. 80, No. 315 Rasmussen, N.P. (1956). Studies in Intersectoral Relation. Amsterdam: North-Holland. Reeves, P. & Kahn, C. (2020). Latin America Becomes A New Epicenter Of The Coronavirus Pandemic. All Things Considered, NPR Podcasts [Online] Russo, G. & Chies, L. (2017). Input-output tables and the interconnectedness of the service industries. Handbook of input-output analysis, 245–276. Schnirring, L. (2021). "Brazil’s COVID-19 crisis affecting nearby countries". Center for Infectious Diseases Research and Policy News [Online] Teigero, L. R. & Solis, J. S. (2001). Key Sectors: Big Coefficients and Important Coefficients in Spain. School of Economic Sciences and Business Studies Working Paper Ten Raa, T. (2020). Linkages, fields of influence, and key sectors. Journal of Economic Structures, Vol. 9, No. 29 World Bank (2021). The World Bank in Brazil - Country Partnership Framework (2018-2023) Report, © World Bank World Bank. (2020a). Covid-19 in Brazil: Impacts and Policy Responses. World Bank Group, © World Bank |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/109022 |