Vodová, Pavla (2004): Early warning signals and their role in preventing banking crises. The Czech Republic case. Published in:
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Abstract
In recent decades many countries have experienced banking crisis, for example Mexico (1994-1995), East Asian countries (after 1997) and transition economies (in 1990´s). The Czech Republic can not be omitted. The aim of this article is to characterise the role of early warning signals in measuring the vulnerability of countries to systemic banking crisis and to analyse how successfully these indicators could have been able to predict the banking crisis in case of Czech Republic. The first part of this paper defines the term banking crisis and describes indicators of banking crisis. The content of the second part of the paper are the individual early warning signals. The next part contains the characteristics of banking crisis in the Czech Republic. The last chapter tries to analyse the level of success of early warning signals in predicting the banking crisis in the Czech Republic.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Early warning signals and their role in preventing banking crises. The Czech Republic case. |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | banking crisis; nonperforming loans; bank failures; GDP growth |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages |
Item ID: | 11902 |
Depositing User: | Pavla Vodová |
Date Deposited: | 03 Dec 2008 15:54 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 19:00 |
References: | Honohan, P and Klingebiel, D, ‘Controlling the Fiscal Costs of Banking Crises’. Caprio, G and Klingebiel, D (1996), ‘Bank insolvency: Bad Luck, Bad Policy, or Bad Banking?’ The paper prepared for the World Bank’s Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics, Washington, D.C., April 25-26. Claessens, S, Klingebiel, D and Laeven, L ‘Financial Restructuring in Banking and Corporate Sector Crises: Which Policies to Pursue?’ Goldstein, M and Turner, P (1996), ‘Banking Crises In Emerging Economies: Origins And Policy Options’, BIS Economic Paper, no. 46. Gonzáles-Hermosillo, B (1999), ‘Developing Indicators to Provide Early Warnings of Banking Crises’, Finance and Development, no. 6. Hardy, D (1998) ‘Are Banking Crises Predictable?’ Finance & Development, no. 4. Stavárek, D and Polouček, S (2004), ‘Efficiency and Profitability in the Banking Sector’. In Polouček, S (ed.) ‘Reforming the Financial Sector in Central European Countries’. Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 75 - 135. Vodová, P (2003), ‘Causes of the Banking Crises’, The paper prepared for the Fifth International Conference Aidea Giovani, Milan, July 3-4. Vodová, P (2003), ‘Credit Risk as a Cause of Banking Crises’, The paper prepared for the Fifth International Conference Aidea Giovani, Milan, July 3-4. www.cnb.cz www.imf.org |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/11902 |