AGBOTON, Damien Joseph (2024): Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU): A Search for New Evidence of Causality. Forthcoming in:
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_121814.pdf Download (373kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this article, we use recently developed panel causality and cointegration techniques to examine the long-term relationship between inflation and economic growth in the 8 WAEMU countries. A panel of 256 observations was thus constituted from the IMF (WDI) and CBWAS database. Our results highlight a unidirectional causality between inflation and economic growth and support the view that public spending controls can reduce inflation. Economic growth is the main channel through which economic policy can influence inflation. Furthermore, improving the quality of the workforce can further strengthen economic growth.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU): A Search for New Evidence of Causality |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Inflation Economic growth Panel causality Panel cointegration WAEMU |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation |
Item ID: | 121814 |
Depositing User: | M. Damien Agboton |
Date Deposited: | 26 Aug 2024 23:21 |
Last Modified: | 04 Sep 2024 08:53 |
References: | Abbott A. & De Vita G. (2011), Revisiting the relationship between inflation and growth: A note on the role of exchange rate regimes, 'Economic Issues', 16(1), 37. Aiyagari S.R. (1990), Deflating the case for zero inflation, 'Quarterly Review', Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 14, 2–11. Akgul I . & Ozdemir S. (2012), Inflation threshold and the effects on economic growth, 'Iktisat Is- letme ve Finans', 27(313), 85–106. Aydın C., Esen Ö., & Bayrak M. (2016), Inflation and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Analysis for Turkish Republics in Transition Process, 'Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences', 229, 196–205. Baharumshah A.Z., Slesman L., & Wohar M.E. (2016), Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and economic growth in emerging and developing countries: Panel data evidence, 'Economic Systems', 40(4), 638–657. Barro R.J. (1995), Inflation and economic growth (No. w5326). National Bureau of Economic Research. Barro R. J. (1996). Inflation and growth, 'Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review', 78, 153–169. Baumol W.J. (1999), Retrospectives: Say’s Law, 'The Journal of Economic Perspectives', 13(1), 195–204. Benhabib J. & Spiegel M.M. (2009), Moderate inflation and the deflation–depression link, 'Journal of Money, Credit and Banking', 41(4), 787–798. Boyd J.H. & Champ B.A. (2006), Inflation, banking, and economic growth, 'Economic Commentary', (May). Bruno M. & Easterly W. (1998), Inflation crises and long-run growth, 'Journal of Monetary Economics', 41(1), 3–26. Cameron N., Hum D. & Simpson W. (1996), Stylized facts and stylized illusions: Inflation and productivity revisited, 'Canadian Journal of Economics', 29, 152–162. De Gregorio J. (1992), The effect of inflation on economic growth, 'European Economic Review', 36, 417–424. De Gregorio J. (1993), Inflation, taxation, and long-run growth, 'Journal of Monetary Economics', 31, 271–298. Faria J.R. & Carneiro F.G. (2001), Does high inflation affect growth in the long and short run?, 'Journal of Applied Economics', 4(1), 89–105. Fischer S. (1993), The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. , ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 32, 485–512. Friedman M. (1956), The quantity theory of money: A restatement. [in:] M. Friedman (Ed.), Studies in the quantity theory of money (pp. 3–21). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Ghosh A. & Phillips S. (1998), Warning: Inflation may be harmful to your growth. ʻIMF Staff Pa‑ persʼ, 45 672–710. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund. Gillman M. & Harris M.N. (2010), The effect of inflation on growth, ʻEconomics of Transitionʼ, 18(4), 697–714. Gillman M. & Kejak M. (2005), Contrasting models of the effect of inflation on growth, ʻJournal of Economic Surveysʼ, 19(1), 113–136. Gillman M., Harris M.N. & Mátyás L. (2004), Inflation and growth: Explaining a negative effect, ʻEmpirical economicsʼ, 29(1), 149–167. Gokal V . and Hanif S. (2004). Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Fiji, Work‑ ing Paper 2004/04. Gylfason T. & Herbertsson T.T. (2001), Does inflation matter for growth?, ʻJapan and the world economyʼ, 13(4), 405–428. Khan M.S. & Senhadji A.S. (2001), Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, ʻIMF Staff papersʼ, 48(1), 1–21. Kaufman, D., A. KRaay et M. MastRuzzI (2003), « Govenance Matters III: Gove- nance Indicators for 1996-2002 », Banque mondiale, World Bank Policy Research, Working Paper, no 2772. Kremer S., Bick A. &Nautz D. (2013), Inflation and growth: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis, ʻEmpirical Economicsʼ, 1–18. Kremer S., Bick A. & Nautz D. (2009), Inflation and growth: New evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis, SFP 649 Discussion Paper No. 036. Zuberlin: Humboldt‑Universität. Lucas R.E. (1973), Some international evidence on output‑inflation tradeoffs, ʻThe American Eco‑ nomic Reviewʼ, 63(3), 326–334. M. LOUBASSOU et al.(2018). Effets de seuls dans la relation entre inflation et croissance économique dans la communauté économique et monétaire de l’Afrique Centrale (CEMAC) : Cas du cameroun et du Congo Brazzaville.18(1) ;Annales umng. Malla S. (1997), Inflation and economic growth: Evidence from a growth equation, Department of Economics, University of Hawaiâ I at Monoa, Honoulu, USA. Mallik G. & Chowdhury R.M. (2001), Inflation and economic growth: Evidence from South Asian countries, ʻAsian Pacific Development Journalʼ, 8, 123–135. Mubarik Y.A. & Riazuddin R. (2005), Inflation and growth: An estimate of the threshold level of in‑ flation in Pakistan, State Bank of Pakistan. Munir Q. & Mansur K. (2009), Non‑linearity between inflation rate and GDP growth in Malaysia, ʻEconomics bulletinʼ, 29(3), 1555–1569. Odhiambo N.M. (2012), Inflation dynamics and economic growth in Tanzania: a multivariate time series model, ʻJournal of Applied Business Research (JABR)ʼ, 28(3), 317–324. Ozdemir Z.A. (2010), Dynamics of inflation, output growth, and their uncertainty in the UK: an empirical analysis, ʻThe Manchester Schoolʼ, 78(6), 511–537. Rapach D.E. (2003), International evidence on the long‑run impact of inflation, ʻJournal of Money, Credit, and Bankingʼ, 35(1), 23–48. Sarel M. (1996), Non linear effects of inflation on economic growth, ʻStaff Papersʼ, 43(1), 199–215. Sidrauski M. (1967), Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy, ʻAmerican Economic Reviewʼ, 57, 534–544. Snowdon B. & Vane H.R. (2005), Modern macroeconomics: its origins, development and current state, Edward Elgar Publishing. Stockman A.C. (1981), Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash‑in‑advance economy, ʻJournal of Monetary Economicsʼ, 8, 387–393. Temple J. (2000), Inflation and growth: Stories short and tall, ʻJournal of Economic Surveysʼ, 14, 395–426. Tobin J. (1965), Money and economic growth, ʻEconometrica: Journal of the Econometric Societyʼ, 671–684. Tung L.T. & Thanh P.T. (2015), Threshold in the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam, ʻAsian Social Scienceʼ, 11(10), 105. Valdovinos C.G.F. (2003), Inflation and economic growth in the long run, ʻEconomics Lettersʼ, 80(2), 167–173. Vinayagathasan T. (2013), Inflation and economic growth: A dynamic panel threshold analysis for Asian economies, ʻJournal of Asian Economicsʼ, 26, 31–41. Wai U.T. (1959), The relation between inflation and economic development: a statistical inductive study, ʻStaff Papers (International Monetary Fund)ʼ, 7(2), 302–317. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/121814 |