Discrepancias metodológicas en las estadísticas de inversión extranjera directa en Paraguay: Un análisis BCP–CEPAL

armoa garcia, roger roman (2025): Discrepancias metodológicas en las estadísticas de inversión extranjera directa en Paraguay: Un análisis BCP–CEPAL.

Abstract

This article analyzes the methodological differences in the estimation of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Paraguay, comparing the approaches used by the Central Bank of Paraguay (BCP) and the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). It discusses how the statistical approach of the BCP—which incorporates the directional principle to calculate net FDI flows—contrasts with ECLAC’s approach based on assets and liabilities (gross FDI inflows). These methodological divergences have resulted in significant discrepancies in the reported FDI figures for Paraguay in recent years. The article examines concrete examples of these differences, their causes (such as the availability of definitive data), and their implications for economic analysis and policymaking. It concludes by emphasizing the importance of harmonizing criteria and understanding the definitions used when interpreting FDI statistics, in order to improve decision-making in international economics and investment policy.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Methodological discrepancies in foreign direct investment statistics in Paraguay: A BCP–ECLAC analysis
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: Foreign direct investment, statistical methodology, Central Bank of Paraguay, ECLAC, Paraguay
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology ; Computer Programs > C82 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data ; Data Access; F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F21 - International Investment ; Long-Term Capital Movements; F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F42 - International Policy Coordination and Transmission; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O19 - International Linkages to Development ; Role of International Organizations

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