Hossain, Monzur and Ahmed, Mansur (2009): Exchange Rate Policy under Floating Regime in Bangladesh: An Assessment and Strategic Policy Options. Published in: Bangladesh Development Studies , Vol. Vol. X, No. No. 4 (December 2009): pp. 35-67.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_20487.pdf Download (669kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper examines the exchange rate policy in Bangladesh for the period 2000-08. Regime classification of the paper suggests that Bangladesh maintained a de facto managed floating regime by intervening in the foreign exchange market on a regular basis. This is at odds with the Bangladesh Bank's claim of maintaining de jure floating regimesince end-May 2003. A high exchange rate pass-through is observed along with high market pressure during the period of expansionary monetary policy. Given the thin foreign exchange market and high pass-through effects, it appears difficult for Bangladesh to mainatin a freely floating regime. Although Bangladesh maintained average competitiveness, the currency remained somewhat overvalued. Based on the findings, some pragmatic policies in managing the exchange rate in Bnagladesh have been suggested.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Exchange Rate Policy under Floating Regime in Bangladesh: An Assessment and Strategic Policy Options |
English Title: | Exchange Rate Policy under Floating Regime in Bangladesh: An Assessment and Strategic Policy Options |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Exchange Rate, Floating Regime, Bangladesh |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 20487 |
Depositing User: | Monzur Hossain |
Date Deposited: | 11 Aug 2010 11:04 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 14:55 |
References: | ADB, 2002a (March), Quarterly Economic Update, (Dhaka, Bangladesh Resident Office) Baffes, J.,I. Elbadawi, and S. O’Connell, (1999), “Single-Equation Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate,” in Exchange Rate Misalignment: Concepts and Measurement for Developing Countries, ed. By L. Hinkle and P. Montiel (New York: Oxford University Press) Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Martin, Miquel-Angel Galindo & Niroomand, Farhang, 1998. "Exchange Rate Sensitivity of the Demand for Money in Spain," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 607-12, May. Bubula, Andrea and Inci Ötker-Robe (2002). “The Evolution of Exchange Rate Regimes since 1990: Evidence from De Facto Policies”, IMF Working Paper 02/155. Chowdhury, Mainul I. and Siddique, S. F. (2006) “Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Bangladesh”, Working Paper No. 0607, Policy Analysis Unit, Research Department, Bangladesh Bank. Clark, P and R. MacDonald, (1998), “Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals: A Methodological Comparison of BEERs and FEERs,” IMF Working Paper WP98/67 (Washington, International Monetary Fund) De Brouwer, Gordon and Neil Ericsson (1995), “Modelling Inflation in Australia,” Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 9510. Dornbusch, R., (1988), Exchange Rates and Inflation. MIT Press, Cambridge. Eichengreen, B. − Rose, A. Wyplosz, C. (1996), “Contagious Currency Crises”, CEPR Discussion Paper N. 1453 Garcés Diáz, Daniel (1999), “Determinación del Nivel de Precios y la Dinámica Inflacionaria en México,” Banco de México, Documento de Investigación Económica. Girton, Lance, and Don Roper (1977), “A Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure Applied to the Postwar Canadian Experience”, American EconomicReview 67:4, 537–48. Grenville, S. and D. Gruen (1999). “Capital flows and exchange rates”, D. Gruen and L. Gower (eds.), Capital flows and the International Financial System (Sydney: Reserve Bank of Australia) Hausmann, Ricardo, Panizza, Ugo and Stein, Ernesto (2001), “Why do countries float the way they float?”, Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 66, pp. 387-414. Hernandez, Leonardo, and Peter Montiel. 2003. “Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Policy in Five Asian Countries: Filling in the “Hollow Middle”? Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Vol. 17, Issue 3, pp. 336-369. Hooper, P. and Marquez, J. (1993). “Exchange rates, prices and external adjustments in the United States and Japan”. International Finance Discussion Paper, No. 456, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Hossain, Akhter (1997), “The Real Exchange Rate, Production Structure, and Trade balance: The Case of Bangladesh”, Indian Economic Review, 1997, vol. 32, issue 2, pages 155-177 Hossain, Akhtar, (2002), “Exchange Rate Responses to Inflation in Bangladesh”, (Washington D.C., IMF Working Paper No. WP/02/XX) Hossain, Monzur (2009), “Institutional Development and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime: A Cross-country Analysis”, the Journal of the Japanese and International Economies (Elsevier; USA), Vol 23, No. 1, pp. 56-70. Islam, Mirza Azizul (2003), “Exchange Rate Policy of Bangladesh: Not Floating Does Not Mean Sinking”, CPD Occasional Paper series, 20 Joahnsen, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12 (June/September), pp. 231-54. Johansen, S. and K. Juselius, (1992). “Testing Structural Hypothesis in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK”, Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 53, pp. 211-44. Johansen, S. (1995), Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegarted Vector Autoregressive Models (Oxford, UK; Oxford University Press) Kaminsky, G.L. and Reinhart, C. (1999), “The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems”, The American Economic Review, vol. 89, n. 3, pp. 473-500 Levy Yeyati, Eduardo and Federico Sturzenegger. 2002. “Classifying Exchange Rate Regimes: Deeds Versus Words”, Universidad Torcuato di Tella. available via the internet at: www.utdt.edu/~fsturzen. Montiel, P. J., (1997), “Exchange Rate Policy and Macroeconomic Management in ASEAN Countries,” in J. Hicklin et al. (eds) Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries, Washington, D.C.: IMF. Ohno, Kenichi. (1999). “Exchange Rate Management in Developing Asia: Reassessment of the Precrisis Soft Dollar Zone.” ADBI Working Paper 1, Asian Development Bank Institute. Rahman, Md. Habibur and S. Barua (2006) “Recent Experiences in the Foreign Exchange and Money Markets”, Policy Note 0703, published in the Bangladesh Bank Quarterly, III (4). Rahman, AKM Atiqur and Basher, Syed Abul (2001), “Real Exchange Rate Behavior and Exchange Rate Misalignments in Bangladesh: A Single Equation Approach”, Bangladesh Development Studies, Vol. XXVII, No. 2, June 2001. Reinhart, Carmen M. and Kenneth Rogoff. (2004). “The Modern History of Exchange Rate Arrangements: A Reinterpretation”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 119, 1, February. Taslim, Mohammad Ali. (2003). “A Monetary Approach to Exchange Market Disequilibrium in Australia: 1975-97”, Australian Economic Papers, Vol. 42. Issue. 02. Younus, Sayera (2009), “Impact of Monetary Policy Changes in a SemiGlobal Economy: Evidence from Bangladesh”, Working Paper Series: WP 0902, Bangladesh Bank Younus, Sayera and Chowdhury, Mainul Islam (2006), “An Analysis of Bangladesh’s Transition to Flexible Exchange Rate Regime”, Working Paper Series: WP 0706, Bangladesh Bank |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/20487 |