Polterovich, Victor and Popov, Vladimir and Tonis, Alexander (2008): Mechanisms of Resource Curse, Economic Policy and Growth.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_20570.pdf Download (510kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper analyzes economic policies in resource rich countries and various mechanisms of resource curse leading to a potentially inefficient use of resources. Arguments are provided in favor of "conditional resource curse" hypothesis: resource abundance hampers growth if institutions of a country are weak. We study the impact of the resource abundance on budget deficit and inflation, foreign exchange reserves and real exchange rate, as well as policies of maintaining low domestic fuel and energy prices. We show that lower domestic fuel prices, that are typical for resource rich countries, have a positive effect on investment in R&D and fixed capital stock, and on long term growth, even though they are associated with losses resulting from higher energy intensity. However, in resource rich countries real exchange rate is generally higher than in other countries. Besides, resource abundance leads to corruption of institutions, especially if these institutions were not strong in the beginning of the period. While there is no solid evidence that, on average, resource abundant countries grow more slowly than the others, there is evidence that they use resources less efficiently, if their institutions are weak.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Mechanisms of Resource Curse, Economic Policy and Growth |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | resource curse; economic growth; quality of institutions; inflation; industrial policy; lower domestic fuel prices; real exchange rate |
Subjects: | P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P16 - Political Economy |
Item ID: | 20570 |
Depositing User: | Victor Polterovich |
Date Deposited: | 09 Feb 2010 14:15 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 08:50 |
References: | Волчкова, Н. (2005). Причины сырьевой зависимости российской экономики: «голландская болезнь» или недостаточно развитые институты, Trade policy and WTO. Воробьев М. (2006). Роль государства в преодолении ресурсного проклятия, NES Master Thesis. Гурвич, Е. Т. (2004). Макроэкономическая оценка роли российского нефтегазового сектора, Вопросы экономики 10. Гурвич, Е. Т. (2006). Формирование и использование Стабилизационного фонда, Вопросы экономики 4. Дмитриева, О. (2006). Формирование стабилизационных фондов: предпосылки и следствия. Вопросы Экономики, 8, 17-30. Жукова, Н. (2006). Изобилие природных ресурсов и экономический рост: роль институтов, NES Master Thesis BSP/2006/079. Kartashov, 2006. Карташов, Г. (2006). Экономический рост и качество институтов ресурсоориентированных стран, NES Master Thesis BSP/2006/082. Кудрин, А. (2006). Механизмы формирования нефтегазового баланса бюджета России. Вопросы Экономики, 8, Август, 4-16. Милов В. (2006). Может ли Россия стать энергетической сверхдержавой? Вопрсы Экономики, 9, Сентябрь, 21-30. Полтерович В., В. Попов (2006а). Эволюционная теория экономической политики. Часть I. Опыт быстрого развития. Вопросы экономики 2006, Nо. 7, 4-23. Полтерович В.М., В.В. Попов (2006b). Эволюционная теория экономической политики. Часть II. Необходимость своевременного переключения. Вопросы экономики, 2006, Nо. 8, 46-64. Полтерович В., В. Попов, А. Тонис (2007а). Экономическая политика, качество институтов и механизмы «ресурсного проклятия». Издательский дом ГУ ВШЭ. 98 с. Полтерович В., В. Попов, А. Тонис (2007b). Механизмы «ресурсного проклятия» и экономическая политика. Вопросы экономики. Вып. 6, 4-27. Chystyakov, 2006. Чистяков, Е. (2006). Природные ресурсы, коррупция и обрабатывающая промышленность в малой открытой экономике, NES Master Thesis. Яковлев А. А. (2006). Агенты модернизации. М: ГУ ВШЭ, 426 с. Abidin, M. Z. (2001). Competitive Industrialization with Natural Resource Abundance: Malaysia, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 147-164. Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., Robinson, J., and P. Vared (2005).Income and Democracy. MIT, Working paper 05-05, February, 35 pp. Ahrend, R. (2006). How to sustain growth in a resource based economy? The main concepts and their application to the Russian case, OECD Economics Department Working Papers 478, OECD Publishing. Alexeev, M., and R. Conrad (2005). The elusive curse of oil, Working Papers Series SAN05-07. Auty, Richard M. (1998). Resource Abundance and Economic Development. Improving the Performance of Research-Rich countries. Research for Action 44. Helsinki: UNU/WIDER. Auty, R.M. (ed.) (2001). Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 340 pp. Auty, R.M. (2001). A Growth Collapse with High Rent Point Resources: Saudi Arabia, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), (2001). Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 193-207. Auty, R.M. (2001). Large Resource-Abundant Countries Squander their Size Advantage: Mexico and Argentina, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 208-222. Auty, R.M. and J.L. Evia (2001). A Growth Collapse with Point Resources: Bolivia, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), (2001), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 179-192. Auty, R.M. and A.H. Gelb (2001). Political Economy of Resource-Abundant States, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), (2001), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 126-144. Auty, R.M. and Sampsa Kiiski (2001). Natural Resources, Capital Accumulation, Structural Change, and Welfare, In: Auty, R.M. (ed.), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 19-35. Baldwin, R.E. (1956). Patterns of development in newly settled regions, Manchester School of Social and Economic Studies, 24, 161-179. Barro, R.J. (1996). Democracy and growth, Journal of Economic Growth 1 (1), 1-27. Barro, R.J. (1996a). Determinants of economic growth: a cross-country empirical study, NBER Working Paper 5698. Barro, R.J. (1999). Determinants of democracy, The Journal of Political Economy 107, S6, S158-29. Ben-David, D. (1996), Trade and Convergence Among Countries. Journal of International Economics, 40(3): 459-472.conomics, 40(3): 459-472. Boyce, J.R., and J. C. H. Emery (2005). A Hotelling explanation for the ‘curse of natural resources’, University of Calgary, Department of Economics Discussion Paper 06. Brunnschweiler, C. N. (2006). Cursing the blessings? Natural resource abundance, institutions, and economic growth, Economics Working Paper Series 06/51, ETH Zurich. Bulte, E.H., R. Damania, and R. Deacon (2003). Resource abundance, poverty, and development, Working paper 21-04, Department of Economics, University of California, Santa Barbara. Bulte, E.H., R. Damania, and R. T. Deacon (2003). Resource Abundance, Poverty and Development. Corden, M., and J.P. Neary (1982). Booming sector and de-industrialization in a small open economy, Economic Journal 92, 825-848. Davis, J., Ossowski,R., Daniel, J. and S.Barnett . (2001). Stabilization and Savings Funds for Nonrenewable Resources. Experience and Fiscal Policy Implications. International monetary Fund, Washington DC, Occasional paper 205, 43 pp. Deacon, R., and B. Mueller (2004). Political economy and natural resource use, Department of Economics, UCSB, Departmental Working Papers 01-04. Egorov, G., Guriev, S and K. Sonin (2006). Media Freedom, Bureaucratic Incentives, and the Resource Curse. CEDI Working Paper, No. 06-10 Findlay, R. and M. Lundahl (2001). Natural Resources and Economic Development: the 1870-1914 Experience, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 95-112. Gaddy, C.G. and B.W. Ickes (2005). Resource rents and the Russian economy, Eurasian Geography and Economics 46, 559-583. Gelb, A. and Associates (1988). Oil Windfalls: Blessing or Curse? New York: A World Bank Research Publication. 357 pp. Glassburner B.(1998). Indonesia: Windfall in a Pure Rural Economy. In: Gelb , A. and Associates. Oil Windfalls: Blessing or Curse? New York: A World Bank Research Publication. 197- 226. Gylfason, T. (2001a). Natural resources, education, and economic development, European Economic Review 45, 847-859. Gylfason, T. (2001b). A Nordic Perspective on Natural Resources Abundance, in: Auty, R.M. (ed.), (2001), Resource Abundance and Economic Development, Oxford University Press, 296-311. Gylfason, T. G., Zoega (2002). Inequality and Economic Growth: Do Natural Resources Matter? CESifo Working Paper Series No. 712. Gylfason, T. (2004). Natural resources and economic growth: from dependence to diversification, CEPR Discussion Paper 4804. Hausmann, Ricardo, and Dani Rodrik (2003). “Economic Development as Self-Discovery,” Journal of Development Economics, December 2003. Hausmann, Ricardo, Jason Hwang, and Dani Rodrik (2006). “What You Export Matters,” NBER Working Paper, January 2006. Hirshman, A. O. (1977). A generalized linkage approach to development with special reference to staples. In: M. Nash (ed.) Essays on Economic development and Cultural Change in Honor of Bert F. Hoselitz, Chicago III: University of Chicago Press, 67-98. Innis, Harold A. (1954). The Cod Fisheries: The History of an International Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1940. Rev. Ed., Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 1954. Kaufmann, Daniel, Kraay, Aart, and Zoido-Lobatón Pablo (1999). Governance Matters. World Bank Policy Research. Working Paper No. 2196. Krugman, P.R. (1987). The narrow moving band, the Dutch disease and the competitive consequences of Mrs. Thatcher, Journal of Development Economics 27, 41-55. Kunte, A., K. Hamilton, J. Dixon and M. Clemens (1998). Estimating National Wealth: Methodology and Results. Environmental department papers. Paper No. 57, January, WB, Washington, DC. Leamer, E.E, H. Maul, S. Rodriguez, and P.K. Schott (1998). Does natural resource abundance increase Latin American income inequality?, Journal of Development Economics 59, 3-42. Leite, C., and J. Weidmann (1999). Does Mother Nature corrupt? Natural resources, corruption, and economic growth, IMF Working Paper 99/85. Matsen, E., and R. Torvik (2005). Optimal Dutch disease, Journal of Development Economics 78, 494-515. Matsuyama, K. (1992). Agricultural productivity, comparative advantage, and economic growth, Journal of Economic Theory 58, 317-334. Mehlum, H., K.O. Moene, and R. Torvik (2005). Institutions and the resource curse, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society 116(508), 1-20. Polterovich, V., and V. Popov (2002). Accumulation of foreign exchange reserves and long term growth, NES Working paper. Polterovich, V., and V. Popov (2004). Appropriate Economic Policies For Different Stage of Development. NES project paper, Polterovich, V., and V. Popov (2005). Resource abundance, globalization, and economic development, New Economic School, Research Project 2005-2006. Polterovich, V., and V. Popov (2006). Democratization, quality of institutions and economic growth, NES Working Paper 2006/056. Prebisch, R. (1950). The Economic Development of Latin America and Its Orincipal Problems, Economic Bulletin for Latin America 7, 1-12. Robinson, J.A., R. Torvik, and T. Verdier (2006). Political foundations of the resource curse, Journal of Development Economics 79, 447-468. Rodrik, D. (1986). ‘Disequilibrium’ exchange rates as industrialization policy, Journal of Development Economics 23, 89-106. Rodrik, D. (1996). Coordination failures and government policy: A model with applications to East Asia and Eastern Europe, Journal of International Economics 40, 1-22. Rodrik, D. (2006). WHAT’S SO SPECIAL ABOUT CHINA’S EXPORTS? Harvard University, January 2006. Rodrik, D. (2007). The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence. Undervaluation is good for growth, but why? - July 2007. Rodriguez, F. (2004). The Political Economy of Latin American Economic Growth. Manuscript. Rodriguez, F., and J.D. Sachs (1999). Why do resource abundant economies grow more slowly? A new explanation and an application to Venezuela, Journal of Economic Growth 4, 277-303. Sachs, Jeffrey D. (1996). Resource Endowments and the Real Exchange Rate: A Comparison of Latin America and East Asia. Mimeo. Cambridge, MA: Harvard Institute for International Development. Sachs, J.D. and A.M. Warner (1995). Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth. NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 5398. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. Sachs, J.D. and A.M. Warner (1997). Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth. Revised version. Unpublished manuscript. Harvard Institute for International Development. Cambridge, MA. Sachs, J.D. and A.M. Warner (1997). Sources of slow growth in African economies. Journal of African Economics, 6(3), 335-380. Sachs, J.D. and A.M. Warner (1999). The big push, natural resource booms and growth. Journal of Development Economics, vol.59, 43-76. Sachs, J.D., and A.M. Warner (2001). The curse of natural resources, European Economic Review 45, 827-838. Sala-i-Martin, X., and A. Subramanian (2003). Addressing the natural resource curse: an illustration from Nigeria, Economics Working Papers 685. Singer, H. (1950). Comments to the terms of trade and economic development. Review of Economics and Statistics, 40, 84-89. Stiglitz, J.E., (2004). The Resource Curse Revisited, Project Syndicate. Stijns, J.-P. (2005). Natural resource abundance and economic growth revisited, Development and Comp Systems 0103001, EconWPA. Suslova E. and N. Volchkova (2006). Human Capital, Industrial Growth and Resource Curse Torvik, R. (2002). Natural resources, rent seeking and welfare, Journal of Development Economics 67, 455-470. Van der Eng, Pierre (2002). Indonesia’s Growth Performance in the Twentieth Century. – In: The Asian Economies in the Twentieth century. Ed. By Angus Maddison, D.S. Prasada Rao and William F. Sheferd. Edwar Elgar, Cheltenham, UK, 2002. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/20570 |