Reinhart, Carmen (2009): The Second Great Contraction.
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Abstract
The global scope and depth of the 2007-2009 crisis is unprecedented in the post World War II period. As such, the most relevant comparison benchmark is the Great Depression, or the Great Contraction as dubbed by Friedman and Schwartz (1963). We highlight some of the similarities between these two episodes and extend our analysis of the aftermath of severe financial crises to include the most severe post-WWII crises as well. As to the causes of these great crises, we focus on those factors that are common across time and geography; we discriminate between root causes of the crisis, its symptoms, and features such as financial regulation which serve as amplifiers of the boom-bust cycle.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | The Second Great Contraction |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | financial crisis, public debt, recession, unemployment, global |
Subjects: | N - Economic History > N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics ; Industrial Structure ; Growth ; Fluctuations > N10 - General, International, or Comparative F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F30 - General H - Public Economics > H6 - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt |
Item ID: | 21485 |
Depositing User: | Carmen Reinhart |
Date Deposited: | 19 Mar 2010 22:32 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 15:17 |
References: | Diaz-Alejandro, Carlos (1985), “Goodby Financial Repression, Hello Financial Crash,” Journal of Development Economics 19. Kaminsky, Graciela L. and Carmen M. Reinhart, (1999). “The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance of Payments Problems”, American Economic Review, Vol.89 No.4, June, 473-500. Kaminsky, Graciela, Carmen M. Reinhart and Carlos A.Végh( 2004) “When It Rains, It Pours: Procyclical Capital Flows and Policies”, with. in Mark Gertler and Kenneth S. Rogoff, eds. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004. Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 11-53 Reinhart, Carmen M. and Vincent R. Reinhart, “Capital Flow Bonanzas: An Encompassing View of the Past and Present,” in Jeffrey Frankel and Francesco Giavazzi (eds.) NBER International Seminar in Macroeconomics 2008, (Chicago: Chicago University Press for the NBER, 2009). 1-54 Reinhart, Carmen M. and Rogoff, Kenneth S. (2009), This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton: Princeton Press). Velasco, Andres. "Financial and Balance-of-Payments Crises." Journal of Development Economics, October 1987, 27(1/2), 263-83. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/21485 |