Georgescu, George (2006): Evaluarea României: adevăr sau ficţiune? Published in: Revista Bilant No. 26 (28 November 2006): pp. 62-66.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_26364.pdf Download (107kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper focuses on the current system of country risk assessment by the main rating agencies, pointing out some of its weaknesses. Under these circumstances, was found that Romania is overrated by the international agencies, mainly due to political reasons, related to the close accession of the country into the European Union. The EU Member status does not however guarantee the financial stability, a possible rating downgrade - back to speculative grade - caused by the accelerated deterioration of trade and current account balances, making more expensive the increased borrowing costs to cover the deficits and threatening Romania’s external debt sustainability.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Evaluarea României: adevăr sau ficţiune? |
English Title: | Romania’s Rating: Truth or Fiction? |
Language: | Romanian |
Keywords: | Rating Assessment, Country Risk, Sovereign Risk, Financial Stability, Balance of Payments, External Debt |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment ; Short-Term Capital Movements O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O2 - Development Planning and Policy > O24 - Trade Policy ; Factor Movement Policy ; Foreign Exchange Policy G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G18 - Government Policy and Regulation |
Item ID: | 26364 |
Depositing User: | George Georgescu |
Date Deposited: | 03 Nov 2010 16:11 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 16:37 |
References: | BNR (2005), Balanţa de plăţi în anul 2005, Comunicat de presă, 17 februarie. Claessens S., Embrechts G. (2002), Sovereign Ratings and Transfer Risk. External versus Internal Ratings, Basel II Conference, May 7. EMTA (2006) Standard & Poor’s Lowers Long Term Rating on Hungary to BBB+, June 15. Financial Times (2006), IMF to warn Hungary, Bulgaria, Romania on external vulnerability, September 7. Georgescu G. (2006), Comerţul exterior scufundă barca economiei româneşti, Revista Bilanţ, Nr. 20, mai. IMF (2006), Global Financial Stability Report, Transcript of a Press Conference, September 12. INS (2006) Comerţul exterior al României în anul 2005, Comunicat de presă Nr. 5, 1 februarie. Mainelli M. (2003), Assessing Credit Rating Agencies, Emerald Publishing, August. Moody’s (2006), Romania’s Long-Term Foreign Currency Upgraded to Baa3, Press release, October 6. OECD (2006), Country Risk Classification, June. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/26364 |