Colignatus, Thomas (2011): The crisis and the raison d’être and prospect for the UK office for budget responsibility versus an economic supreme Court.
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Abstract
Each democratic nation with the Montesquieu Trias Politica separation of powers of the Executive, Legislative and Judiciary branches of government is advised to create an Economic Supreme Court as a fourth branch. The new UK Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) falls short of that and will fail in scientific advice just like the US Council of Economic Advisors, the German Sachverständigenrat, the French Commissariat Général du Plan and the Dutch Centraal Planbureau. The OBR’s setup is likely to put the UK on a path of self-fulfilling forecasts of lower sustainable growth and higher unemployment than necessary. This paper is a small update of my 2005 book “Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy” (DRGTPE) with respect to the economic crisis since 2007. This paper also discusses aspects of the continued stagflation, the euro, investments and the environment.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Institution: | Thomas Cool Consultancy & Econometrics |
Original Title: | The crisis and the raison d’être and prospect for the UK office for budget responsibility versus an economic supreme Court |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Political economy; public choice; political science; credit crunch; economic crisis; office for budget responsibility; stagflation; euro |
Subjects: | P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P16 - Political Economy A - General Economics and Teaching > A1 - General Economics > A11 - Role of Economics ; Role of Economists ; Market for Economists E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E60 - General |
Item ID: | 27873 |
Depositing User: | Thomas Colignatus |
Date Deposited: | 07 Jan 2011 20:50 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 16:58 |
References: | Thomas Colignatus is the preferred name of Thomas Cool in science. Belsey, Tim & Peter Hennessy (2009). Why did no one foresee the credit crunch? Royal Economic Society Newsletter. October 147: 8-10. http://www.res.org.uk/society/pdfs/newsletter/oct09.pdf Buchanan, James M. & Richard E. Wagner (1977). Democracy in Deficit: The Political Legacy of Lord Keynes. Academic Press. http://www.econlib.org/library/Buchanan/buchCv8c6.html Budd, Alan, Geoffrey Dicks & Graham Parker (2010). Establishing the Office for Budget Responsibility. Letter to the Chancellor, July 12, http://budgetresponsibility.independent.gov.uk/d/obr_permanent_body_advice_120710.pdf Colignatus, Thomas (1994). Trias Politica & Centraal Planbureau. Samuel van Houten Genootschap. http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool/Thomas/Nederlands/TPnCPB/Record/1994/11/30/TPenCPB.html Colignatus, Thomas (1996). Differential impact of the minimum wage on exposed and sheltered sectors. ewp-get/9608001, http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool/Papers/ShelteredExposed/AGEshex.html Colignatus, Thomas (2005). Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy, 2nd edition. Amsterdam: Dutch University Press. http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool/Papers/Drgtpe/Index.html Colignatus, Thomas (2009a). Consumer durables as investments that can help us out of the current economic crisis. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/13382/ Colignatus, Thomas (2009b). The current economic crisis: A solution that “lies buried and obscured in a mass of false theory". http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3087 Colignatus, Thomas (2010). Don’t tax sweat. Liberal Democrat Voice, April 3, http://ldv.org.uk/18646 Dorling, Daniel (2010). Injustice. Why social inequality persists. The Policy Press. http://www.sasi.group.shef.ac.uk/injustice/ Dow, Sheila, et al. (2009). Madam. Royal Economic Society Newsletter. October 147: 10-11 Gun, Dwyer (2010). Predicting the Financial Crisis: A Q&A With Fault Lines Author Raghuram. The New York Times June 17 Hellwig, Martin F. (2008a). Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector: An Analysis of the Subprime-Mortgage Financial Crisis. Preprints of the Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods. Bonn 2008/43, http://www.coll.mpg.de/sites/www.coll.mpg.de/files/text/2008_43online.pdf Hellwig, Martin F. (2008b). The causes of the financial crisis. CESifo Forum 4/2008. (See also the reference to the Jelle Zijlstra lecture.) http://www.coll.mpg.de/sites/www.coll.mpg.de/files/text/ifo_forum.pdf Hellwig, Martin F. (2010). Capital Regulation after the Crisis: Business as Usual? MPI Collective Goods Preprint, No. 2010/31. http://ssrn.com/abstract=1645224 Kuttner, Robert (2010). The Next Banking Crisis. The American Prospect, December, http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_next_banking_crisis Levitin, Adam J. & Susan M. Wachter (2010). Explaining the Housing Bubble. http://ssrn.com/abstract=1669401 O’Grady, Sean (2010). An office to calibrate degrees of uncertainty. The Independent. May 18 Osborne, George (2010). Terms of reference for the interim Office for Budget Responsibility. London: HM Treasury: http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/data_obr_index.htm Porter, Andrew (2010). George Osborne sets up watchdog to stop ministers 'fiddling figures'. Telegraph. May 18 Talbot, Colin (2010). OBR and Mr Osborne: If you have to say you’re a Lady…. Whitehall Watch blog October 21. http://whitehallwatch.org/2010/10/21/obr-and-mr-osborne-if-you-have-to-say-you%e2%80%99re-a-lady%e2%80%a6/ Tinbergen, Jan & Roefie Hueting (1991). GNP and Market Prices: Wrong Signals for Sustainable Economic Success that Mask Environmental Destruction. In: R. Goodland et al. (eds.), Environmentally Sustainable Economic Development: Building on Brundtland, Ch 4: 51-57. United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization, Paris, http://www.sni-hueting.info/EN/Publications/1991-Tinbergen-Hueting-GNP-and-market-prices.pdf |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/27873 |