Rompotis, Gerasimos G. (2011): Testing weak-form efficiency of exchange traded funds market. Published in: Aestimatio. The IEB International Journal of Finance No. 2 (July 2011): pp. 1-32.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_36020.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this paper we assess the weak-form efficiency of Exchange Traded Funds market applying various parametric and non-parametric tests. The parametric tests performed concern serial correlation tests and Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test while the nonparametric tests used is the Phillips-Peron (PP) unit root test. To assess ETF market efficiency, we employ full daily return historical data of a sample of 66 equity-linked ETFs traded in the U.S. stock over the period 2001-2010. The performed tests provide evidence on the fact that the efficient market hypothesis holds in the ETF market. In particular, the majority of serial correlation tests show the lack of such an issue in the time series of ETF returns, which is a prerequisite in order for the efficient market hypothesis to be verified. Moreover, both the parametric and non-parametric unit root tests adopted reveal the non-existence of such an issue with respect to the pricing of ETFs and, therefore, the weakform of the efficient market hypothesis seems not to be infringed in the U.S. ETF market.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Testing weak-form efficiency of exchange traded funds market |
English Title: | Testing Weak-form efficiency of Exchange Traded Funds Market |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | ETFs, Market efficiency, Weak-forms |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G14 - Information and Market Efficiency ; Event Studies ; Insider Trading |
Item ID: | 36020 |
Depositing User: | IEB Research Department |
Date Deposited: | 18 Jan 2012 12:57 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 01:35 |
References: | Bollen, N.P. and Busse, J.A. (2001). On the timing ability of mutual fund managers, Journal of Finance, 56, pp. 1075-1094. Branes P. (1986). Thin trading and stock market efficiency: A case of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 13(4), pp. 609-617. Butler, K.C. and Malaikah, S.J. (1992). Efficiency and inefficiency in thinly traded stock markets: Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, Journal of Banking and Finance, 16, pp. 197-210. Carhart, M.M. (1997) On persistence in mutual fund performance, Journal of Finance, 52, pp. 56-82. Chance, D.M. and Hemler, M.L. (2001). The performance of professional market timers: Daily evidence from executed strategies, Journal of Financial Economics, 62, pp. 377-411. Chang, E.C. and Lewellen, W.G. (1984). Market timing and mutual fund investment performance, Journal of Business, 57, pp. 57-72. Cootner, P. (1964). The random character of stock market prices, M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, MA. Debondt, W.F.M. and Thaler, R. (1995). Does the stock market overreact?, Journal of Finance, 56, pp. 2371-2388. Dickinson, J.P. and Muragu, K. (1994). Market efficiency in developing countries: A case study of the Nairobi Stock Exchange, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 21(1), pp. 133-150. Elton, E.J., Gruber, M.J., Das, S., and Hlavka, M. (1993). Efficiency with costly information: A reinterpretation of evidence from managed portfolios, Review of Financial Studies, 6, pp. 1-22. Evans, T. (2006). Efficiency tests of the UK financial futures markets and the impact of electronic trading systems, Applied Financial Economics, 16(17), pp. 1273-1283. Fama, E.F. (1965). The behavior of stock market prices, Journal of Business, 38, pp. 34-105. Fama, E.F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of theory and empirical work, Journal of Finance, 25, pp. 383-417. Fama, E.F. (1991). Efficient capital markets: II, Journal of Finance, 46, pp. 1975-1617. Fama, E. and French, K. (1988). Permanent and temporary components of stock prices, Journal of Political Economy, 96, pp. 246-273. French, K. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect, Journal of Financial Economics, 8, pp. 55-69. Goetzmann, W.N. and Ibbotson, R.G. (1994). Do winners repeat? Patterns in mutual fund performance, Journal of Portfolio Management, 20, pp. 9-18. Graham, J. and Harvey, C.R. (1996). Market timing ability and volatility implied in investment newsletters’ asset allocation recommendations, Journal of Financial Economics, 42, pp. 397-421. Grinblatt, M., Titman, S. and Wermers R. (1995). Momentum investment strategies, portfolio performance, and herding: A study of mutual fund behavior, American Economic Review, 85, pp. 1088-1105. Haugen, R. A. and Lakonishok, J. (1988). The incredible January Effect, Dow Jones-Irwin, Homewood. Hawawini, G. and Michel, P. (1984). European equity markets: A review of the evidence on price behaviour and efficiency in European equity markets: Risk, return and efficiency, Garland Publishing Company, New York and London. Henriksson R.D. and Merton, R.C. (1981). On the market timing and investment performance of managed portfolios II-Statistical procedures for evaluating forecasting skills, Journal of Business, 54, pp. 513-533. Hendricks, R.D., Patel, J. and Zeckhauser, R. (1993). Hot hands in mutual funds: Short-run persistence of performance, 1974-88, Journal of Finance, 48, pp. 93-130. Hudson, R., Dempsey, M. and Keasev, K. (1994). A note on the weak-form efficiency of capital markets: The application of simple technical trading rules to UK stock prices-1935 to 1994, Journal of Banking and Finance, 20, pp. 1121-1132. Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency, Journal of Finance, 48, pp. 65-91. Jensen, M.C. (1969). Risk, the pricing of capital assets, and the evaluation of investment portfolios, Journal of Business, 42, pp. 167-247. Kahneman, D. and Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction, Psychological Review, 80, pp. 237-251. Keim, D. B. (1983). Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: Further empirical evidence, Journal of Financial Economics, 12, pp. 13-32. Kendall, M.G. (1953). The analysis of economic time–series, part1, The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 116, pp. 11-34. Lo, A.W. and MacKinlay, A.C. (1988). Stock market prices do not follow random walks: Evidence from a simple specification test, Review of Financial Studies, 1 (1), pp. 41-66. Lo, A.W. and MacKinlay, A.C. (1999). A non-Random walk down wall street, Princeton University Press, Princeton. Lo, A.W., Mamaysky, H. and Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of technical analysis: Computational algorithms, statistical inference, and empirical implementation, Journal of Finance, 55, pp. 1705-1765. Malkiel, B.G. (2003). The Efficient Market Hypothesis and its critics, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17, pp. 59-82. Mishra, P.K., Das, K.B. and Pradhan, B.B. (2009). Empirical evidence on Indian stock market efficiency in context of the global financial crisis, Global Journal of Finance and Management, 1(2), pp. 149-157. Pope, F. P. and P. K. Yadav, (1994). Discovering errors in tracking error, Journal of Portfolio Management, 20(2), pp. 27-32. Omran, M. and Farrar, S. (2006). Tests of weak form efficiency in the Middle East emerging markets, Studies in Economics and Finance, 23, pp. 13-26. Samuelson, P. (1965). Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly, Industrial Management Review, 6, pp. 41-50. Sharpe W. (1966). Mutual fund performance, Journal of Business, 39, pp. 119-138. Shiller, R.J. (2000). Irrational exuberance, Princeton University Press, Princeton. Squalli, J. (2006). A non-parametric assessment of weak-form efficiency in the UAE financial markets, Applied Financial Economics, 16(18), pp. 1365-1373. Sung, M. and Johnson, J. (2006). A new perspective on weak form efficiency: empirical evidence from the UK bookmaker based betting market, 13th International Conference on Gambling & Risk Taking, Nevada, USA, 22-26, May, 2006 Treynor, J. and Mazuy, K. (1966). Can mutual funds outguess the market?, Harvard Business Review, 44, pp. 131-136. Worthington, A.C. and Higgs, H. (2006). Evaluating financial development in emerging capital markets with efficiency benchmarks, Journal of Economic Development, 31(1), pp. 17-44. Wermers, R. (1999). Mutual fund herding and the impact on stock prices, Journal of Finance, 54, pp. 581-622. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/36020 |