Kasibhatla, Krishna and Stewart, David and Sen, Swapan and Malindretos, John (2006): Are equity market daily price indices and returns in the major european markets european markets cointegrated? Tests and evidence. Published in: American Economist , Vol. 50, No. 2 (2006): pp. 47-57.
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Abstract
This paper examines the relationship between the stock market price indices and index returns in three major European equity markets, FTSE100 (U.K), DAX (Germany), and CAC40 (France). Our results, obtained using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, indicate that while the price indices of the three markets are cointegrated, returns on the indices are not cointegrated. These findings are not in agreement with the earlier studies that reported cointegration in the returns of the three indices. The sample period for the earlier studies ranges from mid-1980s to mid-1990s. Our results, using the sample period from late 1990 to early 2002, clearly indicate that there is no long run equilibrium relationship between the index returns on the three markets, although the three price indices are cointegrated.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Are equity market daily price indices and returns in the major european markets european markets cointegrated? Tests and evidence. |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Unit root, stationarity, co-integration |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G15 - International Financial Markets |
Item ID: | 36502 |
Depositing User: | Krishna Kasibhatla |
Date Deposited: | 08 Feb 2012 03:54 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 17:20 |
References: | Dickey, D.A. and W.A. Fuller: 1979: Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root: Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74 (June), pp. 427-31. Engle, Robert, and C. J. W. Granger 1987: Cointegration and Error-Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing, Econometrica, (March), pp. 251-76. Johansen and Juselius 1990: Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference in Cointegration – With Applications to the Demand for Money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(May), pp. 169-210. Johansen and Juselius 1995: Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models, Oxford University Press. Osterwald-Lenum, M. (1992): ‘A Note with Quantiles of Asymptotoc Distribution of the Maximum Likelihood Cointegration Rank Test Statistics,’Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54. MacKinnon, J.G.(1991): ‘Critical Values for Cointegration Tests’, chapter 13 in In Engle and C. W. J. Granger (eds.), Long-run Economic Relationships: Readings in Cointegration, Oxford University Press. Lo, and MacKinlay, 1990, An Econometric Analysis of Nonsynchronous Trading,Journal of Econometrics 45, 181-211. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/36502 |