Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua

Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr. and Munoz Sapien, Gabriel and Barraza de Anda, Martha P. and Dominguez Ruvalcaba, Lisbeily (2011): Dinámica del Consumo de Gasolina en Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua. Published in: Estudios Fronterizos , Vol. 13, No. 26 (11 December 2012): pp. 91-107.

Abstract

This research analyzes short-run gasoline consumption dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua, México. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function ARIMA analysis. This market is of interest because it is influenced by regional, national, and international economic conditions due to its location on the border with the United States. Explanatory variables that satisfy the significance criterion include the real price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez, the price of gasoline in Ciudad Juárez relative to that charged across the border in El Paso, Texas, USA, and formal sector employment in Ciudad Juárez. Out-of-sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of to 1 to 24 months into the future.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Gasoline Consumption Dynamics in Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua
• Language: Spanish
• Keywords: Gasoline Consumption; Border Economics
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q41 - Demand and Supply ; Prices; R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics > R15 - Econometric and Input-Output Models ; Other Models

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