Noland, Marcus (2000): The Philippines in the Asian Financial Crisis: How the Sick Man Avoided Pneumonia. Published in: Asian Survey , Vol. 40, No. 3 (May 2000): pp. 401-412.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_55665.pdf Download (87kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The Philippines has long been regarded as the weak sister of Asia, but in the Asian financial crisis it performed relatively well. This is not simply a matter of not being able to fall out of the basement, either—in mid-1997 the Philippines economy was forecasted to grow at more than six percent in 1998, and both the post-crisis forecasts revisions, and the degree of the eventual contraction were less in the Philippines than elsewhere in Asia. Rather, the Philippines crisis experience offers valuable lessons for the Philippines, the rest of Asia, and indeed, emerging markets around the world. The lesson is that policies matter: economic reform, particularly of the financial system, can have a demonstrable impact on a country's ability to weather a crisis, even if the crisis originates elsewhere and is spread by contagion.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Philippines in the Asian Financial Crisis: How the Sick Man Avoided Pneumonia |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Philippines, financial crisis, Asian financial crisis |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O16 - Financial Markets ; Saving and Capital Investment ; Corporate Finance and Governance |
Item ID: | 55665 |
Depositing User: | Marcus Noland |
Date Deposited: | 02 May 2014 07:07 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 14:57 |
References: | Bautista, Romeo M, and Mario M Lamberte. 1996. "The Philippines: Economic Developments and Prospects," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature 10:2 (November) 16-31. Barth, Marvin and Trevor Dinmore. 1999. "Trade Prices and Volumes in East Asia Through the Crisis,"International Finance Discussion Papers Number 643, Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (August). Calvo, Guillermo A. and Enrique G. Mendoza. 2000. "Rational Herd Behavior and the Globalization of Securities Markets," Journal of International Economics, forthcoming. Choe, Hyuk, Bong-Chan Kho, and René Stulz. 1999. "Do Foreign Investors Destabilize Stock Markets?," January, processed. Corsetti, Giancarlo, Paolo Pesenti, and Nouriel Roubini. 1999. "What Caused the Asian Currency and Financial Crisis?," Japan and the World Economy 11:3 305-73. Drazen, Allan. 1997. "Contagious Currency Crises" College Park: Center for International Economics, University of Maryland, processed. Estanislao, Jesus P. 1997. "The Philippine Economy: An Emerging Asian Tiger," Asia & Pacific Lecture Series, no. 1. Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. Fritz-Krockrow, Bernhard. 1999. "Saving and Financial Intermediation in the Philippines," EXIM Review19:2 (July) 88-110. Glick, Reuven and Andrew Rose. 1998. "Contagion and Trade," NBER Working Paper Series 6806.Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. Goldstein, Morris, Carmen Reinhart, and Graciela Kaminsky. 2000. Assessing Financial Vulnerability: An Early Warning System for Emerging Markets. Washington: Institute for International Economics, forthcoming. Hutchcroft, Paul D. 1998. Booty Capitalism: The Politics of Banking in the Philippines. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. Hutchcroft, Paul D. 1999. "Neither Dynamo nor Domino: Reforms and Crises in the Philippine Political Economy," in T.J. Pempel editor, The Politics of the Asian Economic Crisis. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. Kim, Woochan, and Shang-Jin Wei. 1999. "Foreign Portfolio Investors Before and During A Crisis,"NBER Working Paper Series 6968. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. Krugman, Paul R. 1997. "Currency Crises," Cambridge: Department of Economics, MIT, processed. Noland, Marcus, Li-Gang Liu, Sherman Robinson, and Zhi Wang. 1999. Global Economic Effects of the Asian Currency Devaluations (revised). Washington: Institute for International Economics. Tornell, Aaron. 1999. "Common Fundamentals in the Tequila and Asian Crises," NBER Working Paper Series 7139. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. Williamson, John and Molly Mahar. 1998. "A Survey of Financial Liberalization," Essays in International Finance No. 211, International Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University, November. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/55665 |