Covi, Giovanni (2014): The First Oil Shock, Stylized Facts, Reflections and The Easterly Puzzle in a Forty-Year Retrospective.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_58130.pdf Download (382kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper aims at understanding if the First Oil Shock has produced long-term effects to the economic system and its fundamentals, if it is still indirectly affecting the energy market and the growth rates of the Western Economies and Less Developed Countries. An historical perspective here will be used as an interpretative tool in order to discern the causes of the 1973’s events and its long-term consequences on the world economy during the two decades following the First Oil Shock. The circumstances and the causes by which the shock has developed, the happenings during the conflict, and the changes in the structure of the energy market play a key role for the analysis and therefore will be deeply investigated.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The First Oil Shock, Stylized Facts, Reflections and The Easterly Puzzle in a Forty-Year Retrospective |
English Title: | The First Oil Shock, Stylized Facts, Reflections and The Easterly Puzzle in a Forty-Year Retrospective |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | First Oil Shock; Sustainable Development; Long Waves; Oil; |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q3 - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation > Q32 - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q43 - Energy and the Macroeconomy |
Item ID: | 58130 |
Depositing User: | Dott. Giovanni Covi |
Date Deposited: | 28 Aug 2014 04:48 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 08:22 |
References: | Acemoglu D. and Robinson J.A., Why Nations Fail: The Origin of Power, Prosperity and Poverty, Profile Books, London, 2012 Adelman M.A, Genie out of the bottle. World Oil since 1970, The Mit Press, Cambridge, Mass., 1995 Barnett V., Kondratiev and the Dynamics of Economic Development, Macmillan, London, 1998 Basher S. A. and Fachin S., “The long-run relationship between savings and investment in oil- exporting developing countries: a case study of the Gulf Arab states”, MPRA paper n. 29077, February 2011, pp.1-26 Basosi D., Finanza & Petrolio. Gli Stati Uniti, l’Oro Nero, e l’Economia Politica Internazionale, StudioLT2 Edizioni, Venezia, 2012 Boyce R., The Opec agreements and economic development, Master thesis, McGill University, Faculty of graduate studies and research, Master of arts, a.a. 1974 Chang Ha-Joon, Kicking Away the Ladder. Development Strategy in Historical Perspective, Anthem Press, London, 2003 Covi G., "A Case Study of an Advanced Dutch Disease: the Russian Oil", MPRA Paper, No. 46670, 2013 Easterly W., "The Lost Decades: Developing Countries’ Stagnation in Spite of Policy Reform 1980-1998", Journal of Economic Growth, no.6, 2001, pp. 135-157. Ferguson N. et al. (Eds), The Shock of the Global: the 1970s in Perspective, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Ma, 2010 Gerschenkron A., Economic Backwardness in historical perspective, The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1962. Gordon R. G., “Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? Faltering Innovation Confronts the Six Headwinds”, NBER Working Paper No. 18315, August 2012 Hallwood P. and Sinclair S.,“Opec and the non-oil developing countries in the 1970s”, MPRA paper n. 24463, August 2010, pp. 1-21 Hodgson G. M., How Economics Forgot History. The Problem of Historical Specificity in Social Science, Routledge, London and New York, 2001 Humphreys M., Sachs J. and Stiglitz J. E., Escaping The Resource Curse, Columbia University Press, New York, 2007 Krugman P. R., and A. J. Venables, “Globalization and the Inequality of Nations,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1995, pp. 857–80 Ilie L., “Economic considerations regarding the first oil shock, 1973–1974”, MPRA paper n. 6431, December 2007, pp. 1-6 IMF, World Economic Outlook, 1988, Washington D.C IMF, World Economic Outlook, 2001, Washington D.C Jabber P., “Conflict and cooperation in Opec: prospects for the next decade”, International Organization, Volume 32, Issue 02, 1978, pp. 301-349 Maugeri L., The age of oil: the mythology, history and future of the world’s most controversial resource, Westport, Praeger, 2006 Milgrom P. and Roberts J., Economics, Organization and Management, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliff, New Jersey, 1992 North D., "Markets and Other Allocation Systems in History: the Challenge of Karl Polanyi, Journal of European Economic History, n.6, 1977, pp.703-716 North D., Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Mass, 1990 North D., Understanding the Process of Economic Change, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2005 Preiser E., "Property and Power in the theory of Distribution", Economic Papers, n.2, 1952, pp.206- 220 Skeet I., Opec: twenty-five years of prices and politics, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1988 Spiro D.E., The Hidden Hand of American Hegemony. Petrodollar Recycling and International Markets, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, New York, 1999 Stiglitz J. E., The Roaring Nineties. W.W. Norton & Company, New York, 2003 Truman H. S., "Inaugural Address", January 20, 1949, http://www.trumanlibrary.org/calendar/viewpapers.php?pid Von Bohm-Bawerk E., “Control or Economic Law”, Ludwig von Mises Institute, Auburn, Alabama, 2010; first appeared in the Zeitschrift für Volkswirtshaft, Sozialpolitik und Verwaltung, Volume XXIII, 1914, pp. 205–71 Zwan A. Van Der, “On the Assessment of the Kondratiev Cycle and Related Issues”, in Kuipers S. K., Lanjouw G. J. (Eds), Prospects of Economic Growth, North Holland Pub., Amsterdam |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/58130 |