Sakarya, Burchan (2008): Değişen Küresel Finansal Yapı ve 2007 Yılı Dalgalanmaları. Published in: BDDK Çalışma Tebliği No. 02/2008 (April 2008)
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_69193.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
Küresel piyasalarda 2006 yılının ikinci yarısından itibaren yeni bir döneme girildiği gözlenmektedir. Bu yeni dönem önceki dönemlere göre belirli açılardan farklılık arz etmektedir. Yeni dönem 1990’ların finansal krizler döneminden farklıdır; çünkü bu dönemde dalgalanmalar, ödemeler dengesi krizleri kadar derin değildir. 2000‐2006 döneminden de farklıdır, çünkü küresel likidite koşulları değişirken temel olarak gelişmiş ekonomilerde yaşanan gelişmeler, finansal küreselleşmenin ulaştığı nokta, karmaşık finansal ürünlerdeki artış ve risk transferi sorunu gibi hususlar neticesinde daha yaygın etkileri olan ve kendini tekrarlayabilen türbülanslar görülmektedir. Bu çerçevede gözetim ve denetim otoritelerinin finansal istikrar açısından izlemek durumunda oldukları alanlarda ve göstergelerde değişimler gözlenmektedir. Bu yeni nesil göstergelerle güçlendirilmiş bir makro gözetim çerçevesiyle küresel konjonktürün izlenmesi ve politika belirlenmesi türbülanslardan etkilenme derecesini de etkileyebilecektir.
Global financial markets have experienced several episodes of turbulences since mid‐2006. This marks a new era and this new era displays a number of properties different than its predecessors. In this new period we observe many and wide spread fluctuations, while during 1990s can be described as a period of currency crises. This period is also different from 2000‐2006 timeframe that the abundance of global liquidity is in question. Moreover, the increased financial globalization, rise in the type and number of complex financial instruments where the risks are further decomposed and transferred causes recurrent turbulences. In this framework, the fields and indicators that financial market supervisors follow in the quest of maintaining financial stability evolves. Thus the supervisory activities, enhanced with these indicators may well affect the degree of the effects on a given financial system.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Değişen Küresel Finansal Yapı ve 2007 Yılı Dalgalanmaları |
English Title: | Changing Global Financial Structure and 2007 Turbulances |
Language: | Turkish |
Keywords: | financial crisis, advanced economies |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G15 - International Financial Markets |
Item ID: | 69193 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Burchan Sakarya |
Date Deposited: | 08 Feb 2016 12:30 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 04:34 |
References: | Babic, A., & Zigman, A. (2001). Currency Crises: Theoretical and Empirical Overview of the 1990s. Croatian National Bank: http://www.hnb.hr/publikac/pregledi/s‐005.pdf adresinden alınmıştır Calvo, G. A. (1998). Capital Flows and Capital Market Crises:The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops. Journal of Applied Economics , 1 (1), 35‐54. CBOE. (2003). VIX White Paper. Chicago: CBOE. Dornbusch, R. (1999). Financial Crises: What Have We Learned From Theory and Experience. Essays in Honor of Robert F. Flood . Washington DC: IMF . DowJones. (2005). A Guide to Dow Jones CDX Indexes. Dow Jones. Evans, O., Leone, A. M., Gill, M., & Hilbers, P. (2000). Macroprudential Indicators of Financial System Soundness. Washington DC: IMF. Feldstein, M. (2006). The Return of Saving. Foreign Affairs . Flood, R. P., & Garber, P. M. (1984). Collapsing Exchange‐Rate Regimes: Some Linear Examples. Journal of International Economics , 17 (1‐2), 1‐13. Greenspan, A. (2005). Risk TRansfer and Financial Stability. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 41st Annual Conference on Bank Structure. Chicago: FED‐Chicago. IMF. (2007 Nisan). Global Financial Stability Report. IMF. IMF. (2007). World Economic Outlook. Washington DC: IMF. Isard, P., Razin, A., & Rose, A. (2000). International Finance and Financial Crises: Essays in Honor of Robert P. Flood Jr. Washington DC: IMF; Kluwer Academic Publishers. Kaminsky, G. L. (2003). Varieties of Currency Crises. NBER Working Paper (WP10193), 1‐31. Kaminsky, G., & Reinhart, C. (1999). The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance‐of‐Payments Problems. American Economic Review , 89 (3), 473‐500. Kazgan, G. (2005). Küreselleşme ve Ulus‐Devlet / Yeni Ekonomik Düzen. İstanbul: Bilgi Üniversitesi. Kim, G. M., Byun, J., & Ying, A. (December 2004). Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) Rules and Methodology. JPMorgan Emerging Markets Research. Kose, M., Prasad, E., Rogoff, K., & Wei, S. (2006). Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal. IMF Working Paper (WP/06/189), 1‐94. Krugman, P. (2001). Crises: The Next Generation? http://econ.tau.ac.il/research/sapir/Krugman.pdf. adresinden alınmıştır Markit. (2006). Index Methodology for the ABX.HE Index for the Sub‐Prime Home Equity Sector. Markit. Mishkin, F. (1992). Anatomy of a Financial Crisis. Journal of Evolutionary Economics , 2, 115‐130. Mishkin, F. (2001). Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries. NBER Working Papers (WP 8087), 1‐40. Mishkin, F. S. (2006). The Next Great Globalization:How Disadvantaged Nations can Harness Their Finanial System to Get Rich. New Jersey: Princeton University Press. MSCI. (2006). MSCI Methodology Book: Index Calculation Methodology. Morgan Stanley Capital International Inc. OECD. (2007). The Private Equity Boom. DAF/CMF(2007)2/PART2, OECD, Paris. Ongun, T. (1993). Finansal Globalleşme. Ekonomik Yaklaşım, 4 (9), 35‐46. Rodrik, D. (2006). Goodbye Washington Consensus, Hello Washington Confusion? A Review of the World Bank's Economic Growth in the 1990s: Learning from a Decade of Reform. Journal of Economic Literature , XLIV, 973–987. Roubini, N. (2008). RGE Monitor. Williamson, J. (1999). Latin American Adjustment: How much has Happened. Institute for international Economics . Yeldan, E. (2004). Küreselleşme Sürecinde Türkiye Ekonomisi. İstanbul: İletişim. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/69193 |