Modelling Chinese Inbound Tourism Arrivals into Christchurch

Fieger, Peter and Rice, John (2016): Modelling Chinese Inbound Tourism Arrivals into Christchurch.

Abstract

New data and modelling approaches are improving the usefulness of internet search data for forecasting inbound tourist arrivals. This short paper provides evidence of the usefulness of Baidu search data in predicting Chinese inbound tourist arrivals into a specific region in New Zealand. It also compares three modelling approaches, finding a Vector Autoregressive approach the most useful.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Tourism forecasting, Applied Econometrics
• Subjects: D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D12 - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis; L - Industrial Organization > L8 - Industry Studies: Services > L83 - Sports ; Gambling ; Restaurants ; Recreation ; Tourism; R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics

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