Heinrich, Timo and Shachat, Jason (2018): The development of risk aversion and prudence in Chinese children and adolescents.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_86448.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study experimentally evaluates the risk preferences of children and adolescents living in an urban Chinese environment. We use a simple binary choice task that tests risk aversion as well as prudence. This is the first test for prudence in children and adolescents. Our results reveal that subjects from grades 5 to 11 (10 to 17 years) make mostly risk averse and prudent choices. With respect to risk aversion behavior of 3rd graders (8 to 9 years) does not differ statistically from risk neutrality. We also find 3rd graders to make mostly prudent choices. We also find evidence for a transmission of preferences: risk aversion is significantly correlated between children and their parents. Also, prudence is significantly correlated between girls (but not boys) and their parents.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The development of risk aversion and prudence in Chinese children and adolescents |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | risk aversion; prudence; transmission of preferences; age effects; experimental economics; children |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C9 - Design of Experiments > C93 - Field Experiments D - Microeconomics > D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty > D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J13 - Fertility ; Family Planning ; Child Care ; Children ; Youth |
Item ID: | 86456 |
Depositing User: | Prof Jason Shachat |
Date Deposited: | 02 May 2018 15:42 |
Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 08:30 |
References: | Afridi, F., Li, S. X., and Ren, Y. (2015). Social identity and inequality: The impact of China's hukou system. Journal of Public Economics, 123, 17-29. Alan, S., Baydar, N., Boneva, T., Crossley, T. F., and Ertac, S. (2017). Transmission of risk preferences from mothers to daughters. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 134, 60-77. Angerer, S., Glätzle-Rützler, D., Lergetporer, P., and Sutter, M. (2015). Donations, risk attitudes and time preferences: A study on altruism in primary school children. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 115, 67-74. Baillon, A., Schlesinger, H., and van de Kuilen, G. (2018). Measuring higher order ambiguity preferences. Experimental Economics, forthcoming. Barnea, A., Cronqvist, H., and Siegel, S. (2010). Nature or nurture: What determines investor behavior? Journal of Financial Economics, 98(3), 583-604. Benjamin, D. J., Brown, S. A., and Shapiro, J. M. (2013). Who is ‘behavioral’? Cognitive ability and anomalous preferences. Journal of the European Economic Association, 11(6), 1231-1255. Black, S. E., Devereux, P. J., Lundborg, P., and Majlesi, K. (2017). On the origins of risk‐taking in financial markets. Journal of Finance. Bleichrodt, H., and van Bruggen, P. (2018). Higher order risk preferences for gains and losses. Working Paper. Bonin, H., Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., and Sunde, U. (2007). Cross-sectional earnings risk and occupational sorting: The role of risk attitudes. Labour Economics, 14(6), 926-937. Booth, A. L., and Nolen, P. (2012). Gender differences in risk behaviour: does nurture matter? Economic Journal, 122(558), F56-F78. Borghans, L., Heckman, J. J., Golsteyn, B. H., and Meijers, H. (2009). Gender differences in risk aversion and ambiguity aversion. Journal of the European Economic Association, 7(2-3), 649-658. Breaban, A., Van De Kuilen, G., and Noussair, C. N. (2016). Prudence, emotional state, personality, and cognitive ability. Frontiers in Psychology, 7, 1688. Cárdenas, J. C., Dreber, A., Von Essen, E., and Ranehill, E. (2012). Gender differences in com-petitiveness and risk taking: Comparing children in Colombia and Sweden. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 83(1), 11-23. Castillo, M., Jordan, J. L., and Petrie, R. (2018). Children’s rationality, risk attitudes and field behavior. European Economic Review, 102, 62-81. Cesarini, D., Dawes, C. T., Johannesson, M., Lichtenstein, P., and Wallace, B. (2009). Genetic variation in preferences for giving and risk taking. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 124(2), 809-842. Cesarini, D., Johannesson, M., Lichtenstein, P., Sandewall, Ö., and Wallace, B. (2010). Genetic variation in financial decision‐making. Journal of Finance, 65(5), 1725-1754. Charness, G., and Gneezy, U. (2010). Portfolio choice and risk attitudes: An experiment. Eco-nomic Inquiry, 48(1), 133-146. Charness, G., Gneezy, U., and Imas, A. (2013). Experimental methods: Eliciting risk preferences. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 87, 43-51. Courbage, C., and Rey, B. (2006). Prudence and optimal prevention for health risks. Health Eco-nomics, 15(12), 1323-1327. Courbage, C., and Rey, B. (2016). Decision thresholds and changes in risk for preventive treatment. Health Economics, 25(1), 111-124. Crainich, D., Eeckhoudt, L., and Trannoy, A. (2013). Even (mixed) risk lovers are prudent. American Economic Review, 103(4), 1529-35. Croson, R., and Gneezy, U. (2009). Gender differences in preferences. Journal of Economic Literature, 47(2), 448-74. Dahl, R. E. (2004). Adolescent brain development: a period of vulnerabilities and opportunities. Keynote address. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1021(1), 1-22. Deck, C., and Schlesinger, H. (2014). Consistency of higher order risk preferences. Econometrica, 82(5), 1913-1943. Deck, C., and Schlesinger, H. (2018). On the robustness of higher order risk preferences. Journal of Risk and Insurance, forthcoming. Deckers, T., Falk, A., Kosse, F., Pinger, P., and Schildberg-Hörisch, H. (2017). Socio-economic status and inequalities in children's IQ and economic preferences. Working Paper. Defoe, I. N., Dubas, J. S., Figner, B., and van Aken, M. A. (2015). A meta-analysis on age differences in risky decision making: Adolescents versus children and adults. Psychological Bulletin, 141(1), 48. Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., and Sunde, U. (2011). The intergenerational transmission of risk and trust attitudes. Review of Economic Studies, 79(2), 645-677. Ebert, S., and van de Kuilen, G. (2017). Measuring multivariate risk preferences. Working Paper. Ebert, S., and Wiesen, D. (2011). Testing for prudence and skewness seeking. Management Sci-ence, 57(7), 1334-1349. Ebert, S., and Wiesen, D. (2014). Joint measurement of risk aversion, prudence, and temperance. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 48(3), 231-252. Eckel, C. C., Grossman, P. J., Johnson, C. A., de Oliveira, A. C., Rojas, C., and Wilson, R. K. (2012). School environment and risk preferences: Experimental evidence. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 45(3), 265-292. Eeckhoudt, L., and Schlesinger, H. (2006). Putting risk in its proper place. American Economic Review, 96(1), 280-289. Eeckhoudt, L., and Schlesinger, H. (2013). Higher-order risk attitudes. In: Handbook of Insurance, edited by G. Dionne, New York, Springer, 41-57. Eeckhoudt, L., Schlesinger, H., and Tsetlin, I. (2009). Apportioning of risks via stochastic dominance. Journal of Economic Theory, 144(3), 994-1003. Esö, P., and White, L. (2004). Precautionary bidding in auctions. Econometrica, 72(1), 77-92. Fagereng, A., Mogstad, M., and Rønning, M. (2018). Why do wealthy parents have wealthy children. Working Paper. Falk, A., and Kosse, F. (2016). Early childhood environment, breastfeeding and the formation of preferences. Working Paper. Fouarge, D., Kriechel, B., and Dohmen, T. (2014). Occupational sorting of school graduates: The role of economic preferences. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 106, 335-351. Filippin, A., and Crosetto, P. (2016). A reconsideration of gender differences in risk attitudes. Management Science, 62(11), 3138-3160. Geng, S., Peng, Y., Shachat, J., and Zhong, H. (2015). Adolescents, cognitive ability, and minimax play. Economics Letters, 128, 54-58. Gong, B., and Yang, C. L. (2012). Gender differences in risk attitudes: Field experiments on the matrilineal Mosuo and the patriarchal Yi. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 83(1), 59-65. Gu, J., Nielsen, I., Shachat, J., Smyth, R., and Peng, Y. (2016). An experimental study of the effect of intergroup contact on attitudes in urban China. Urban Studies, 53(14), 2991-3006. Haering, A., and Heinrich, T. (2017). Risk Preferences in China—Results from Experimental Economics. ASIEN, 142, 68-88. Haering, A., Heinrich, T., and Mayrhofer, T. (2017). Exploring the consistency of higher-order risk preferences. Working Paper. Harbaugh, W. T., Krause, K., and Vesterlund, L. (2002). Risk attitudes of children and adults: Choices over small and large probability gains and losses. Experimental Economics, 5(1), 53-84. Harrison, G. W., Martínez-Correa, J., and Swarthout, J. T. (2015). Reduction of compound lotteries with objective probabilities: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 119, 32-55. Harrison, G. W., and Rutström, E. E. (2008). Risk aversion in the laboratory. In: Risk Aversion, edited by J. C. Cox and G.W. Harrison in Experiments, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 41-196. Heinrich, T., and Mayrhofer, T. (2018). Higher-order risk preferences in social settings. Experimental Economics, forthcoming. Jaeger, D. A., Dohmen, T., Falk, A., Huffman, D., Sunde, U., and Bonin, H. (2010). Direct evidence on risk attitudes and migration. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3), 684-689. Khachatryan, K., Dreber, A., Von Essen, E., and Ranehill, E. (2015). Gender and preferences at a young age: Evidence from Armenia. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 118, 318-332. Kimball, M. S. (1990). Precautionary saving in the small and in the large. Econometrica, 58(1), 53-73. Kimball, M. S., Sahm, C. R., and Shapiro, M. D. (2009). Risk preferences in the PSID: individual imputations and family covariation. American Economic Review, 99(2), 363-68. Krieger, M., and Mayrhofer, T. (2012). Patient preferences and treatment thresholds under diagnostic risk. Working Paper. Krieger, M., and Mayrhofer, T. (2017). Prudence and prevention: An economic laboratory experiment. Applied Economics Letters, 24(1), 19-24. Leland, H. E. (1968). Saving and uncertainty: The precautionary demand for saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 82(3), 465-473. Levin, I. P., and Hart, S. S. (2003). Risk preferences in young children: Early evidence of individual differences in reaction to potential gains and losses. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 16(5), 397-413. Levin, I. P., Hart, S. S., Weller, J. A., and Harshman, L. A. (2007). Stability of choices in a risky decision‐making task: A 3‐year longitudinal study with children and adults. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 20(3), 241-252. Maier, J., and Rüger, M. (2012). Experimental evidence on higher-order risk preferences with real monetary losses. Working Paper. Necker, S., and Voskort, A. (2014). Intergenerational transmission of risk attitudes–A revealed preference approach. European Economic Review, 65, 66-89. Noussair, C. N., Trautmann, S. T., and Van de Kuilen, G. (2014). Higher order risk attitudes, demographics, and financial decisions. Review of Economic Studies, 81(1), 325-355. Sandmo, A. (1970). The effect of uncertainty on saving decisions. Review of Economic Studies, 37(3), 353-360. Slovic, P. (1966). Risk-taking in children: Age and sex differences. Child Development, 169-176. Song, Y. (2014). What should economists know about the current Chinese hukou system? China Economic Review, 29, 200-212. Steinberg, L. (2007). Risk taking in adolescence: New perspectives from brain and behavioral science. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 16(2), 55-59. Sutter, M., Kocher, M. G., Glätzle-Rüetzler, D., and Trautmann, S. T. (2013). Impatience and uncertainty: Experimental decisions predict adolescents' field behavior. American Economic Review, 103(1), 510-31. Sutter, M., Angerer, S., Rützler, D., and Lergetporer, P. (2015). The effect of language on economic behavior: Experimental evidence from children's intertemporal choices. Working Paper. Tarazona-Gomez, M. (2004). Are individuals prudent? An experimental approach using lottery choices. Working Paper. Trautmann, S. T., and van de Kuilen, G. (2018). Higher order risk attitudes: A review of experimental evidence. European Economic Review, 103, 108-124. Vieider, F. M. (2012). Moderate stake variations for risk and uncertainty, gains and losses: methodological implications for comparative studies. Economics Letters, 117(3), 718-721. White, L. (2008). Prudence in bargaining: The effect of uncertainty on bargaining outcomes. Games and Economic Behavior, 62(1), 211-231. Zhang, Y. J. (2018). Culture, institutions, and the gender gap in competitive inclination: Evidence from the communist experiment in china. Economic Journal, forthcoming Zhong, S., Chew, S. H., Set, E., Zhang, J., Xue, H., Sham, P. C., Ebstein, R. P., and Israel, S. (2009). The heritability of attitude toward economic risk. Twin Research and Human Genetics, 12(1), 103-107. Zyphur, M. J., Narayanan, J., Arvey, R. D., and Alexander, G. J. (2009). The genetics of economic risk preferences. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 22(4), 367-377. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/86456 |