Roy Trivedi, Smita (2018): Technical Analysis Strategies: Development of Heiken Ashi Stochastic.
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Abstract
The profitability of technical analysis is supported by empirical studies and anecdotal evidence from traders. A host of empirical studies have shown that technical analysis generates excess returns, eschewing the academic distrust of it (Pinches, 1970, Menkoff & Taylor, 2007, Surajaras and Sweeney 1992; Menkhoff and Schlumberger 1995; Neely 1997; LeBaron 1999; Saacke, 2002). This paper develops a new technical analysis strategy using the Heiken Ashi (HA) Candlesticks. Heiken Ashi is variant of the Japanese candlestick and tries to understand the trend generation in the market. If we change a regular candlestick chart to HA, we find a series of red or blue candles emerging which clearly demonstrates the trend. Using the trend reversal signals given by HA, I develop an indicator, the HASTOC, or HA stochastic which can be used to give buy and sell signals to the trader. The indicator is then back tested with an entry-exit strategy using the HASTOC on intraday hourly USD/INR data from May, 2018 to September, 2018 to confirm its profitability
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Technical Analysis Strategies: Development of Heiken Ashi Stochastic |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Technical analysis, Heiken Ashi, Stochastic |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G17 - Financial Forecasting and Simulation |
Item ID: | 89594 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Smita Roy (Trivedi) |
Date Deposited: | 28 Oct 2018 11:32 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:32 |
References: | 1. Brock, W., J. Lakonishok, and B. LeBaron, 1992, "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, 47, 1731 2.Fama, E., and M. Blume, 1966, "Filter Rules and Stock Market Trading," Journal of Business, 39, 226-241. Finance, 12, 451-74. 3.Kuepper, J (nd). Heikin-Ashi: A Better Candlestick. Retrieved July 5 from http://www.investopedia.com 4. LeBaron, Blake, 1999, Technical trading rule profitability and foreign exchange intervention, 5. Levich R., and L. Thomas, 1993, “The Significance of Technical Trading Rule Profits in The Literature after 1982," Special Papers in International Economics No. 18, Department of March 1973 to November 1981,” in D. Bigman and T. Taya (eds.), Floating Exchange 6.Meese, Richard, and Kenneth Rogoff. 1983. “Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?.” Journal of International Economics 14: 3-24 7. Menkhoff, Lukas and Taylor, Mark P.(2007), The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals: Technical Analysis, Journal of Economic Literature, 45(4): 936-972 Monetary Economics, 39, 251-77. 8. Murphy, J. (1999). Technical analysis of financial markets. New York: penguin Group 9. Stock Charts (2018), Heikin-Ashi , https://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:heikin_ashi |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/89594 |
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