Prediksi Pendapatan Terbesar pada Penjualan Produk Cat dengan Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo

Geni, Bias Yulisa and Santony, Julius and Sumijan, Sumijan (2019): Prediksi Pendapatan Terbesar pada Penjualan Produk Cat dengan Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo. Published in: Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis , Vol. 1, No. 4 (14 October 2019): pp. 15-20.

Abstract

Completing cat products in meeting consumer demand is something that must be addressed. Sales are very important for sales. The amount of demand for goods increases, it will get a large income. The purpose of this study is to predict the sales revenue of paint products at UD. Masdi Related, makes it easy for the leadership of the company to find out the amount of money obtained quickly. This research also makes it easy for companies to take business strategies quickly and optimally. The data used in this research is the data of paint product sales for January 2016 to December 2018 which is processed using the Monte carlo method. Income prediction will be done every year. In addition to predicting revenue, the sales data is also used to predict product demand every year. To predict the sales of paint products using the Monte Carlo method. The results of this study can predict sales revenue of paint products very well. Based on the results of tests conducted on the system used to predict sales revenue of cat products with an average rating of 89%. With a fairly high degree of accuracy, the application of the Monte Carlo method can be estimated to make an estimate of the income and demand for each paint product every year. Necessary, will facilitate the leadership to choose the right business strategy to increase sales of cat product sales.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Prediction of the Biggest Revenue in the Sales of Cat Products Using the Monte Carlo Method
• Language: Indonesian
• Keywords: Modeling and Simulation, Monte Carlo, Revenue Prediction, Paint Products, Building Stores
• Subjects: G - Financial Economics > G0 - General

References

[1] Nasution, K. N. (2016). Prediksi penjualan barang pada koperasi PT. Perkebunan Silindak dengan menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo. JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer), 3(6). [2] Prasetyowati, E. (2016). Aplikasi Simulasi Persediaan Teri Crispy Prisma Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo. JUSTINDO (Jurnal Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi Indonesia), 1(01). [3] Fujimoto, R., Bock, C., Chen, W., Page, E., & Panchal, J. H. (Eds.). (2017). Research challenges in modeling and simulation for engineering complex systems. Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58544-4 [4] Veza, O. (2016). Simulasi Pengendalian Persedian Gas Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo Dan Pola Lcm (Studi Kasus Di PT PKM Group Cabang Batam). Jurnal Teknik Ibnu Sina JT-IBSI, 1(01). http://dx.doi.org/10.36352/jt-ibsi.v1i01.18 [5] Noviani, R., Nasution, Y. N., & Rizki, N. A. (2017). Klasifikasi Persediaan Barang Menggunakan Analisis Always Better Control (ABC) dan Prediksi Permintaan dengan Metode Monte Carlo. Jurnal Eksponensial, 8(2), 103-110. [6] Adisalam, B. G., Gunawan, P. H., & Imrona, M. (2017). Deteksi Kemacetan Lalu Lintas dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Monte Carlo. Indonesian Journal on Computing (Indo-JC), 2(2), 23-36. http://dx.doi.org/10.21108/INDOJC.2017.2.2.174 [7] Ratnasari, D. A. A. P., Dharmawan, K., & Nilakusmawati, D. P. E. (2017). Penentuan Nilai Kontrak Opsi Tipe Binar Pada Komodits Kakao menggunakan Metode Quasy Monte Carlo dengan Barisan Bilangan Acak Faure. E-Jurnal Matematika, 6(4), 214. https://dx.doi.org/10.24843/mtk.2017.v06.i04.p168 [8] Saragih, N. E., Astuti, E., Parhusip, A. A., & Nirmalasari, T. (2018, August). Determining Production Number Using Monte Carlo Simulation Method. In 2018 6th International Conference on Cyber and IT Service Management (CITSM) (pp. 1-5). IEEE. [9] Mahessya, R. A. (2017). Pemodelan dan Simulasi Sistem Antrian Pelayanan Pelanggan menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo pada PT. Pos Indonesia (Persero) Padang. Jurnal Ilmu Komputer, 6(1), 15–24. https://dx.doi.org/10.33060/jik/2017/vol6.iss1.41 [10] Dedrizaldi, E. M., & Linda, M. R. Analisis Perencanaan Persediaan Air Mineral dengan Pendekatan Metode Monte Carlo pada PT. Agrimitra Utama Persada. Jurnal Kajian Manajemen dan Wirausaha. 1(1), [11] Syahrin, E., Santony, J., & Na’am, J. (2018). Pemodelan Penjualan Produk Herbal Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo. Jurnal KomtekInfo, 5(3), 33-41. https://doi.org/10.29165/komtekinfo.v5i3.148 [12] Astia, R. Y., Santony, J., & Sumijan, S. (2019). Prediction Of Amount Of Use Of Planning Family Contraception Equipment Using Monte Carlo Method (Case Study In Linggo Sari Baganti District). Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining, 2(1).