Browse by Authors

31 August 2007

Green, Kesten C. and Armstrong, J. Scott and Graefe, Andreas (2007): Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared. Forthcoming in: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting No. Fall

Green, Kesten C. and Armstrong, J. Scott and Graefe, Andreas (2007): Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared. Forthcoming in: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting No. Fall

4 August 2008

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott (2008): Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Ability to Handle Issues.

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott (2008): Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Ability to Handle Issues.

23 June 2009

Armstrong, J. Scott and Graefe, Andreas (2009): Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates.

24 March 2012

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott (2012): Forecasting elections from voters’ perceptions of candidates’ ability to handle issues. Forthcoming in: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

6 February 2014

Armstrong, J. Scott and Green, Kesten C. and Graefe, Andreas (2014): Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative.

7 February 2017

Graefe, Andreas and Armstrong, J. Scott and Jones, Randall J. and Cuzan, Alfred G. (2017): Assessing the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Popular Vote Forecasts. Published in: The 2016 Presidential Election: The causes and consequences of an Electoral Earthquake (4 October 2017)