Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Oil Exports, Non Oil GDP and Investment in the GCC Countries

Harb, Nasri (2008): Oil Exports, Non Oil GDP and Investment in the GCC Countries. Forthcoming in: Review of Development Economics

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Abstract

This paper studies the long and short-run relationship between oil exports, non oil GDP and investment in five major oil exporting countries. Its goal is to verify the effect of natural resources exports on the economic performance. It considers the effect of cross sectional correlations and uses the corresponding panel unit root tests to study the long-run characteristics of our series. The results show that resources' exports have no long-run relationship with the macro variables. A VAR analysis is used to estimate the short-run dynamics and shows that the effect of oil exports on those variables depends on local policies.

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