Chu, Angus C. and Peretto, Pietro and Wang, Xilin (2020): Agricultural Revolution and Industrialization.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_100321.pdf Download (569kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This study explores how agricultural technology affects the endogenous takeoff of an economy in the Schumpeterian growth model. Due to the subsistence requirement for agricultural consumption, an improvement in agricultural technology leads to a reallocation of labor from the agricultural sector to the industrial sector. Therefore, the agricultural improvement expands the firm size in the industrial sector, which determines the incentives for innovation and triggers an endogenous transition from stagnation to growth. Calibrating the model to US data for a quantitative analysis, we find that without the reallocation of labor from agriculture to the industrial sector in the early 19th century, the takeoff of the US economy would have been delayed by about four decades.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Agricultural Revolution and Industrialization |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | agricultural technology; endogenous takeoff; innovation; economic growth |
Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity |
Item ID: | 100321 |
Depositing User: | Prof. Angus C. Chu |
Date Deposited: | 12 May 2020 12:48 |
Last Modified: | 12 May 2020 12:48 |
References: | Aghion, P., and Howitt, P., 1992. A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica, 60, 323-351. Ang, J., and Madsen, J., 2011. Can second-generation endogenous growth models explain the productivity trends and knowledge production in the Asian miracle economies?. Review of Economics and Statistics, 93, 1360-1373. Ashraf, Q., and Galor, O., 2011. Dynamics and stagnation in the Malthusian epoch. American Economic Review, 101, 2003-2041. Baten, J., 2016. A History of the Global Economy: 1500 to the Present. Cambridge University Press. Chu, A., Kou, Z., and Wang, X., 2020. Effects of patents on the transition from stagnation to growth. Journal of Population Economics, 33, 395-411. Chu, A., and Peretto, P., 2019. Innovation and inequality from stagnation to growth. MPRA Paper No. 96073. Cohen, W., and Klepper, S., 1996a. A reprise of size and R&D. Economic Journal, 106, 925-951. Cohen, W., and Klepper, S., 1996b. Firm size and the nature of innovation within industries: The case of process and product R&D. Review of Economics and Statistics, 78, 232-243. Galor, O., 2005. From stagnation to growth: Unified growth theory. Handbook of Economic Growth, 1, 171-293. Galor, O., 2011. Unified Growth Theory. Princeton University Press. Galor, O., and Moav, O., 2002. Natural selection and the origin of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 1133-1192. Galor, O., Moav, O., and Vollrath, D., 2009. Inequality in landownership, the emergence of human-capital promoting institutions, and the great divergence. Review of Economic Studies, 76, 143-179. Galor, O., and Mountford, A., 2008. Trading population for productivity: Theory and evidence. Review of Economic Studies, 75, 1143-1179. Galor, O., and Weil, D., 2000. Population, technology and growth: From the Malthusian regime to the demographic transition. American Economic Review, 110, 806-828. Grossman, G., and Helpman, E., 1991. Quality ladders in the theory of growth. Review of Economic Studies, 58, 43-61. Ha, J., and Howitt, P., 2007. Accounting for trends in productivity and R&D: A Schumpeterian critique of semi-endogenous growth theory. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 33, 733-774. Hansen, G., and Prescott, E., 2002. Malthus to Solow. American Economic Review, 2002, 92, 1205-1217. Howitt, P., 1999. Steady endogenous growth with population and R&D inputs growing. Journal of Political Economy, 107, 715-730. Iacopetta, M., Minetti, R., and Peretto, P., 2019. Financial markets, industry dynamics and growth. Economic Journal, 129, 2192-2215. Jones, C., 2001. Was an industrial revolution inevitable? Economic growth over the very long run. B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (Advances), 1, 1-45. Kongsamut, P., Rebelo, S., and Xie, D., 2001. Beyond balanced growth. Review of Economic Studies, 68, 869-882. Lagakos, D., and Waugh, M., 2013. Selection, agriculture, and cross-country productivity differences. American Economic Review, 103, 948-80. Laincz, C., and Peretto, P., 2006. Scale effects in endogenous growth theory: An error of aggregation not specification. Journal of Economic Growth, 11, 263-288. Laitner, J., 2000. Structural change and economic growth. Review of Economic Studies, 67, 545-561. Lebergott, S., 1966. Labor force and employment, 1800-1960. NBER Book Series Studies in Income and Wealth. Madsen, J., 2008. Semi-endogenous versus Schumpeterian growth models: Testing the knowledge production function using international data. Journal of Economic Growth, 13, 1-26. Madsen, J., 2010. The anatomy of growth in the OECD since 1870. Journal of Monetary Economics, 57, 753-767. Matsuyama, K., 1992. Agricultural productivity, comparative advantage, and economic growth. Journal of Economic Theory, 58, 317-334. Murphy, K., Shleifer, A., and Vishny, R., 1989. Income distribution, market size and industrialization. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 104, 537-564. Nurkse, R., 1953. Problems of Capital Formation in Underdeveloped Countries. New York: Oxford University Press. Peretto, P., 1994. Essays on Market Structure and Economic Growth. Ph.D. dissertation, Yale University. Peretto, P., 1998. Technological change and population growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 3, 283-311. Peretto, P., 1999. Cost reduction, entry, and the interdependence of market structure and economic growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 43, 173-195. Peretto, P., 2015. From Smith to Schumpeter: A theory of take-off and convergence to sustained growth. European Economic Review, 78, 1-26. Pomeranz, K., 2001. The Great Divergence: China, Europe, and the Making of the Modern World Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Romer, P., 1990. Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98, S71-S102. Segerstrom, P., Anant, T., and Dinopoulos, E., 1990. A Schumpeterian model of the product life cycle. American Economic Review, 80, 1077-91. Smulders, S. and van de Klundert T., 1995. Imperfect competition, concentration and growth with firm-specific R&D. European Economic Review, 39, 139-160. United Nations, 2011. Promoting Innovation in the Services Sector: Review of Experiences and Policies. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe. Vollrath, D., 2011. The agricultural basis of comparative development. Journal of Economic Growth, 16, 343-370. Weiss, T., 1986. Revised estimates of the United States workforce, 1800-1860. NBER Book Series Studies in Income and Wealth. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/100321 |
Available Versions of this Item
- Agricultural Revolution and Industrialization. (deposited 12 May 2020 12:48) [Currently Displayed]