Banik, Nilanjan (2020): To Test or Not to Test: The Case of COVID-19 in India.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_100621.pdf Download (649kB) | Preview |
Abstract
There is apprehension that India is not testing enough, and therefore the number of COVID-19 affected cases and deaths is less in India. In this short note, we analyze what the outcome may look like if India was to test as is done in some developed countries. Although the numbers increase many folds, we argue eventually India may not see that many increases in the number of COVID-19 affected people and related death. India has a much younger population in comparison to the developed world. The tropical weather is an added advantage.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | To Test or Not to Test: The Case of COVID-19 in India |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | COVID-19, Testing, States in India, Population, Fatality Rate |
Subjects: | I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I12 - Health Behavior I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I18 - Government Policy ; Regulation ; Public Health |
Item ID: | 100621 |
Depositing User: | Nilanjan Banik |
Date Deposited: | 27 May 2020 06:15 |
Last Modified: | 27 May 2020 06:15 |
References: | 1. Brurberg, K. and Fretheim, A., (2020): “COVID-19: The relationship between age, comorbidity and disease,” mars, 65(1), pp.74. 2. Chetty, R., Stepner, M., Abraham, S., Lin, S., Scuderi, B., Turner, N., Bergeron, A. and Cutler, D. (2016): “The association between income and life expectancy in the United States, 2001-2014,” Jama, 315(16), pp.1750-1766. 3. Chin, A., Chu, J., Perera, M., Hui, K., Yen, H.L., Chan, M., Peiris, M. and Poon, L. (2020): “Stability of SARS-CoV-2 in different environmental conditions,” medRxiv. 4. Curtis, N., Sparrow, A., Ghebreyesus, T. A., & Netea, M. G. (2020): “Considering BCG vaccination to reduce the impact of COVID-19,” The Lancet. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31025-4/fulltext. April 30. 5. Ellis-Petersen (2020): “It’s positively Alpine!: Disbelief in big cities as air pollution falls,” The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/11/positively-alpine-disbelief-air-pollution-falls-lockdown-coronavirus. 6. Government of India (2017): “Report on Medical Certification of Cause of Death 2017,” http://censusindia.gov.in/2011-Documents/mccd_Report1/MCCD_Report-2017.pdf. 7. Government of India (2020): “Ayurveda’s immunity boosting measures for self care during COVID-19 crisis,” Ministry of AYUSH, https://www.mohfw.gov.in/pdf/ImmunityBoostingAYUSHAdvisory.pdf. 8. Hegarty, P. K., Kamat, A. M., Zafirakis, H., & Dinardo, A. (2020): “BCG vaccination may be protective against Covid–19,”. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.35948.10880. 9. Hille, Kethrin and Edward White (2020): “Containing Coronavirus: Lessons from Asia,” Financial Times, March 16. 10. ICMR (2020): “Information on COVID-19,” https://main.icmr.nic.in/content/covid-19. 11. John Burn-Murdoch, Valentina Romei and Chris Giles (2020): “Global coronavirus death toll could be 60% higher than reported,” Financial Times, https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c. 12. Kawachi, I. and Subramanian, S.V. (2018): “Social epidemiology for the 21st century,” Social Science & Medicine, 196, pp.240-245. 13. Martinez, M.E. (2018): “The calendar of epidemics: Seasonal cycles of infectious diseases,” PLoS pathogens, 14(11). 14. Miller, A., Reandelar, M. J., Fasciglione, K., Roumenova, V., Li, Y., & Otazu, G. H. (2020): “Correlation between universal BCG vaccination policy and reduced morbidity and mortality for COVID–19: An epidemiological Study,” https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042937. 15. Onder, G., Rezza, G. and Brusaferro, S. (2020): “Case-fatality rate and characteristics of patients dying in relation to COVID-19 in Italy,” Jama. 16. Our World in Data (2020): “COVID-19 Statistics,” https://ourworldindata.org/ 17. Shiv Sahay Singh (2020): “The Mystery of the low COVID-19 numbers in West Bengal,”https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/other-states/the-mystery-of-the-low-covid-19-numbers-in-west-bengal/article31484561.ece. 18. Sun, Z., Thilakavathy, K., Kumar, S.S., He, G. and Liu, S.V. (2020): “Potential factors influencing repeated SARS outbreaks in China,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(5), pp.1633. 19. The New Indian Express (2020): “COVID-19 patients' contacts can go for home-quarantine as govt unable to provide isolation facilities to lakhs: Mamata Banerjee,” https://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/2020/apr/27/covid-19-patients-can-go-for-home-quarantine-as-govt-unable-to-provide-isolation-facilities-to-lakhs-2136078.html 20. Tejonmayam, U. (2020): “Kabasura kudineer can fight virus: Study,” Times of India, https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/ingredients-in-kabasura-kudineer-can-fight-covid-say-researchers/articleshow/75335027.cms. 21. The Guardian (2020): “Air Pollution Linked to far Higher COVID-19 Death Rates, Study Finds,” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/07/air-pollution-linked-to-far-higher-covid-19-death-rates-study-finds. 22. Valderas, J. M., Starfield, B., Sibbald, B., Salisbury, C., & Roland, M. (2009):“Defining comorbidity: implications for understanding health and health services,” The Annals of Family Medicine, 7(4), pp. 357-363. 23. World Bank (2020): “World Development Indicators,” https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/world-development-indicators 24. Wu, Y., Jing, W., Liu, J., Ma, Q., Yuan, J., Wang, Y., Du, M. and Liu, M. (2020): “Effects of temperature and humidity on the daily new cases and new deaths of COVID-19 in 166 countries,” Science of The Total Environment, pp.139051. 25. World Bank (2020): “World Development Indicators,” http://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/. 26. Zhu, Y. and Xie, J., (2020): “Association between ambient temperature and COVID-19 infection in 122 cities from China,” Science of the Total Environment, pp.138201. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/100621 |