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Slovene Residential Property Prices Misalignment with Fundamentals

Lenarčič, Črt and Damjanović, Milan (2015): Slovene Residential Property Prices Misalignment with Fundamentals.

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Abstract

This paper replicates the computation of an aggregate indicator for Slovene house prices, using a multiple indicator approach developed for the Austrian house price data by Schneider (2013). The aim of the aggregate misalignment indicator is therefore to recognize the under- and over-valuation of house prices in Slovenia. The key findings are that during the 2004-2008 economic boom period the aggregate misalignment indicator clearly shows the significant over-valuation of Slovene house prices, while during the financial crisis there was an abrupt correction in house prices. With real house prices still declining despite recent economic recovery there is currently an under-valuation of house prices present, from the end of 2013 onwards.

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