Asongu, Simplice and Uduji, Joseph and Okolo-Obasi, Elda (2019): Foreign aid volatility and lifelong learning. Published in: International Journal of Education Economics and Development , Vol. 11, No. 4 (December 2020): pp. 370-406.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_102032.pdf Download (316kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper has put a demand-side empirical structure to the hypothesis that foreign aid volatility adversely affects choices to lifelong learning in recipient countries. Lifelong learning is measured as the combined knowledge acquired during primary, secondary and tertiary educational enrolments. Three types of aggregate foreign aid volatilities are computed in a twofold manner: baseline standard deviations and standard errors (standard deviations of residuals after first-order autoregressive processes). An endogeneity robust system GMM empirical strategy is employed. The findings broadly show that foreign aid volatility does not adversely affect the demand-side choices of lifelong learning in Africa. As a policy implication, when faced with aid uncertainty, the demand for education would increase. This may be explained by the need for more self-reliance in order to mitigate income risks or/and the use of education as means of coping with uncertainty. More policy implications are discussed.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Foreign aid volatility and lifelong learning |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Lifelong learning; Foreign aid; Development; Africa |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F35 - Foreign Aid I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I20 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I28 - Government Policy O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O55 - Africa P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P16 - Political Economy |
Item ID: | 102032 |
Depositing User: | Simplice Asongu |
Date Deposited: | 24 Jul 2020 14:05 |
Last Modified: | 24 Jul 2020 14:05 |
References: | Anyanwu, J. C., (2012). “Developing Knowledge for the Economic Advancement of Africa”, International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 1(2), pp. 73-111. Amavilah, V. H., (2015). “Social Obstacles to Technology, Technological Change, and the Economic Growth of African Countries: Some Anecdotal Evidence from Economic History”, MPRA Paper No. 63273, Munich. Amin, S., (2014). “Aid for Development”, Springer Briefs on Pioneers in Science and Practice, 16, pp. 125-137. Andrés, A. R., Asongu, S. A., & Amavilah, V. H. S., (2015). “The Impact of Formal Institutions on Knowledge Economy”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 6(4), pp. 1034-1062. Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). “Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations” The Review of Economic Studies 58(2), pp. 277-297. Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models” Journal of Econometrics 68(1), pp. 29-52. Arthur, P., & Quartey, P., (2008). “The Use of Aid to Manage Migration: the case of Ghana”, Ghana Journal of Development Studies, 5(1), pp. 20-38. Arvin, B.M. & Barillas, F. (2002). “Foreign aid, poverty reduction, and democracy”. Applied Economics 34(17), pp. 2151–2156. Arvin, B.M., Barillas, F., & Lew, B. (2002). Is democracy a component of donors’ foreign aid policies? In B. Mak Arvin (ed.) New Perspectives on Foreign Aid and Economic Development (pp. 171–198). Westport, Connecticut: Praeger, 2002. Arvin, B. M., & Lew, B., (2010a). “Aid and happiness: untangling the causal relationship in nine European donor countries”. Global Business and Economic Review, 12(4), pp. 341–358. Arvin, B.M., & Lew, B., (2010b). “Does happiness affect the bilateral aid flows between donor and recipient countries?” The European Journal of Development Research, 22(4), pp. 546–563. Arvin, B.M., & Lew, B., (2011). “Are foreign aid and migrant remittances sources of happiness in recipient countries”. International Journal of Public Policy, 7(4/5/6), pp. 282–300. Arvin, B.M., & Lew, B., (2012a). “Do happiness and foreign aid affect bilateral migrant remittances?” Journal of Economic Studies, 39(2), pp. 212–230. Arvin, B. M., & Lew, B., (2012b). “Development aid, corruption and the happiness of nations: analysis of 118 countries over the years 1996–2009”. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 12(2), pp. 70–78. Asiedu, E., (2014). “Does Foreign Aid in Education Promote Economic Growth? Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of African Development, 16(1), pp. 37-59. Asiedu, E., & Nandwa, B., (2007), “On the Impact of Foreign Aid in Education on Growth: How relevant is heterogeneity of aid flows and heterogeneity of aid recipients?”, Review of World Economics, 143(4), pp. 631-649. Asongu, S. A., (2014a). “Development thresholds of foreign aid effectiveness in Africa”, International Journal of Social Economics, 41(11), pp. 1131-1155. Asongu, S. A., (2014b). “A Brief Clarification to the Questionable Economics of Foreign Aid for Inclusive Human Development”, African Governance and Development Assistance WP 28/14, Yaoundé. Asongu, S. A., (2014c). “The Questionable Economics of Development Assistance in Africa: Hot-Fresh Evidence, 1996–2010”, The Review of Black Political Economy, 41(4), pp. 455-480. Asongu, S. A., (2014d). “Software Piracy and Scientific Publications: Knowledge Economy Evidence from Africa”, African Development Review, 26(4), pp. 572-583. Asongu, S. A., (2014e). “Software piracy, inequality and the poor: evidence from Africa”, Journal of Economic Studies, 41(4), pp. 526-553. Asongu, S. A., (2015a). “Institutional benchmarking of foreign aid effectiveness in Africa”, International Journal of Social Economics, 42(6), pp.543-565. Asongu, S. A., (2015b). “On taxation, political accountability and foreign aid: empirics to a celebrated literature”, South African Journal of Economics, 83(2), pp. 180-198. Asongu, S. A., (2017). “The Comparative Economics of Knowledge Economy in Africa: Policy Benchmarks, Syndromes and Implications”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 8(2), pp 596–637. Asongu, S. A., (2016). “Reinventing foreign aid for inclusive and sustainable development: Kuznets, Piketty and the great policy reversal”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 30(4), pp. 736-755. Asongu, S. A., & Andrés, A. R., (2019). “Trajectories of knowledge economy in SSA and MENA countries”, Technology in Society, DOI: 10.1016/j.techsoc.2019.03.002. Asongu, S. A., Koomson, I., & Tchamyou, V. S., (2017). “Financial globalisation uncertainty/instability is good for financial development”, Research in International Business and Finance, 41(October), pp. 280-291. Asongu, S. A., & le Roux S., (2017). “Enhancing ICT for inclusive human development in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 118(May), pp. 44–54. Asongu, S. A., & le Roux, S., (2019). “Understanding Sub-Saharan Africa’s Extreme Poverty Tragedy”, International Journal of Public Administration, 42(6), pp. 457-467. Asongu, S. A., & Nnanna, J., (2019). “Foreign Aid, Instability, and Governance in Africa”, Politics & Policy, 47(4), pp. 807-848. Asongu, S. A, & Nwachuku, J. C., (2015). “The incremental effect of education on corruption: evidence of synergy from lifelong learning”, Economics Bulletin, 35(4), pp. 2288-2308. Asongu, S. A, & Nwachuku, J. C., (2016a). “The Role of Lifelong Learning in Political Stability and Non-violence: Evidence from Africa”, Journal of Economic Studies, 43(1), 141-164. Asongu, S. A, & Nwachuku, J. C., (2016b). “Revolution Empirics: Predicting the Arab Spring”, Empirical Economics, 51(2), pp 439–482. Asongu, S. A, & Nwachuku, J. C., (2018). “PhD by publication as an argument for innovation and technology transfer: With emphasis on Africa”, Higher Education Quarterly, 72(1), pp. 15-28. Asongu, S. A., & Tchamyou, V. S., (2019). “Foreign aid, education and lifelong learning in Africa”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 10(1), pp. 126-146. Asongu, S. A., & Tchamyou, V. S., (2020). “Human capital, knowledge creation, knowledge diffusion, institutions and economic incentives: South Korea versus Africa”, Contemporary Social Science, DOI: 10.1080/21582041.2018.1457170 Asongu, S.A., Tchamyou, V. S. & Acha-Anyi, P. N., (2020). “Who Is Who in Knowledge Economy in Africa?”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy. DOI: 10.1007/s13132-018-0547-8. Ba, J., & Ng S (2006). “Confidence intervals for diffusion index forecasts and inference for factor-augmented regression”, Econometrica, 74(4), pp. 1133-1150. Babatunde, M. A., (2012). “Africa’s Growth and Development Strategies: A Critical Review”, African Development, Africa Development, XXXVII, (4), pp. 141-178. Bai, J., (2003). “Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions”. Econometrica, 71 (1),pp.135-173. Bai, J., (2009). “Panel data models with interactive fixed effects”. Econometrica, 77(4), pp. 1229-1279. Banuri, T., (2013). “Sustainable Development is the New Economic Paradigm”, Development, 56(2), pp. 208-217. Bezmen, T. L., & Depken, C. A., (2004). “The impact of software piracy on economic development”, Working Paper. Francis Marion University. Biao I., & Maruatona T., (2018). The Southern African Development Community: Challenges and Prospects in Lifelong Learning. In: Milana M., Webb S., Holford J., Waller R., Jarvis P. (eds) The Palgrave International Handbook on Adult and Lifelong Education and Learning. Palgrave Macmillan, London. Blundell, R., & Bond, S., (1998). “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), pp.115-143. Bond, S., Hoeffler, A., & Tample, J., (2001). “GMM Estimation of Empirical Growth Models”, University of Oxford, Oxford. Collier, P. (2007). The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It ?, Oxford University Press. Caulderwood, K., (2015) “Sub-Saharan Africa Falls Behind In Fight Against Extreme Poverty: World Bank Report”, International Business Times (April 14th 2015). http://www.ibtimes.com/sub-saharan-africa-falls-behind-fight-against-extreme-povertyworldbank-report-1881460 (Accessed: 26/11/2015). Chinyamurindi, W. T., Mahembe, B., Chimucheka, T., & Rungani, E., (2017). “Factors influencing student usage of an online learning community: the case of a rural South African university,” International Journal of Education Economics and Development, 8(2/3), pp. 116-132. Dodd, N. & Der Merwe, J. V., (2017). “Over the rainbow: the role of academics in a 'post-hope' South Africa,” International Journal of Education Economics and Development, 8(2/3), pp. 133-143. Dosunmu, A. G., & Adeyemo, K. S., (2018). “Lifelong learning, human capital development and the career advancement of women in the telecommunications industry in South Africa”, Industry and Higher Education, DOI: 10.1177/0950422218765501. El Husseiny, I. A., & Amin, K. Z., (2018). “Pre-university education outputs in Egypt: does money matter?,” International Journal of Education Economics and Development, 9(3), pp. 210-235. Eubank, N., (2012). “Taxation, Political Accountability and Foreign Aid: Lessons from Somaliland”, Journal of Development Studies, 48(4), pp. 465-480. Filmer, D., & Pritchett, L., (1997), “What Educational Production Functions Really Show : A Positive Theory of Education Spending”, World Bank Policy Research Paper No. 1795, Washington. Fosu, A., (2013), “Achieving development success: Strategies and lessons from the developing world”, UNU-WIDER Policy Brief (November). Fosu, A. K., (2015a). “Growth, Inequality and Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa: Recent Progress in a Global Context”, Oxford Development Studies, 43(1), pp. 44-59. Fosu, A. K. (2015b). Growth and Institutions in African Development, First edited by Augustin K. Fosu, , Routledge Studies in Development Economics: New York. Fosu, A. K. (2015c). Growth and institutions in African Development, in Growth and Institutions in African Development, First edited by Augustin K. Fosu, 2015, Chapter 1, pp. 1-17, Routledge Studies in Development Economics: New York. Ghosh, J., (2013). “Towards a Policy Framework for Reducing Inequalities”, Development, 56(2), pp. 218-222. Greenaway-McGrevy, R., Han, C., & Sul, D., (2012). “Asymptotic distribution of factor aug- mented estimators for panel regression”. Journal of Econometrics, 169 (1), pp. 48-53. Gyimah-Brempong, K., & Racine, J. S. (2014). “Aid and Economic Growth: A Robust Approach”, Journal of African Development, 16(1), pp. 1-35. Kangoye, T., (2013). “Does Aid Unpredictability Weaken Governance? Evidence From Developing Countries”, The Developing Economies, 51(2), pp. 121-144. Jolliffe, I. T., (2002). Principal Component Analysis (2ndEd.), New York: Springer. Johnson A., & Quartey P (2009), “Foreign Aid and Human Development Indicators in sub-Saharan Africa”, Journal of Developing Societies, 25(1), pp. 57-83. Jones, S., Page, J., Shimeles, A., & Tarp, F., (2015). “Aid, Growth and Employment in Africa”, African Development Review, Supplement: Special Issue on “Aid and Employment”, 27,( S1), pp. 1–4. Jones, S., & Tarp, F., (2015). “Priorities for Boosting Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence for Mozambique”, African Development Review, Supplement: Special Issue on “Aid and Employment”, 27,( S1), pp. 56–70. Kaiser, H. F., (1974). “An index of factorial simplicity”. Psychometrika, 39, pp. 31-36. Kamara, A. B., Bourish, L., & Nyende, M., (2007). “Growing a Knowledge-Based Economy: Evidence from Public Expenditure on Education in Africa”, Economic Research Working Paper No. 88. Kargbo, P. M., & Sen, K., (2014). “Aid Categories that Foster Pro-Poor Growth: The Case of Sierra Leone”, African Development Review, 26(2), pp. 416-429. Kaseeram, I., & Mahadea, D., (2018). “Examining the relationship between entrepreneurship, unemployment and education in South Africa using a VECM approach”, International Journal of Education Economics and Development, 9(3), pp. 193-209. Kim, E. M., (1997). Big Business, Strong State: Collusion and Conflict in South Korean Development, 1960-1990. State University of New York Press: New York. Kim, E. M., & Kim, P. H., (2014). The South Korean Development Experience: Beyond Aid. Critical Studies of the Asia Pacific, Palgrave Macmillan. Kindiki, M. M., (2011). “International Regime Governance and Apparel Labour Upgrading in Export Processing Zones in Urban Kenya”, African Review of Economics and Finance, 3(1), pp. 26-40. Kelsey D & le Roux, S., (2017). “Dragon Slaying with Ambiguity: Theory and Experiments”, Journal of Public Economic Theory, 19(1), pp. 178–197. Kelsey, D. & le Roux, S., (2018). “Strategic Ambiguity and Decision-making: An Experimental Study”, Theory & Decision, 84(3), pp. 387–404. Krause, U., (2013). “Innovation: The new Big Push or the Post-Development alternative?”, Development, 56(2), pp. 223-226. Kuada, J., (2015). Private Enterprise-Led Economic Development in Sub-Saharan Africa The Human Side of Growth First edition by Kuada, J, Palgrave Macmillan: New York. Kuada, J., & Mensah, E., (2018). “Knowledge transfer in the emerging solar energy sector in Ghana”, Contemporary Social Science, DOI: 10.1080/21582041.2018.1510132. Lee, K., (2009), “How Can Korea be a Role Model for Catch-up Development? A ‘Capability- based’ View”, UN-WIDER Research Paper No. 2009/34, Helsinki. Lee, K., & Kim, B. Y., (2009), “Both Institutions and Policies Matter but Differently for Different Income Groups of Countries: Determinants of Long-Run Economic Growth Revisited”, World Development, 37(3), 533-549. Lekoko R.N., & Nthomang K. (2018). Lifelong Learning for Africa’s Older Adults: The Role of Open Educational Resources and Indigenous Learning. In: Milana M., Webb S., Holford J., Waller R., Jarvis P. (eds) The Palgrave International Handbook on Adult and Lifelong Education and Learning. Palgrave Macmillan, London. Lensink, R., & Morrissey, O., (2000). “Aid instability as a measure of uncertainty and the positive impact of aid on growth,” The Journal of Development Studies, 36(3), pp. 31-49. Luo, J., (2015). “Understanding the Implications of Ubiquitous Mobile Technology for Mature Adults in Post-PC Era Lifelong Learning”, Concordia University, Master Thesis, http://spectrum.library.concordia.ca/979960/1/Luo_MA_S2015.pdf (Accessed: 26/11/2015). Marglin, S. A. (2013). “Premises for a New Economy”, Development, 56(2), pp. 149-154. McKenzie C, R., & McAleer M (1997). “On efficient estimation and correct inference in models with generated regressors: A general approach.” Japanese Economic Review, 48(4), pp. 368-389. Monni, S., & Spaventa, A., (2013). “Beyond GDP and HDI: Shifting the focus from paradigms to politics”, Development, 56(2), pp. 227-231. Moyo, D., (2009). Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There is Another Way for Africa. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. Ndlovu-Gatsheni, S. J. (2013). “The Entrapment of African within the Global Colonial Matrices of Power: Eurocentrism, Coloniality and Deimperialieation in the Twenty-first century”, Journal of Developing Societies, 29(4), pp. 331-353. Nyarko, Y., (2013). “Sustaining High Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: Knowledge and the Structure of the Economy”, Journal of African Economies, 22, suppl_1(January), pp: -i101. Obeng-Odoom, F. (2013). “Africa’s Failed Economic Development Trajectory: A Critique”, African Review of Economics and Finance, 4(2), pp. 151-175. Oluwatobi, S., Efobi, U.R., Olurinola, O.I., Alege, P. (2015), “Innovation in Africa: Why Institutions Matter”, South African Journal of Economics, 83(3), pp. 390-410. Oluwatobi, S., Olurinola, I., Alege, P., & Ogundipe, A., (2018). “Knowledge-driven economic growth: the case of Sub-Saharan Africa”, Contemporary Social Science, DOI: 10.1080/21582041.2018.1510135. Oxley L, & McAleer, M., (1993). “Econometric issues in macroeconomic models with generated regressors.” Journal of Economic Surveys, 7(1), pp. 1-40. Pagan, A., (1984). “Econometric issues in the analysis of regressions with generated regressors” International Economic Review, 25(1), pp. 221-247. Page, J., & Shimeles, A., (2015). “Aid, Employment and Poverty Reduction in Africa”, African Development Review, , 27,(S1), pp. 17–30. Page, J., & Söderbom, M., (2015). “Is Small Beautiful? Small Enterprise, Aid and Employment in Africa”, African Development Review, , 27,(S1), pp. 44–55. Pesaran, M. H., (2006). “Estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a mul- tifactor error structure”. Econometrica 74 (4), pp. 967-1012. Preece, J., (2013). “Africa and international policy making for lifelong learning: textual revelations”, International Journal of Educational Development, 33, pp. 98-105. Quartey P., & Afful-Mensah, G., (2014), Foreign Aid to Africa: Flows, Patterns and Impact, in Monga C and Lin J (eds), Oxford Handbook of Africa and Economics, Volume 2: Policies and Practices, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. Simpasa, A, Shimeles, A., & Salami, A. O., (2015). “Employment Effects of Multilateral Development Bank Support: The Case of the African Development Bank”, African Development Review, 27,( S1), pp. 31–43. Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W., (2002). “Forecasting using principal components from a large number of predictors”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 97 (460), pp.1167-1179. Tchamyou, V. S., (2017). “The Role of Knowledge Economy in African Business”, Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 8(4), pp. 1189–1228. Tchamyou, V. S., (2020). “Education, Lifelong learning, Inequality and Financial access: Evidence from African countries”.Contemporary Social Science. DOI: 10.1080/21582041.2018.1433314. Tchamyou, V. S., (2019). “The Role of Information Sharing in Modulating the Effect of Financial Access on Inequality”.Journal of African Business, 20(3), pp. 317-338. Tchamyou, V. S., & Asongu, S. A., (2017a). “ Conditional market timing in the mutual fund industry”, Research in International Business and Finance, 42(December), pp. 1355-1366. Tchamyou, V. S., & Asongu, S. A., (2017b).“Information Sharing and Financial Sector Development in Africa”, Journal of African Business, 18(7), pp. 24-49. Tchamyou, V. S., Asongu, S. A., & Nwachukwu, J. C., (2018). “Effects of asymmetric information on market timing in the mutual fund industry”, International Journal of Managerial Finance, 14(5), pp.542-557. Tchamyou, V. S., Asongu, S. A., & Odhiambo, N. M., (2019a). “The role of ICT in modulating the effect of education and lifelong learning on income inequality and economic growth in Africa”, African Development Review, 31(3), pp. 261-274. Tchamyou, V.S., Erreygers, G., & Cassimon, D., (2019b). “Inequality, ICT and Financial Access in Africa”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change,139(February), pp. 169-184. Tolliver, D. E., Martin, A., & Salome, N., (2018). “Competency-based Education, Lifelong Learning andAdult Students: Insights from International Partnerships between East Africa, Southern Africa and USA-based Institutions of Higher Education”, Africology: The Journal of Pan African Studies, 12(1), pp. 123-144. Tuijnman, A., (2003). “Measuring Lifelong Learning for the New Economy”, Compare: A Journal of Comparative and International Education, 33(4), pp. 471-482. Titumir, R. A. M., & Kamal, M. (2013). “Growing Together Sustainably: A zero-poverty post 2015 development framework”, Development, 56(2), pp. 172-184. Wa Gĩthĩnji, M., & Adesida, O., (2011). “Industrialization, Exports and the Developmental State in Africa: The Case for Transformation”, University of Massachusetts Amberst, Department of Economics Working Paper, No. 2011-18. Wamboye, E., Adekola, A., & Sergi, B. S. (2013). “Economic Growth and the Role of Foreign Aid in Selected African Countries”, Development, 56(2), pp. 155-171. Westerlund, J., & Urbain, J-P., (2013a). “On the estimation and inference in factor-augmented panel regressions with correlated loadings”, Economic Letters, 119(3), pp. 247-250. Westerlund, J., & Urbain, J-P., (2013b). “On the implementation and use of factor-augmented regressions in panel data”, Journal of Asian Economics, 28(C), pp. 3-11. Westerlund, J., & Urbain, J-P., (2012). “Cross-sectional averages versus principal components”, Maastricht University, RM/11/053, Maastricht. World Bank (2015). “World Development Indicators’, World Bank Publications http://www.gopa.de/fr/news/world-bank-release-world-development-indicators-2015 (Accessed: 26/11/2015). Yusuf, M. A., (2019). “ECOWAS agenda and regional integration development in West Africa: any role for all-inclusive education?” International Journal of Education Economics and Development, 10(1), pp. 76-93. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/102032 |