Lemus, Antonio and Pulgar, Carlos (2021): Households’ Debt Thresholds: A Market Aspects Approach.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_106958.pdf Download (634kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Global trends show high levels of households’ indebtedness, not seen before, in developed and emerging economies that could affect countries’ financial stability. This paper develops an approach based on market aspects to estimate households’ debt thresholds, applicable to any economy where household financial survey and interest rate ceilings exist. We use statistical information from the 2017 Chile’s household financial survey. The results state that: The same debt threshold should not be used for all households as variables such as income affect it. Both short-term and long-term debt thresholds increase with households’ income level. The presence of mortgage debt increases debt thresholds.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Households’ Debt Thresholds: A Market Aspects Approach |
English Title: | Households’ Debt Thresholds: A Market Aspects Approach |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | debt thresholds, FBTI, DTI, approach, over-indebtedness |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C51 - Model Construction and Estimation C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C58 - Financial Econometrics D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D14 - Household Saving; Personal Finance G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G28 - Government Policy and Regulation |
Item ID: | 106958 |
Depositing User: | Antonio Lemus |
Date Deposited: | 06 Apr 2021 01:43 |
Last Modified: | 06 Apr 2021 01:43 |
References: | Alfaro, R. and N. Gallardo, 2012, “The determinants of household debt default”, Economic Analysis Review, Vol. 27, Nº 1, pp. 55-70. Central Bank of Chile, 2018, “Informe de Estabilidad Financiera Segundo Semestre 2018”, (Santiago). Central Bank of Chile, 2019, “Informe de Estabilidad Financiera Primer Semestre 2019”, (Santiago). Betti, G., N. Dourmashkin, M. Rossi, and Y. P. Yin, 2007, “Consumer over-indebtedness in the E.U.: measurement and characteristics”, Journal of Economic Studies, Vol. 34, Issue: 2, pp. 136 - 156. Cifuentes, R., P. Margaretic, and T. Saavedra, 2020, “Measuring households’ financial vulnerabilities from consumer debt: Evidence from Chile”, Emerging Markets Review, Volume 43, June 2020. Córdova, F. and A. Cruces, 2019, “Umbrales de Carga Financiera, Ingreso e Impago”, mimeo, Banco Central de Chile, (Santiago). D’Alessio, G. and S. Iezzi, “Household over-indebtedness: definition and measurement with Italian data”, 2013, Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) Number 149, Banca d’Italia, (Roma). Del-Río, A. and G. Young, 2008, “The impact of unsecured debt on financial pressure among British Households”, Applied Financial Economics, Volume 18, 2008 - Issue 15, pp. 1209-1220. Dey, S., R. Djoudad, and Y. Terajila, 2008, “A Tool for Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities in the Household Sector”, Bank of Canada Review, Vol. 2008, Issue Summer, pp. 47-56. European Commission, 2008, “Towards a Common Operational European Definition of Over-indebtedness”, European Commission, March 2008, (Brussels). European Commission, 2010, “Over-indebtedness: New evidence from the E.U.-SILC special module”, Research note 4/2010, (Brussels). European Systemic Risk Board, 2019, “A Review of Macroprudential Policy in the E.U. in 2018”, April 2019, (Frankfurt). Financial Market Commission, 2019, “Compendio de Normas Contables, Capítulo B-1”, https://www.sbif.cl/sbifweb3/internet/archivos/norma_6545_1.pdf, (Santiago). Ferrari, A., O. Masetti, and J. Ren, 2018, “Interest Rate Caps the Theory and the Practice”, Policy Research Working Paper 8398, World Bank Group, (Washington D.C.). Institute of International Finance, 2019, “Global Debt Monitor: Devil in the details”, January 2019, (Washington D.C.). International Monetary Fund, 2017, “Global Financial Stability Report October 2017”, (Washington D.C.). International Monetary Fund, 2019, Global Debt Database, (Washington D.C.). Available in: https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/datasets/GDD Johansson, M. and M. Persson, 2006, “Swedish households’ indebtedness and ability to pay: a household level study”, Sveriges Riksbank, Economic Review 3. 2006, pp. 24-40. López, D., A. Tobar, and R. Vergara, 2018, “Factores determinantes del incumplimiento en créditos de consumo en una cooperativa de ahorro y crédito”, Revista Chilena de Economía y Sociedad, diciembre 2018, pp. 40-60. Lessmann, S., B. Baesens, H-V Seowd, and L. C. Thomas, 2015, “Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring: An update of research”, European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 247, Issue 1, pp. 124-136. Madeira, 2019, “The impact of interest rate ceilings on households’ credit access: Evidence from a 2013 Chilean legislation”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 106 (2019) 166–179. Martínez F., R. Cifuentes, C. Madeira, and R. Poblete, 2013, “Measurement of Household Financial Risk with the Survey of Household Finances”, Central Bank of Chile Working Paper N° 682, (Santiago). Michelangeli, V. and M. Piettrunti, 2014, “A Micro simulation Model to Evaluate Italian Households’ Financial Vulnerability”, Bank of Italy Occasional Paper N° 225, (Rome). Munzele, S. and C. Henríquez, 2014, “Interest Rate Caps around the World Still Popular, but a Blunt Instrument”, Policy Research Working Paper 7070, World Bank Group, (Washington D.C.). Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2017, “OECD Economic Outlook”, Volume 2017 Issue 2, (Paris). Pulgar, C. and C. Rojas, 2019, “Estimación de prima por riesgo de crédito y otros costos implícitos en tasas de interés de créditos bancarios”, Documento de trabajo de la Comisión para el Mercado Financiero Nº03/19. Rudolph, K., 2006, “Bargaining Power Effects in Financial Contracting: A Joint Analysis of Contract Type and Placement Mode Choices,” Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Germany, 2006. Ruiz-Tagle, J., L. García, and A. Medina, 2013, “Proceso de endeudamiento y sobreendeudamiento de los hogares en Chile”, Central Bank of Chile Working Paper N° 703, (Santiago). Tiongson, R., N. Sugawara, V. Sulla, A. Taylor, A. Gueorguieva, V. Levin, and K. Subbarao, 2010, “The Crisis Hits Home Stress-Testing Households in Europe and Central Asia”, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank Group, (Washington D.C.). Vatne, B., 2006, “How large are the financial margins of Norwegian households? An analysis of micro data for the period 1987-2004”, Norges Bank Eco. B, LXXVII (4) (2006), pp. 173-180. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/106958 |