Sanu, Md Sahnewaz (2019): Re-examining the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in India: The Role of Coal Consumption, Financial Development and Trade Openness. Published in: International Journal of Ecology & Development , Vol. 35, No. 3 (2020): pp. 58-76.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_107845.pdf Download (818kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of GDP growth, coal consumption, financial advancement, and trade openness on CO2 discharges in India for the time span 1971-2017. The present research employs the ARDL bounds test to inspect the long-run cointegrating linkage followed by Granger causality test structured on vector error correction modelling (VECM) techniques to analyse the causal relationship between the variables. The results obtained from the bounds F-statistics confirm the presence of a long-run stable relationship between the variables. The results further demonstrate that GDP growth and coal consumption raise carbon emissions substantially while the financial development and trade openness boost the environmental quality in India. Besides, the findings confirm an inverse quadratic link between economic growth and CO2 discharges, supporting the validity of EKC hypothesis for India. The Granger causality analysis shows bidirectional causality between coal consumption and economic growth, economic growth and CO2 emissions and between coal consumption and CO2 emissions.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Re-examining the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in India: The Role of Coal Consumption, Financial Development and Trade Openness |
English Title: | Re-examining the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in India: The Role of Coal Consumption, Financial Development and Trade Openness |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | CO2 emissions, GDP, coal consumption, financial development; trade openness; Environmental Kuznets curve; ARDL; VECM; India. |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q43 - Energy and the Macroeconomy Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q53 - Air Pollution ; Water Pollution ; Noise ; Hazardous Waste ; Solid Waste ; Recycling Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q56 - Environment and Development ; Environment and Trade ; Sustainability ; Environmental Accounts and Accounting ; Environmental Equity ; Population Growth |
Item ID: | 107845 |
Depositing User: | Dr. MD SAHNEWAZ SANU |
Date Deposited: | 22 May 2021 00:37 |
Last Modified: | 22 May 2021 00:37 |
References: | Akarca, A. T., & Thomas, V. L. (1980). On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP: A Reexamination. The Journal of Energy and Development, 5(2), 326–331. Alam, M. J., Begum, I. A., Buysse, J., Rahman, S., & Van Huylenbroeck, G. (2011). Dynamic modeling of causal relationship between energy consumption, CO 2 emissions and economic growth in India. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 15(6), 3243–3251. Ang, J. B. (2007). CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and output in France. Energy Policy, 35(10), 4772–4778. Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2009). CO 2 emissions, energy usage, and output in Central America. Energy Policy, 37(8), 3282–3286. Arouri, M. E. H., Ben Youssef, A., M’henni, H., & Rault, C. (2012). Energy consumption, economic growth and CO2 emissions in Middle East and North African countries. Energy Policy, 45, 342–349. Asafu-Adjaye, J. (2000). The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series from Asian developing countries. Energy Economics, 22(6), 615–625. Belloumi, M. (2009). Energy consumption and GDP in Tunisia: Cointegration and causality analysis. Energy Policy, 37(7), 2745–2753. Boutabba, M. A. (2014). The impact of financial development, income, energy and trade on carbon emissions: Evidence from the Indian economy. Economic Modelling, 40(2014), 33–41. Chandran Govindaraju, V. G. R., & Tang, C. F. (2013). The dynamic links between CO2 emissions, economic growth and coal consumption in China and India. Applied Energy, 104, 310–318. Claessens, S., & Feijen, E. (2007). Financial sector development and the millennium development goals. In World Bank Working Paper. Coondoo, D., & Dinda, S. (2008). Carbon dioxide emission and income: A temporal analysis of cross-country distributional patterns. Ecological Economics, 65(2), 375–385. Dinda, S., & Coondoo, D. (2006). Income and emission: A panel data-based cointegration analysis. Ecological Economics, 57(2), 167–181. Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction : Representation, Estimation, and Testing. 55(2), 251–276. Erol, U., & Yu, E. S. H. (1987). On the causal relationship between energy and income for industrialized countries. The Journal of Energy and Development, 13(1), 113–122. Farhani, S., & Ozturk, I. (2015). Causal relationship between CO2emissions, real GDP, energy consumption, financial development, trade openness, and urbanization in Tunisia. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 22(20), 15663–15676. Frankel, J. A., & Romer, D. (1999). Does Trade Cause Growth? American Economic Review, 89(3), 379–399. Friedl, B., & Getzner, M. (2003). Determinants of CO2 emissions in a small open economy. Ecological Economics, 45(1), 133–148. Ghali, K. H., & El-Sakka, M. I. T. (2004). Energy use and output growth in Canada: a multivariate cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 26(2), 225–238. Ghosh, S. (2010). Examining carbon emissions economic growth nexus for India: A multivariate cointegration approach. Energy Policy, 38(6), 3008–3014. Glasure, Y. U., & Lee, A.-R. (1998). Cointegration, error-correction, and the relationship between GDP and energy:: The case of South Korea and Singapore. Resource and Energy Economics, 20(1), 17–25. Grossman, G., & Krueger, A. (1991). Environmental Impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement. Grossman, G. M., & Kruger, A. B. (1995). Economic Growth and the Environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353–377. Halicioglu, F. (2009). An econometric study of CO2 emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade in Turkey. Energy Policy, 37(3), 1156–1164. Harris, R. I. D., & Sollis, R. (2003). Applied time series modelling and forecasting. J. Wiley. Heil, M. T., & Selden, T. M. (1999). Panel stationarity with structural breaks: Carbon emissions and GDP. Applied Economics Letters, 6(4), 223–225. Hwang, D. B. K., & Gum, B. (1991). The causal relationship between energy and GNP: The case of Taiwan. The Journal of Energy and Development, 16(2), 219–226. IEA. (2018). Global Energy and CO2 Status. Retrieved from https://www.iea.org/geco/ Jalil, A., & Feridun, M. (2011). The impact of growth, energy and financial development on the environment in China: A cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 33(2), 284–291. Jamil, F., & Ahmad, E. (2010). The relationship between electricity consumption, electricity prices and GDP in Pakistan. Energy Policy, 38(10), 6016–6025. Jayanthakumaran, K., Verma, R., & Liu, Y. (2012). CO 2 emissions, energy consumption, trade and income: A comparative analysis of China and India. Energy Policy, 42(June 2011), 450–460. Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration — With Applications To the Demand for Money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210. Kanjilal, K., & Ghosh, S. (2013). Environmental Kuznet’s curve for India: Evidence from tests for cointegration with unknown structural breaks. Energy Policy, 56, 509–515. Kraft, J., & Kraft, A. (1978). On the Relationship Between Energy On the Relationship Between Energy and GNP. In Source: The Journal of Energy and Development (Vol. 3). Lean, H. H., & Smyth, R. (2010). CO2 emissions, electricity consumption and output in ASEAN. Applied Energy, 87(6), 1858–1864. Lee, C.-C. (2005). Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: A cointegrated panel analysis. Energy Economics, 27(3), 415–427. Lütkepohl, H. (2006). Structural vector autoregressive analysis for cointegrated variables. Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv, 90(1), 75–88. Managi, S., & Jena, P. R. (2008). Environmental productivity and Kuznets curve in India. Ecological Economics, 65(2), 432–440. Masih, A. M. M., & Masih, R. (1998). A multivariate cointegrated modelling approach in testing temporal causality between energy consumption, real income and prices with an application to two Asian LDCs. Applied Economics, 30, 127–1298. Narayan, P. K. (2005). The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Applied Economics, 37(17), 1979–1990. Narayan, P. K., & Smyth, R. (2005). Electricity consumption, employment and real income in Australia evidence from multivariate Granger causality tests. Energy Policy, 33(9), 1109–1116. NITI Aoyog, Government of India. (2017). Draft National Energy Policy. Odhiambo, N. M. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Energy Policy, 37(2), 617–622. Oh, W., & Lee, K. (2004). Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP revisited: the case of Korea 1970–1999. Energy Economics, 26(1), 51–59. Ozturk, I., & Acaravci, A. (2010). CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Turkey. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 14(9), 3220–3225. Ozturk, I., & Acaravci, A. (2013). The long-run and causal analysis of energy, growth, openness and financial development on carbon emissions in Turkey. Energy Economics, 36, 262–267. Perron, P. (1997). Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables. Journal of Econometrics, 80(2), 355–385. Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1999). An autoregressive distributed-lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. In S. Storm (Ed.), Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. Romero-Ávila, D. (2008). Questioning the empirical basis of the environmental Kuznets curve for CO2: New evidence from a panel stationarity test robust to multiple breaks and cross-dependence. Ecological Economics, 64(3), 559–574. Saboori, B., Sulaiman, J., & Mohd, S. (2012). Economic growth and CO2 emissions in Malaysia: A cointegration analysis of the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Energy Policy, 51, 184–191. Sanu, S., & Ahmad, F. (2017). The Linkage between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in India: Evidence Based on Cointegration and Error Correction Modelling Techniques. Asian Journal of Research in Social Sciences and Humanities, 7(8), 250–260. Shafik, N. (2012). Economic Development and Environmental Quality : an Econometric. 46, 757–773. Shahbaz, M., Solarin, S. A., Mahmood, H., & Arouri, M. (2013). Does financial development reduce CO2 emissions in Malaysian economy? A time series analysis. Economic Modelling, 35, 145–152. Shahzad, S. J. H., Kumar, R. R., Zakaria, M., & Hurr, M. (2017). Carbon emission, energy consumption, trade openness and financial development in Pakistan: A revisit. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 70(July 2016), 185–192. Sharif Hossain, M. (2011). Panel estimation for CO2 emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries. Energy Policy, 39(11), 6991–6999. Sharma, S. S. (2011). Determinants of carbon dioxide emissions: Empirical evidence from 69 countries. Applied Energy, 88(1), 376–382. Song, T., Zheng, T., & Tong, L. (2008). An empirical test of the environmental Kuznets curve in China: A panel cointegration approach. China Economic Review, 19(3), 381–392. Stern, D. I. (1993). Energy and economic growth in the USA: A multivariate approach. Energy Economics, 15(2), 137–150. Stern, D. I. (2000). A multivariate cointegration analysis of the role of energy in the US macroeconomy. Energy Economics, 22(2), 267–283. Tamazian, A., Chousa, J. P., & Vadlamannati, K. C. (2009). Does higher economic and financial development lead to environmental degradation: Evidence from BRIC countries. Energy Policy, 37(1), 246–253. Taskin, F., & Zaim, O. (2000). Searching for a Kuznets curve in environmental efficiency using kernel estimation. Economics Letters, 68(2), 217–223. Tiwari, A. K., Shahbaz, M., & Adnan Hye, Q. M. (2013). The environmental Kuznets curve and the role of coal consumption in India: Cointegration and causality analysis in an open economy. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 18(2013), 519–527. U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2016). Country Analysis Brief: India. Retrieved from https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/analysis_includes/countries_long/India/india.pdf Wang, Y., Wang, Y., Zhou, J., Zhu, X., & Lu, G. (2011). Energy consumption and economic growth in China: A multivariate causality test. Energy Policy, 39(7), 4399–4406. Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2005). Energy demand and economic growth: The African experience. Journal of Policy Modeling, 27(8), 891–903. Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2009). Energy consumption and economic growth: The experience of African countries revisited. Energy Economics, 31(2), 217–224. World Development Indicators. (2019). Retrieved from https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/world-development-indicators Yu, E. S. H., & Choi, J.-Y. (1985). The causal relationship between energy and GNP: An international comparison. The Journal of Energy and Development, 10(2), 249–272. Yu, E. S. H., & Hwang, B.-K. (1984). The relationship between energy and GNP: Further results. Energy Economics, 6(3), 186–190. Zhang, S., Liu, X., & Bae, J. (2017). Does trade openness affect CO2 emissions: evidence from ten newly industrialized countries? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 24(21), 17616–17625. Zhang, Y. J. (2011). The impact of financial development on carbon emissions: An empirical analysis in China. Energy Policy, 39(4), 2197–2203. Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/107845 |