Еще раз о том, куда идти: к стратегии развития в условиях изоляции от Запада.

Polterovich, Victor (2022): Еще раз о том, куда идти: к стратегии развития в условиях изоляции от Запада.

Abstract

It is shown that the program of institutional changes, outlined in a number of articles of the author, is even more relevant in the current context of sanctions and needs to be further elaborated. Due to restrictions on import and export flows, the need to form long chains of added value within the country is increasing. Business cannot cope with this task on its own. To solve it the institutions of catching-up development are needed, including the system of indicative planning headed by the general development agency and the national innovation system aimed at borrowing of technologies with a gradual increase of own innovative developments. It is advisable to conduct the reform of economic governance as a continuation of the reform of project activities carried out in 2018-2019. New institutions must ensure economic growth by forming a set of mega-projects and programs, coordinated with each other and with the budget, based on the coordination of efforts of the state, business and society at the federal, regional and municipal levels. The increased necessity of differentiated progressive income tax introduction is underlined. The expediency of forming consortiums, expanding the system of sector research institutes and increasing investment in education are noted.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Once again about where to go: Toward a development strategy in isolation from the West
• Language: Russian
• Keywords: institutional reform, economic growth, value added chains, indicative planning, national innovation system, anti-inflationary policy
• Subjects: I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I2 - Education and Research Institutions > I25 - Education and Economic Development; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O2 - Development Planning and Policy > O21 - Planning Models ; Planning Policy; P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P11 - Planning, Coordination, and Reform; P - Economic Systems > P2 - Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies > P21 - Planning, Coordination, and Reform

References

Аляева Ю.В., Емелин Н.М., Сытняк Ю.А.(2020). Аналитический обзор научной и научно-технической деятельности государственных научных центров Российской Федерации. Мониторинг. Наука и технологии, 2020. №1(43), 93-98.

И. З. Гарафиев (2020). Человеческий капитал и социальная значимость высшего образования: динамика российского общественного мнения. Управление устойчивым развитием. №6 (31), 43-48.

Гурвич Е., И. Прилепский (2016). Влияние финансовых санкций на российскую экономику. Вопросы экономики, Вып. 1, 5-35.

Кузнецов Б.В. (ред.) (2014). Очерки модернизации российской промышленности. Поведение фирм. М.: Изд. дом ВШЭ. 399 с.

Полтерович В.М. (2006). Снижение инфляции не должно быть главной целью правительства России. Экономическая наука современной России. №2 (33), 40-48.

Полтерович В.М. (2014). Куда идти: двадцать четыре тезиса. Экономическая наука современной России. №3(66), 8-16.

Полтерович В.М. (2015). О формировании системы национального планирования в России. ЖНЭА, № 2 (26), 237-242.

Полтерович В. М. (2016). Институты догоняющего развития (к проекту новой модели экономического развития России). Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз. Вып. 5 (47). С. 34 — 56. [Polterovich V. M. (2016c). Institutions of catching-up development (On the project of a new model for economic development of Russia). In: Economic and social changes: Facts, trends, forecasts, Iss. 5 (47), pp. 34—56. (In Russian).]

Полтерович, В. М. (2018). Федеральное агентство развития: оно необходимо для раз-работки и реализации успешных стратегий. Проблемы теории и практики управления, №3, 35–41.

Полтерович, В. М. (2020). Реформа государственной системы проектной деятельности, 2018–2019 годы. Terra Economicus, 18(1), 6–27.

Сапир Ж. (2021). Кризис covid-19 снова поставил планирование на повестку дня? Научные труды Вольного экономического общества России. Т. 230, №4, 259-273.

Abazi-Alili, H. (2014). Innovation Activities and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Transition Economies, Journal of Contemporary Economic and Business Issues, Vol.1, No.2, 5 – 18.

Alterman, R. (2001) National-level planning in democratic countries: a comparative perspective, in: Alterman, R. (ed.) National-level planning in democratic countries: an international comparison of city and regional policy-making, Liverpool: Liverpool University Press, 1-42.

Arnold E., Brown N., Ericsson A., Jansson T., Muscio A., Nählinder J. and Zaman R. (2007). The Role of Industrial Research Institutes in the National Innovation System. VINNOVA Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems, Stockholm. 187 pp.

Decree No. 2020-1101 of September 1, 2020 establishing a High Commissioner for Planning (2020). https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/loda/id/JORFTEXT000042297092/2022-06-28/

DiVito, L., van Wijk, J., & Wakkee, I. (2021). Governing collaborative value creation in the context of grand challenges: A case study of a crosssectoral collaboration in the textile industry. Business & Society, 60(5), 1092–1131.

Kharas H., Kohli H. What Is the Middle Income Trap,Why do Countries Fall into It, and How Can It Be Avoided? // Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies. 2011. Vol. 3. Issue 3. Р. 281–289.

Masse P. (1965). The French plan and economic theory. Econometrica, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 265—276.

Millward R., Singleton J., eds. (1995).The political economy of nationalisation in Britain, 1920–1950. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Rzeczy K. (2020). Emmanuel Macron revives a post-war institution for a post-covid era. The Economist, September 5th. https://www.economist.com/europe/2020/09/05/emmanuel-macron-revives-a-post-war-institution-for-a-post-covid-era

Veugelers, R. and Schweiger, H. (2016) ‘Innovation policies in transition countries: one size fits all?’, Economic Change and Restructuring, Vol. 49, Nos. 2–3, pp.241–267.

World Bank (2022). Global Economic Prospects, June 2022. Washington, DC: World Bank. 150 pp. https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/18ad707266f7740bced755498ae0307a-0350012022/original/Global-Economic-Prospects-June-2022.pdf