Piergallini, Alessandro (2022): Average Inflation Targeting and Macroeconomic Stability.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_114309.pdf Download (213kB) | Preview |
Abstract
I study the dynamic consequences of average inflation targeting in a tractable monetary model with sticky prices. I demonstrate that in the case in which the central bank attaches a relatively high weight on the distant past, average inflation targeting not only ensures local determinacy of equilibrium but is also capable of eradicating the liquidity trap problem—differently from standard Taylor rules. Specifically, I show the existence of a saddle connection from the deflationary steady state to the target steady state, along which reflation occurs in equilibrium due to limited and gradual increases in expected nominal interest rates.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Average Inflation Targeting and Macroeconomic Stability |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Average Inflation Targeting; Local and Global Dynamics; Liquidity Traps. |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy |
Item ID: | 114309 |
Depositing User: | Alessandro Piergallini |
Date Deposited: | 31 Aug 2022 13:43 |
Last Modified: | 31 Aug 2022 13:43 |
References: | Ascari, G., A. Florio and A. Gobbi (2020), “Monetary-Fiscal Interactions under Price Level Targeting”, Papers 2010.14979, arXiv.org. Benhabib, J., S. Schmitt-Grohé and M. Uribe (2000), “Appendix to ‘Monetary Policy and Multiple Equilibria’ ”, Unpublished Manuscript, Columbia University. Benhabib, J., S. Schmitt-Grohé and M. Uribe (2001a), “The Perils of Taylor Rules”, Journal of Economic Theory 96, 40-69. Benhabib, J., S. Schmitt-Grohé and M. Uribe (2001b), “Monetary Policy and Multiple Equilibria”, American Economic Review 91, 167-186. Benhabib, J., S. Schmitt-Grohé and M. Uribe (2002), “Avoiding Liquidity Traps”, Journal of Political Economy 110, 535-563. Bernanke, B. S. (2019), “Evaluating Lower-For-Longer Policies: Temporary Price-Level Targeting”, Ben Bernanke’s Blog, February 21, Brookings. Bilbiie, F. (2021), “HALT: Heterogeneous-Agent Liquidity Traps”, CEPR Discussion Papers, 16625. Bilbiie, F. (2022), “Neo-Fisherian Policies and Liquidity Traps”, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, forthcoming. Budianto, F., T. Nakata and S. Schmidt (2020), “Average Inflation Targeting and the Interest Rate Lower Bound”, ECB Working Paper Series, 2394. Gali´, J. (2015), Monetary Policy, Inflation and the Business Cycle, Princeton: Princeton University Press. Gantmacher, F.R. (1960), The Theory of Matrices, New York: Chelsea. Honkapohja, S. and McClung, N. (2021), “On Robustness of Average Inflation Targeting”, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2021. Leeper, E. M. (1991), “Equilibria under ‘Active’ and ‘Passive’ Monetary and Fiscal Policies”, Journal of Monetary Economics 27, 129-147. Mertens, K. and Ravn, M. (2014), “Fiscal Policy in an Expectations-Driven Liquidity Trap”, Review of Economic Studies 81, 1637-1667. Nakata, T. and Schmidt, S. (2022), “Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy”, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, forthcoming. Nessen, M. and Vestin, D. (2005), “Average Inflation Targeting”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 37, 837-863. Powell, J, H. (2020), “New Economic Challenges and the Fed’s Monetary Policy Review”, speech at “Navigating the Decade Ahead: Implications for Monetary Policy”, Economic Policy Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Jackson Hole, August 27. Rotemberg, J. J. (1982), “Sticky Prices in the United States”, Journal of Political Economy 90, 1187-1211. Schmidt, S. (2016), “Lack of Confidence, the Zero Lower Bound, and the Virtue of Fiscal Rules”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 70, 36-53. Taylor, J. B. (Ed.) (1999), Monetary Policy Rules, Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Taylor, J. B. (2021), “Simple Monetary Rules: Many Strengths and Few Weakenesses”, European Journal of Law and Economics 52, 267-283. Woodford, M. (2003), Interest and Prices, Princeton: Princeton University Press. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/114309 |