Can Discounting Alone Resolve the Forward Guidance Puzzle?

Ji, Yangyang (2022): Can Discounting Alone Resolve the Forward Guidance Puzzle?

Abstract

Numerically, we examine the expansionary effects of forward guidance at different horizons in Gabaix’s (2020) model and find that the role of discounting is limited and that unrealistic assumptions about parameter calibration are also required to resolve the forward guidance puzzle. We extend Gabaix’s (2020) model to include wage stickiness and find that discounting alone can resolve the puzzle even assuming standard calibration.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Forward Guidance Puzzle; Discounting; New Keynesian Model; Wage Stickiness
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E12 - Keynes ; Keynesian ; Post-Keynesian; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E23 - Production; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy

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