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Política monetaria contractiva en el control de la inflación: caso de estudio de las principales ciudades de Colombia

Torres, Nicolás and Villarraga, Juan-Pablo and Sánchez, Wendy and Upegui, Sebastián (2023): Política monetaria contractiva en el control de la inflación: caso de estudio de las principales ciudades de Colombia. Published in: Revista Fenadeco , Vol. 14, No. 1 (2023): pp. 79-94.

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the effects of a contractionary monetary policy on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Colombia and its 13 main cities between January 2001 and February 2020. For this purpose, Vector Autoregression models (VAR) are used, from which impulse-response functions are obtained. Among the results, it is found that, in the face of a shock, the CPI in most cities begins to fall strongly between months 19 and 20, and loses statistical significance in general in months 23 and 24. Likewise, the CPI of Manizales and Villavicencio has a higher reaction speed in the face of an innovation in interest rates, which could suggest that the credibility of the Central Bank differs between cities.

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