Radax, Wolfgang and Rengs, Bernhard (2009): Replication of the Demographic Prisoner’s Dilemma.
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Abstract
This paper documents our efforts in replicating Epstein’s (1998) demographic prisoner’s dilemma model. While, qualitatively speaking, our replicated model resembles the results of the original model reasonably well, statistical testing reveals that in quantitative terms our endeavor was only partially successful. This fact hints towards some unstated assumptions regarding the original model. Confronted with a number of ambiguous descriptions of model features we introduce a method for systematically generating a large number of model replications and testing for their equivalence to the original model. With the help of this approach we show that the original model was probably based on a number of dubious assumptions. Finally we conduct a number of statistical tests with respect to the influence of certain design choices like the method of updating, the timing of events and the randomization of the activation order. The results of these tests highlight the importance of an explicit documentation of design choices and especially of the timing of events.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Commentary on: | Eprints 0 not found. |
Original Title: | Replication of the Demographic Prisoner’s Dilemma |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Demographic, Prisoner’s Dilemma, Replication, Simulation, Complex Adaptive Systems, Social Science Models |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C63 - Computational Techniques ; Simulation Modeling C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C7 - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory > C73 - Stochastic and Dynamic Games ; Evolutionary Games ; Repeated Games |
Item ID: | 14419 |
Depositing User: | Wolfgang Radax |
Date Deposited: | 04 Apr 2009 16:07 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 17:33 |
References: | Axtell, Robert and Axelrod, Robert and Epstein, Joshua M. and Cohen, Michael D. (1996). ‘Aligning Simulation Models: A Case Study and Results’. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory 1: 123-141. Edmonds, Bruce and Hales, David (2003). ‘Replication, Replication and Replication: Some Hard Lessons from Model Alignment’. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 6(4)11 <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/6/4/11.html>. Epstein, Joshua M. (1998). ‘Zones of Cooperation in Demographic Prisoner’s Dilemma’. Complexity 4(2): 36-48. Epstein, Joshua M. (2007). Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling (Princeton Studies of Complexity). Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. Huberman, Bernardo A., and Glance, Natalie S. (1993). ‘Evolutionary games and computer simulations’. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 90: 7716-7718. Nowak, Martin A., and May, Robert M. (1992). ‘Evolutionary games and spatial chaos’. Nature 359: 826-829. Wilensky, Uri and Rand, William (2007). ‘Making Models Match: Replicating an Agent-Based Model’. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 10(4)2 <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/10/4/2.html>. Will, Oliver and Hegselmann, Rainer (2008). ‘A Replication That Failed – on the Computational Model in ‘Michael W. Macy and Yoshimichi Sato: Trust, Cooperation and Market Formation in the U.S. and Japan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, May 2002’’. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 11(3)3 <http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/11/3/3.html>. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/14419 |