Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries: A Bounds Testing Approach

Jahan-Parvar, Mohammad R. and Mohammadi, Hassan (2008): Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rates in Oil-Exporting Countries: A Bounds Testing Approach. Forthcoming in: Journal of Developing Areas , Vol. 1, No. 44 (2010)

Abstract

We test the validity of the Dutch disease hypothesis by examining the relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates in a sample of fourteen oil exporting countries. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds tests of cointegration support the existence of a stable relationship between real exchange rates and real oil prices in all countries, suggesting a strong support for the Dutch disease hypothesis.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Oil Prices, Real Exchange Rates, Dutch Disease, Cointegration, Autoregressive Distributed Lags.
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F37 - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange

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