Krumm, Ronald J. and Graves, Philip E. (1982): Morbidity and pollution: model specification analysis for time-series data on hospital admissions. Published in: Journal of Environmental Economics and Management , Vol. 9, : pp. 311-327.
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Abstract
Time-series analysis of effects of pollutants on emergency hospital admissions indicates important synergistic interactions among pollutants and to a lesser degree nonlinearities in effects of single pollutants. Comparisons of alternative econometric specifications are made to determine the appropriateness of incorporating nonuniform pollution impacts. The data substantially support the existence of synergisms among pollutants with high levels of sulfur dioxide, SO, (particulates), increasing the impact of particulates (SO,) on emergency hospital admissions. Marginal effects of either pollutant are, however, small at current ambient air quality levels. These results indicate that damage estimates were likely to be understated during the 1960’s when pollution levels were high, while, at current levels of those pollutants considered here, marginal damages are lower than would be estimated in studies failing to incorporate synergistic and nonlinear impacts.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Morbidity and pollution: model specification analysis for time-series data on hospital admissions |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | time series; hospital admissions; pollution and human health; synergisms; nonlinearities; econometric model specification |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D6 - Welfare Economics C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C5 - Econometric Modeling > C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection N - Economic History > N5 - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment, and Extractive Industries C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General |
Item ID: | 19906 |
Depositing User: | Philip E. Graves |
Date Deposited: | 11 Jan 2010 07:38 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 10:58 |
References: | G. E. P. Box and D. R. Cox, An analysis of transformations, J. R Stat. Sot. B 26, 21 l-252 (1964). P. Graves and R. Krumm, “Health and Air Quality: Evaluating the Effects of Policy,” American Enterprise Institute for Public Analysis, Washington, D.C. (1981). L. B. Lave and E. P. Seskin, “Air Pollution and Human Health,” Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, Baltimore (1977). A. Martin, The choice of efficient pollution policies: Technology and economics in the control of sulphur dioxide, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management. 5, 44-62 (1978). C. McJilton, R. Frank, and R. Charlson, The role of relative humidity in the synergistic effect of a sulfur-dioxide-aerosol mixture on the lung, Science 182, 503-504 (1973). T. Namekata and B. Carnow, “Impact of Multiple Pollutants on Emergency Room Admissions,” Illinois Institute for Environmental Quality, Document 77102, Project 10.033 (December 1976). C. Nelson, “Applied Time Series Analysis,” Holden-Day, San Francisco (1973). C. Y. Shy et al., “Health Consequences of Sulfur Oxides: A Report from Chess, 1970 to 1971,” U.S. EPA Report 650/l-74-004 (May 1974). G. S. Tolley and P. E. Graves, “Environmental Pollutants and the Urban Economy,” paper presented at the Committee on Urban Economics (CUE) Conference, Sante Fe, New Mexico, March 25, 1976. A. Zellner and A. Siow, “Posterior Odds Ratios for Selected Regression Hypotheses,” paper presented at the Econometric Society Meetings, Montreal, June 27-29, 1979. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/19906 |