Mandler, Martin (2010): Regime-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks. Evidence from threshold vector autoregressions.
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Abstract
This paper studies regime dependence in the effects of monetary policy shocks for the U.S. using a threshold vector autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output shows no significant response to monetary policy while the inflation response is negative. The paper endogenously determines two distinct regimes, while the literature thus far only considers alternative subsamples.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Regime-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks. Evidence from threshold vector autoregressions |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | monetary policy shocks; threshold vector autoregression |
Subjects: | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C3 - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models ; Multiple Variables > C32 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes ; State Space Models E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E52 - Monetary Policy |
Item ID: | 21215 |
Depositing User: | Martin Mandler |
Date Deposited: | 08 Mar 2010 19:41 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 04:54 |
References: | Andrews, D.W.K. and W. Ploberger, 1994, Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter is Present Only Under the Alternative, Econometrica 62, 1383-1414. Balke, N.S., 2000, Credit and Economic Activity: Credit Regimes and the Nonlinear Propagation of Shocks, Review of Economics and Statistics 82, 516-36. Bunzel, H. and W. Enders, 2010, The Taylor Rule and ``Opportunistic'' Monetary Policy, CREATES Research Paper No. 2010-4. Calza, A. and J. Sousa, 2006, Output and Inflation Responses to Credit Shocks: Are There Threshold Effects in the Euro Area?, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics 10, 1-21. Christiano, L.J., M. Eichenbaum and C.L. Evans, 1999, Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have we Learned and to What End?, in: J.B. Taylor and M. Woodford, eds., Handbook of Macroeconomics, Vol. 1A (North-Holland, Amsterdam), 65-148. Eichenbaum, M., 1992, Comment on Interpreting the Macroeconomic Time Series Facts: The Effects of Monetary Policy, European Economic Review 36, 1001-11. Hansen, B.E., 1996, Inference When a Nuisance Parameter is Not Identified Under the Null Hypothesis, Econometrica 64, 413-30. Mojon, B., 2008, When Did Unsystematic Monetary Policy Have an Effect on Inflation?, European Economic Review 52, 487-97. Orphanides, A. and D. Wilcox, 2002, The Opportunistic Approach to Disinflation, International Finance 5, 47-71. Tong, H., 1978, On a Threshold Model, in: C.H. Chen, ed., Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing (Sijthoff \& Noordhoff, Amsterdam), 101-41. Tong, H. and K.S. Lim, 1980, Threshold Autoregressions, Limit Cycles, and Data, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 42, 245-92. Tsay, R.S., 1998, Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models, Journal of the American Statistical Association 93, 1188-98. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/21215 |
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