González-Val, Rafael and Marcén, Miriam (2010): Breaks in the Breaks: An Analysis of Divorce Rates in Europe.
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This paper explores the frequency of permanent shocks in divorce rates for 16 European countries during the period 1930 to 2006, by examining whether the divorce rate is a stationary series, exhibits a unit root, or is stationary around a process subject to structural breaks. A clear finding from this analysis is that not all shocks have transitory effects on the divorce rate. Results provide evidence of both stationarity around occasional shocks which have permanent effects, and of a unit root, where all shocks have a permanent effect on the divorce rate. All of the permanent shocks are positive, and almost all occurred in the 1970s. Supplemental analyses indicate that most of these shocks can be associated with the divorce law reforms that occurred throughout Europe at that time, suggesting an important role of those policies in the evolution of divorce rates.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Breaks in the Breaks: An Analysis of Divorce Rates in Europe|
|Keywords:||Divorce rate; unit root; structural break|
|Subjects:||C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C12 - Hypothesis Testing: General
C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes
J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J12 - Marriage ; Marital Dissolution ; Family Structure ; Domestic Abuse
K - Law and Economics > K3 - Other Substantive Areas of Law > K36 - Family and Personal Law
J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J18 - Public Policy
|Depositing User:||Rafael González-Val|
|Date Deposited:||09. Apr 2010 06:14|
|Last Modified:||12. Feb 2013 12:04|
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