Trade and GDP Growth in Morocco: Short-run or Long-run Causality?

bouoiyour, jamal (2003): Trade and GDP Growth in Morocco: Short-run or Long-run Causality? Published in: Brazilian Journal of Business and Economics , Vol. Vol 3, No. n° 2 (2003): pp. 14-21.

Abstract

This study utilizes cointegration and Granger-causality tests to examine the relationship between trade and economic growth in Morocco over the period 1960-2000 using the VEC model. The result indicate that both exports and imports enter with positive signs in the cointegration equation. The results show that imports and exports Granger caused GDP and imports Granger caused exports. These results can be interpreted as a causality from the foreign sector to the domestic growth of Morocco. Import expansion increases exports that affect the GDP growth.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: GDP, Exports, Imports, Granger Causality, Cointegration
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F10 - General; C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes

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