Cicchetti, Paul and Dale, Charles and Vignola, Anthony (1981): Usefulness of Treasury Bill Futures as Hedging Instruments. Published in: Journal of Futures Markets , Vol. 1, No. 3 (1981): pp. 379-387.
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Abstract
In a recent article, Ederington (1979) examined the hedging performance of financial futures markets using a portfolio model derived from the hedging theories of Stein (1961) and Johnson (1960). His article concluded that GNMA futures were more effective than T-Bill futures in reducing price change risk. Moreover, in the short term, the performance of T-Bill futures in reducing risk was extremely poor. The purpose of this article is to determine whether these results are due to a misspecification of the model and to test whether the hedging effectiveness of the T-Bill futures market has changed after three years of trading. A portfolio model of hedging effectiveness is formulated to account for the constant yield price accumulation over time on Treasury bills as distinguished from price changes due to instantaneous changes in yield. We test the T-Bill futures market using the portfolio model and conclude that the market provides very good opportunities for hedging, provided that the spot position is comprised of Treasury bills deliverable against the futures contract.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Usefulness of Treasury Bill Futures as Hedging Instruments |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Futures Markets; Hedging; Treasury Bill Futures |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G11 - Portfolio Choice ; Investment Decisions G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G13 - Contingent Pricing ; Futures Pricing G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G14 - Information and Market Efficiency ; Event Studies ; Insider Trading |
Item ID: | 45754 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Charles Dale |
Date Deposited: | 04 Apr 2013 04:03 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 23:32 |
References: | Burger, A., Lang, R., and Rasche, R. (1977): “The Treasury Bill Futures Market and Market Expectations of Interest Rates,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, June: 2-7. Ederington, L. H. (1979): “The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets,” Journal of Finance, 34 (March): 157-170. Johnson, L. L. (1960): “The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures,” Review of Economic Studies, 27 (3): 139-151. Poole, W. (1978): “Using T-Bill Futures to Gauge Interest Rate Expectations,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Spring: 7-19. Rendleman, R., and Carabini, C. (1979): “The Efficiency of the Treasury Bill Futures Market,” Journal of Finance, 34(4) (September): 895-914. Stein, J. L. (1961): “The Simultaneous Determination of Spot and Futures Prices,” American Economic Review, 51(5): 1011-1025. Working, Holbrook (1948): “Theory of the Inverse Carrying Charge in Futures Markets,” Journal of Farm Economics, 30: 1-28. Working, Holbrook, (1949): “The Theory of Price of Storage,” American Economic Review, December: 1254-1262. Working, Holbrook (1953): “Futures Trading and Hedging,” American Economic Review, 43 (June): 314-343. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/45754 |